NapoliAC Milan

Napoli v AC Milan prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Napoli v AC Milan, Serie A on Sun, 13 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Napoli host AC Milan in Serie A on Sunday 13 December (kick-off 17:30 UK).

Form and the table

Eight of Napoli’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Napoli’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Napoli have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.43. Napoli have scored 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Napoli have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, AC Milan have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.14. AC Milan have scored 21 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). AC Milan have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Napoli are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Napoli (10th) and AC Milan (fifth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AC Milan the stronger side, 103 rating points above Napoli (AC Milan 1789, Napoli 1686, after at least 352 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Napoli 1–0 AC Milan.

Team news

Predicted Napoli XI (3-5-2): A. Meret, R. Marín, A. Rrahmani, S. Beukema, S. McTominay, B. Gilmour, A. Zambo Anguissa, K. De Bruyne, A. Vergara, R. Højlund, N. Lang — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Scott McTominay (4.3 per match over 11 appearances, five goals) and Vanja Milinković-Savić (3.6 per match over six appearances) have been Napoli’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Napoli (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Scott McTominay averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1321 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Vanja Milinković-Savić averages 4.3 saves per 90 over 855 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted AC Milan XI (3-4-2-1): M. Maignan, K. De Winter, S. Pavlović, M. Gila, Y. Musah, A. Jashari, A. Rabiot, L. Modrić, O. Hutchinson, D. Moreira, G. Ramos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Diego Moreira (4.8 per match over nine appearances, four goals and three assists) and A. Rabiot (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and four assists) have been AC Milan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Milan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Diego Moreira averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 829 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. A. Rabiot averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1622 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Napoli 4 · draws 0 · AC Milan 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Napoli 1W 2D 2L · AC Milan 2W 0D 3L

Napoli v AC Milan (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3
Corners
against 5.75 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 5.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.13
Cards
against 2 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNapoli for / againstLineAC Milan for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
3 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 16.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.13 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 8.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8

Napoli

Napoli Goalkeeper

Napoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Meret1086855 min282.9 /90101.1 /9000 /90
V. Milinković-Savić683495 min193.5 /9040.7 /9000 /90
Napoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Meret n 884.4
2.96/5
V. Milinković-Savić n 884.4
3.26/5

Napoli Defensive

Napoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Rafa Marín14881231 min312.3 /90231.7 /9070.5 /90594.3 /90201.5 /9030.2 /90
Amir Rrahmani14841170 min251.9 /90100.8 /9080.6 /90826.3 /90161.2 /9020.2 /90
Giovanni Di Lorenzo13861115 min191.5 /90100.8 /9020.2 /90494 /9070.6 /9030.2 /90
L. Spinazzola872576 min60.9 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90101.6 /9040.6 /9000 /90
M. Olivera784585 min172.6 /9071.1 /9000 /90264 /90111.7 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Napoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. De Bruyne n 867.5
1.34/3
1.34/3
—
Rafa Marín n 887.5
16/1
0.43/0
—
Amir Rrahmani n 878.8
1.34/2
0.43/0
—
R. Højlund n 876.5
0.64/0
1.66/4
—
M. Politano n 856.8
0.21/0
0.83/1
—
See more players · Pro
Napoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. De Bruyne n 867.5
1.75/2
Rafa Marín n 887.5
2.27/5
Amir Rrahmani n 878.8
26/4
R. Højlund n 876.5
00/0
M. Politano n 856.8
0.42/0
See more players · Pro

