Parma v Bologna prediction

Serie A · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 02:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Parma · Bologna · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Parma v Bologna, Serie A on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1466 landed (95% range 65.6–70.4%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 807 of 1,245 times (64.8%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Parma host Bologna in Serie A on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Bologna, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Parma have scored five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Bologna have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Parma are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Bologna have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Parma have three wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.22 points per game, scoring 0.89 and conceding 1.22. Parma have conceded 15 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Seven of Bologna’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Bologna’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Bologna have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.00. Bologna have scored 14 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bologna have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Parma (18th) and Bologna (eighth) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bologna the stronger side, 354 rating points above Parma (Bologna 1755, Parma 1401, after at least 199 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, finished Bologna 0–1 Parma.

Team news

Predicted Parma XI (3-4-2-1): E. Corvi, M. Troilo, E. Del Prato, D. Drobnic, M. Keita, V. Sierro, E. Valeri, A. Bernabé, S. Britschgi, C. Ordoñez, D. Romero — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Mandela Keita (3.2 per match over 11 appearances) and Mariano Troilo (3.1 per match over 10 appearances) have been Parma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Parma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mandela Keita averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 867 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. Mariano Troilo averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 895 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bologna XI (3-4-3): Ł. Skorupski, A. Theate, N. Casale, M. Darmian, L. Ferguson, T. Pobega, N. Zortea, J. Miranda, J. Odgaard, F. Bernardeschi, N. Cambiaghi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Juan Miranda (4.4 per match over nine appearances, five assists) and Nicolò Casale (3.8 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Bologna’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bologna (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Juan Miranda averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 682 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Nicolò Casale averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 439 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT · Serie A · Stadio Ennio Tardini
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Parma 2 · draws 1 · Bologna 3 · 2.17 goals/game
Recent form: Parma 1W 1D 3L · Bologna 4W 0D 1L

Parma v Bologna (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 3.75

Corners

against 6 / 5.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 4

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.5 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Parma for / against	Line	Bologna for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.63 for · 17.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.75 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Parma

Parma Goalkeeper

Parma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
E. Corvi	9	90810 min	313.4 /90	151.7 /90	00 /90
G. Daffara	2	90180 min	84 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Corvi n 8	90	3.6 7/7

Parma Defensive

Parma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Del Prato	10	90900 min	101 /90	171.7 /90	60.6 /90	272.7 /90	40.4 /90	20.2 /90
M. Troilo	10	90895 min	141.4 /90	171.7 /90	80.8 /90	434.3 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
E. Valeri	10	84840 min	171.8 /90	101.1 /90	10.1 /90	313.3 /90	40.4 /90	00 /90
D. Drobnic	6	83495 min	71.3 /90	61.1 /90	20.4 /90	173.1 /90	61.1 /90	10.2 /90
Diego Carlos	6	71423 min	71.5 /90	61.3 /90	102.1 /90	153.2 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90
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Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Mandela Keita n 8	84.4	0.8 4/2	2.9 7/6	—
E. Touré n 8	70.6	1.4 5/3	1.3 4/3	—
E. Del Prato n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.6 5/0	—
M. Troilo n 8	90	0.9 5/1	0.9 5/2	—
E. Valeri n 8	82.5	0.3 2/0	0.5 3/1	—
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Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Mandela Keita n 8	84.4	2.4 8/5
E. Touré n 8	70.6	1.3 5/2
E. Del Prato n 8	90	1 6/2
M. Troilo n 8	90	1.4 5/3
E. Valeri n 8	82.5	1.2 4/3
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Parma Attacking

