This Matchweek

NapoliBologna

Napoli v Bologna result

Full-time · Napoli 1–0 Bologna

Serie A · · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Napoli · Bologna · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Napoli 1–0 Bologna — Napoli won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,974 of 2,640 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Napoli: 2.25 to 0.17 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Napoli beat Bologna 1–0 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Serie A on Sunday 13 September. Bologna are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Napoli: Stanislav Lobotka (66’, assisted by Costantino Favasuli).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Stanislav Lobotka’s goal on 66 minutes.

Discipline

Kevin Bonacina, Italy showed one yellow card — against 2.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bologna: Mikel Amondarain (31’).

What it changes

Napoli move up from 10th to ninth (four league matches played).

Bologna move down from 15th to 16th (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli) 6.7, Costantino Favasuli (Napoli) 6.7 and Emil Holm (Bologna) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Napoli or Bologna (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Napoli next host Lazio on 8 November 2026.

Bologna next host Udinese on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Napoli: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Bologna: Bologna v Udinese, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Napoli 1–0 Bologna · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona · Naples
  • Referee: Kevin Bonacina, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Napoli 2 · draws 1 · Bologna 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Napoli 2W 0D 3L · Bologna 1W 2D 2L

Napoli 1–0 Bologna (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 5.13
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2 yellows
Referee · Kevin Bonacina, Italy
25.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNapoli for / againstLineBologna for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 15.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.38 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Kevin Bonacina, Italy — 2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.6 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Napoli

Napoli Goalkeeper

Napoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Meret479315 min144 /9051.4 /9000 /90
V. Milinković-Savić14545 min36 /9000 /9000 /90
Napoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Meret n 883.1
2.76/3
V. Milinković-Savić n 884.4
2.74/4

Napoli Defensive

Napoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Amir Rrahmani490360 min82 /9020.5 /9030.8 /90287 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Giovanni Di Lorenzo490360 min102.5 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90194.8 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
Rafa Marín488351 min82.1 /9041 /9041 /90123.1 /90102.6 /9010.3 /90
L. Spinazzola371214 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Olivera273146 min42.5 /9021.2 /9000 /9074.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Napoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Amir Rrahmani n 888.8
0.94/1
0.54/0
T. Heggem
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 882.3
0.54/0
0.86/0
T. Heggem
Rafa Marín n 769.3
2.25/4
0.94/1
T. Heggem
S. Lobotka n 878.6
00/0
1.77/3
L. Ferguson
A. Meret n 883.1
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Napoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 882.3
1.66/3
Amir Rrahmani n 888.8
1.14/2
Rafa Marín n 769.3
1.75/3
S. Lobotka n 878.6
1.46/3
R. Højlund n 883.3
00/0
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Napoli Attacking

Napoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Højlund477306 min20.6 /9000 /9051.5 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
M. Politano469277 min10.3 /9000 /9041.3 /9041.3 /9031 /9010.3 /90
Alisson Santos460238 min00 /9000 /9051.9 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9031.1 /90
N. Lang24080 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /90
David Neres12828 min00 /9000 /9013.2 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Napoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Amir Rrahmani n 888.8
0.64/1
0.43/0
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 882.3
0.31/1
0.11/0
Rafa Marín n 769.3
0.62/1
0.21/0
S. Lobotka n 878.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Meret n 883.1
00/0
00/0
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Napoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Amir Rrahmani n 888.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 882.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Rafa Marín n 769.3
00/0
00/0
S. Lobotka n 878.6
00/0
00/0
A. Meret n 883.1
00/0
00/0
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Bologna

Bologna Goalkeeper

Bologna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ł. Skorupski390270 min72.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Bologna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ł. Skorupski n 890
1.95/2

Bologna Defensive

Bologna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Heggem390270 min10.3 /9020.7 /9031 /9072.3 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
Emil Holm361183 min94.4 /9000 /9010.5 /90188.9 /9000 /9010.5 /90
E. Helland290180 min73.5 /9042 /9000 /90115.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Juan Miranda268135 min32 /9010.7 /9000 /9053.3 /9010.7 /9000 /90
R. Alhassane268135 min42.7 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9085.3 /9032 /9000 /90
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Bologna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Ferguson n 881.5
1.56/4
1.15/3
S. Lobotka
T. Heggem n 879.6
1.46/3
0.74/1
Rafa Marín
Ł. Skorupski n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 860.8
2.26/3
4.47/5
—
R. Piccoli n 370
1.32/1
1.72/1
—
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Bologna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Ferguson n 881.5
2.27/5
T. Heggem n 879.6
1.14/2
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 860.8
1.74/3
R. Piccoli n 370
00/0
F. Bernardeschi n 869.9
00/0
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Bologna Attacking

