Napoli v Cagliari prediction
Team pages: Napoli · Cagliari · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Napoli v Cagliari, Serie A on Wed, 06 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Napoli host Cagliari in Serie A on Wednesday 6 January (kick-off 17:30 UK).
The key numbers
Napoli are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Cagliari, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Seven of Napoli’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Napoli’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Napoli have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.00. Napoli have scored 10 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Napoli have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Seven of Cagliari’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Cagliari’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Cagliari have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.29. Cagliari have scored six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cagliari have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Napoli (ninth) and Cagliari (seventh) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Napoli the stronger side, 109 rating points above Cagliari (Napoli 1699, Cagliari 1590, after at least 311 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Cagliari 0–1 Napoli.
Team news
Predicted Napoli XI (3-4-2-1): A. Meret, A. Rrahmani, R. Marín, G. Di Lorenzo, S. Lobotka, K. De Bruyne, B. Gilmour, A. Zambo Anguissa, S. McTominay, A. Vergara, R. Højlund — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Amir Rrahmani (4.0 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) and Kevin De Bruyne (3.3 per match over nine appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Napoli’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Napoli (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Amir Rrahmani averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 810 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances. Kevin De Bruyne averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 1448 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Cagliari have one name on the availability list: Riyad Idrissi (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-20. Predicted Cagliari XI (4-3-1-2): E. Caprile, A. Obert, Z. Pedro, J. Rodríguez, A. Deiola, A. Romano, H. Winks, M. Adopo, D. Maldini, P. Mendy, A. Fadera — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Elia Caprile (4.1 per match over eight appearances) and Daniel Maldini (3.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals) have been Cagliari’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cagliari (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Elia Caprile averages 4.1 saves per 90 over 730 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last eight appearances. Daniel Maldini averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 703 minutes, with a shot in four of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
- Head-to-head (last 6): Napoli 4 · draws 2 · Cagliari 0 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Napoli 2W 1D 2L · Cagliari 3W 1D 1L
Napoli v Cagliari (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Napoli for / against | Line | Cagliari for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15 for · 17.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11 for · 18.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.13 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.13 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Napoli
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Lucca n 8 | 23.6 | 3.8 | 0.5 | — |
| Rafa Marín n 8 | 86.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | — |
| K. De Bruyne n 8 | 74.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Vergara n 8 | 41.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | — |
| B. Badiashile n 8 | 67 | 1.5 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Lang n 8 | 48.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Alisson Santos n 8 | 56.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| K. De Bruyne n 8 | 74.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| S. McTominay n 8 | 74.4 | 2 | 0.9 |
| R. Højlund n 8 | 73.3 | 2 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. De Bruyne n 8 | 74.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| A. Vergara n 8 | 41.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| R. Højlund n 8 | 73.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Billy Gilmour n 8 | 70.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| C. Favasuli n 8 | 57.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Vergara n 8 | 41.1 | 5.2 |
| C. Favasuli n 8 | 57.4 | 3.9 |
| Rafa Marín n 8 | 86.6 | 2.2 |
| M. Olivera n 8 | 55.1 | 2.2 |
| B. Badiashile n 8 | 67 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Milinković-Savić n 8 | 84.4 | 3.6 |
| A. Meret n 8 | 83.1 | 3 |
Cagliari
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Borrelli n 8 | 34.5 | 2.3 | 2 | — |
| P. Mendy n 8 | 76.3 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| A. Fadera n 8 | 33.3 | 2 | 2.7 | — |
| J. Liteta n 7 | 52.1 | 1.7 | 0.2 | — |
| Kevin Carlos n 8 | 20.3 | 1.7 | 2.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Borrelli n 8 | 34.5 | 3.3 | 2 |
| Kevin Carlos n 8 | 20.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| M'Bala Nzola n 8 | 43.9 | 1.8 | 1 |
| A. Fadera n 8 | 33.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| P. Mendy n 8 | 76.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maldini n 8 | 58.1 | 0.8 | 0 |
| G. Borrelli n 8 | 34.5 | 0.7 | 0 |
| M'Bala Nzola n 8 | 43.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| P. Mendy n 8 | 76.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| M. Adopo n 8 | 82.1 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Fadera n 8 | 33.3 | 4.1 |
| J. Liteta n 7 | 52.1 | 2.5 |
| A. Obert n 8 | 88.3 | 2.3 |
| A. Romano n 8 | 75.6 | 2.1 |
| A. Deiola n 8 | 62.9 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Caprile n 8 | 91.3 | 4.1 |
| B. Radunović n 8 | 84.4 | 2.5 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Napoli v Cagliari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-20 Cagliari 0–1 Napoli
- 2025-12-03 Napoli 1–1 Cagliari
- 2025-08-30 Napoli 1–0 Cagliari
- 2025-05-23 Napoli 2–0 Cagliari
- 2024-09-15 Cagliari 0–4 Napoli
- 2024-02-25 Cagliari 1–1 Napoli
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Napoli and Cagliari?
- In their last 6 meetings, Napoli won 4, Cagliari won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Napoli and Cagliari?
- Recent form — Napoli 2W 1D 2L; Cagliari 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.