Parma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Touré	11	73802 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	121.3 /90	60.7 /90	50.6 /90	70.8 /90
S. Lontani	10	51512 min	40.7 /90	00 /90	132.3 /90	61.1 /90	10.2 /90	71.2 /90
David Romero	9	52468 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	173.3 /90	101.9 /90	40.8 /90	20.4 /90
M. Frigan	7	33234 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90
N. Elphege	4	51203 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.9 /90	10.4 /90	31.3 /90	20.9 /90
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Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Mandela Keita n 8	84.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
E. Touré n 8	70.6	1.8 7/4	0.8 5/0
E. Del Prato n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
M. Troilo n 8	90	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0
E. Valeri n 8	82.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Mandela Keita n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Touré n 8	70.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
E. Del Prato n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Troilo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Valeri n 8	82.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Bologna

Bologna Goalkeeper

Bologna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ł. Skorupski	8	90720 min	182.3 /90	81 /90	00 /90
M. Pessina	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Bologna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ł. Skorupski n 8	90	2.3 5/2
M. Pessina n 6	88.7	2.4 4/3

Bologna Defensive

Bologna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Theate	7	83583 min	81.2 /90	132 /90	20.3 /90	223.4 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90
T. Heggem	7	75525 min	20.3 /90	81.4 /90	61 /90	172.9 /90	71.2 /90	30.5 /90
N. Casale	5	88439 min	71.4 /90	102.1 /90	30.6 /90	265.3 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
M. Darmian	5	68338 min	41.1 /90	71.9 /90	10.3 /90	123.2 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
E. Helland	5	60300 min	92.7 /90	51.5 /90	20.6 /90	154.5 /90	41.2 /90	00 /90
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Bologna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Ferguson n 8	90	2.1 7/5	1.6 7/6	—
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 8	71.8	0.8 5/0	4.2 7/5	—
F. Bernardeschi n 8	81.8	1.2 5/3	1.5 6/3	—
Juan Miranda n 8	74	0.5 3/0	0.8 3/2	—
T. Pobega n 8	71.5	1.4 6/1	0.9 5/1	—
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Bologna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Ferguson n 8	90	2.3 7/6
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 8	71.8	1.7 5/3
F. Bernardeschi n 8	81.8	0.4 2/1
Juan Miranda n 8	74	2.1 6/5
T. Pobega n 8	71.5	2.7 7/4
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Bologna Attacking

Bologna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Bernardeschi	9	76684 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	152 /90	101.3 /90	101.3 /90	121.6 /90
J. Odgaard	8	61488 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	112 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90	50.9 /90
R. Piccoli	7	64450 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	81.6 /90	20.4 /90	40.8 /90	40.8 /90
R. Orsolini	3	54163 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	31.7 /90	00 /90
A. Dovbyk	3	2884 min	11.1 /90	00 /90	33.2 /90	11.1 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
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Bologna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Ferguson n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 8	71.8	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
F. Bernardeschi n 8	81.8	1.8 7/4	1.2 6/3
Juan Miranda n 8	74	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
T. Pobega n 8	71.5	1.6 7/2	0.6 4/0
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Bologna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Ferguson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 8	71.8	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
F. Bernardeschi n 8	81.8	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Juan Miranda n 8	74	0 0/0	0.8 5/0
T. Pobega n 8	71.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Parma v Bologna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ParmaWLLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

BolognaWLWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Parma 2 · 1 draw · Bologna 3 · 2.17 goals/game

2026-02-08 Bologna 0–1 Parma
2025-12-04 Bologna 2–1 Parma
2025-11-02 Parma 1–3 Bologna
2025-02-22 Parma 2–0 Bologna
2024-10-06 Bologna 0–0 Parma
2021-02-07 Parma 0–3 Bologna

League standing · 2026/27

Parma#18 pos5 pts9 pl-10 GD

Bologna#8 pos14 pts10 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Parma scored0.56

Bologna scored1.4

Parma conceded1.67

Bologna conceded1.3

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Parma v Bologna?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Parma v Bologna is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Bologna?: In their last 6 meetings, Parma won 2, Bologna won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Parma and Bologna?: Recent form — Parma 1W 1D 3L; Bologna 4W 0D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 02:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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