Bologna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Piccoli370210 min10.4 /9000 /9062.6 /9020.9 /9010.4 /9020.9 /90
A. Dovbyk32884 min11.1 /9000 /9033.2 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9000 /90
R. Orsolini24080 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022.3 /9000 /90
J. Rowe13030 min00 /9000 /9013 /9013 /9000 /9013 /90
L. Ferguson390270 min00 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
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Bologna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Ferguson n 881.5
0.75/0
0.11/0
T. Heggem n 879.6
0.11/0
00/0
Ł. Skorupski n 890
00/0
00/0
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 860.8
0.93/2
0.21/0
R. Piccoli n 370
2.63/2
0.92/0
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Bologna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ł. Skorupski n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Ferguson n 881.5
00/0
00/0
T. Heggem n 879.6
00/0
00/0
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 860.8
00/0
00/0
R. Piccoli n 370
0.41/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NapoliBologna
58%Possession42%
1.19Expected goals (xG)0.29
14Shots5
3Shots on target2
6Shots off target3
5Blocked shots0
11Shots inside the box2
10Corners0
2Offsides3
15Fouls10
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
551Passes415
90%Pass accuracy87%

Napoli Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Milinković-Savić9000000007.2
Giovanni Di Lorenzo9000000106.3
Amir Rrahmani9000100107.6
Rafa Marín9000000307
L. Spinazzola9000102207.9
Billy Gilmour9000000007
S. Lobotka9010112108.6
K. De Bruyne8800203008.2
R. Højlund7500210005.9
M. Politano4500001006.9
A. Vergara4500000506
C. Favasuli sub4501112307.7
N. Lang sub4500101107
L. Lucca sub1500001006.3
M. Olivera sub800000006.6

Bologna Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Pessina9000000006.7
Emil Holm9000000607.3
T. Heggem9000000106.9
A. Theate9000000006.7
Juan Miranda9000001307
L. Ferguson9000000207.2
F. Bernardeschi8200100206.9
Nicolo Cambiaghi8200001006.2
Mikel Amondarain66000012Y6
T. Pobega5800210106.9
R. Piccoli5800000106.5
J. Odgaard sub3200000006.2
M. Libra sub3200000006.2
N. Moro sub2400000107
S. Mbangula sub800110006.5
J. Enem sub800101006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Napoli v Bologna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NapoliWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BolognaWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Napoli 2 · 1 draw · Bologna 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-05-11 Napoli 2–3 Bologna
  • 2025-12-22 Napoli 2–0 Bologna
  • 2025-11-09 Bologna 2–0 Napoli
  • 2025-04-07 Bologna 1–1 Napoli
  • 2024-08-25 Napoli 3–0 Bologna
  • 2024-05-11 Napoli 0–2 Bologna
League standing · 2026/27
Napoli#10 pos14 pts10 pl+4 GD
Bologna#8 pos17 pts11 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Napoli scored1.7
Bologna scored1.45
Napoli conceded1.3
Bologna conceded1.27

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Napoli 2.25 xG from 15 shots, Bologna 0.17 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Antonio Vergara 2' · 0.60 xGRasmus Højlund 69' · 0.37 xGRasmus Højlund 17' · 0.36 xGKevin De Bruyne 58' · 0.11 xGRasmus Højlund 62' · 0.09 xGKevin De Bruyne 13' · 0.09 xGSamuel Mbangula 86' · 0.08 xGRafa Marín 60' · 0.06 xGBilly Gilmour 79' · 0.05 xGKevin De Bruyne 79' · 0.05 xGCostantino Favasuli 89' · 0.04 xGLeonardo Spinazzola 30' · 0.03 xGTommaso Pobega 41' · 0.03 xGJay Enem 86' · 0.03 xGAmir Rrahmani 60' · 0.02 xGNoa Lang 45' · 0.02 xGAmir Rrahmani 50' · 0.01 xGFederico Bernardeschi 38' · 0.01 xGTommaso Pobega 46' · 0.01 xGStanislav Lobotka 65' · 0.35 xG · goal
Napoli (attacking right)Bologna (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Napoli1512.25
Bologna500.17

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Napoli led on xG, 1.10 to 0.04. At full time, Napoli led on xG, 2.25 to 0.17. The widest gap was 2.16 xG to Napoli, in the 79th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Napoli 65 min
Napoli 2.25 xGBologna 0.17 xGdots = goals · 20 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Napoli v Bologna?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Napoli v Bologna was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Napoli and Bologna?
In their last 6 meetings, Napoli won 2, Bologna won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Napoli and Bologna?
Recent form — Napoli 2W 0D 3L; Bologna 1W 2D 2L.

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