Napoli Attacking

Napoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Højlund14751051 min30.3 /9000 /90262.2 /90110.9 /9090.8 /9080.7 /90
M. Politano1461849 min30.3 /9040.4 /90121.3 /90101.1 /90212.2 /9050.5 /90
N. Lang1165713 min10.1 /9010.1 /90192.4 /9091.1 /90111.4 /90101.3 /90
L. Lucca834272 min00 /9000 /9082.6 /9020.7 /9031 /9010.3 /90
Alisson Santos555274 min00 /9000 /9082.6 /9041.3 /9051.6 /9051.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Napoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. De Bruyne n 867.5
0.85/0
0.53/0
Rafa Marín n 887.5
0.65/0
0.11/0
Amir Rrahmani n 878.8
14/2
0.42/1
R. Højlund n 876.5
2.88/7
16/1
M. Politano n 856.8
1.65/3
1.25/1
See more players · Pro
Napoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. De Bruyne n 867.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Rafa Marín n 887.5
0.11/0
00/0
Amir Rrahmani n 878.8
0.11/0
00/0
R. Højlund n 876.5
0.11/0
00/0
M. Politano n 856.8
0.42/0
0.63/0
See more players · Pro

AC Milan

AC Milan Goalkeeper

AC Milan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Maignan13851107 min393.2 /9070.6 /9000 /90
L. Torriani274148 min74.3 /9000 /9000 /90
AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 882.1
3.78/5
L. Torriani n 362.3
4.82/2

AC Milan Defensive

AC Milan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. De Winter14891240 min231.7 /90191.4 /9060.4 /90594.3 /90211.5 /9040.3 /90
S. Pavlović13891161 min292.2 /90100.8 /9040.3 /90866.7 /90131 /9030.2 /90
Mario Gila1079785 min131.5 /9091 /9010.1 /90364.1 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
S. Bocoum555274 min72.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90175.6 /9010.3 /9000 /90
F. Tomori463251 min93.2 /9041.4 /9000 /90155.4 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
See more players · Pro
AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. De Winter n 887.5
1.57/4
0.94/2
—
S. Pavlović n 888.9
0.95/2
1.56/3
—
M. Maignan n 882.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
Gonçalo Ramos n 881.9
1.55/2
1.86/3
—
Y. Musah n 870.9
1.15/1
1.35/3
—
See more players · Pro
AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. De Winter n 887.5
1.87/4
S. Pavlović n 888.9
28/6
Gonçalo Ramos n 881.9
0.74/1
Y. Musah n 870.9
1.44/4
A. Rabiot n 871.6
27/3
See more players · Pro

AC Milan Attacking

AC Milan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gonçalo Ramos13851100 min30.2 /9010.1 /90282.3 /90110.9 /9080.7 /9060.5 /90
A. Cissè964573 min71.1 /9000 /90142.2 /9091.4 /9040.6 /9040.6 /90
A. Saelemaekers544218 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9000 /9062.5 /9020.8 /90
F. Camarda337110 min00 /9000 /9043.3 /9000 /9000 /9021.6 /90
Y. Musah1274882 min00 /9000 /9030.3 /9000 /9040.4 /9050.5 /90
See more players · Pro
AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. De Winter n 887.5
0.11/0
00/0
S. Pavlović n 888.9
0.65/0
0.32/0
M. Maignan n 882.1
00/0
00/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 881.9
1.95/5
14/2
Y. Musah n 870.9
0.32/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. De Winter n 887.5
00/0
00/0
S. Pavlović n 888.9
00/0
0.11/0
M. Maignan n 882.1
00/0
00/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 881.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Y. Musah n 870.9
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Napoli v AC Milan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NapoliDWLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
AC MilanLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Napoli 4 · 0 draws · AC Milan 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-04-06 Napoli 1–0 AC Milan
  • 2025-12-18 Napoli 2–0 AC Milan
  • 2025-09-28 AC Milan 2–1 Napoli
  • 2025-03-30 Napoli 2–1 AC Milan
  • 2024-10-29 AC Milan 0–2 Napoli
  • 2024-02-11 AC Milan 1–0 Napoli
League standing · 2026/27
Napoli#10 pos14 pts10 pl+4 GD
AC Milan#5 pos21 pts10 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Napoli scored1.7
AC Milan scored2.1
Napoli conceded1.3
AC Milan conceded1.2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Napoli and AC Milan?
In their last 6 meetings, Napoli won 4, AC Milan won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Napoli and AC Milan?
Recent form — Napoli 1W 2D 2L; AC Milan 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+