Parma v Como prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Parma v Como, Serie A on Sun, 11 Apr 2027 17:30 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Parma host Como in Serie A on Sunday 11 April (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Parma have scored four goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Como are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Parma, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Four of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Parma have four wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.56 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 1.00. Parma have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Eight of Como’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Como’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Como have six wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 10 away matches in all competitions — 1.90 points per game, scoring 2.10 and conceding 1.30. Como have scored 12 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Como have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Parma (16th) and Como (fifth) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Como the stronger side, 339 rating points above Parma (Como 1826, Parma 1487, after at least 83 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 September 2026, finished Como 2–1 Parma.

Team news

Predicted Parma XI (3-4-2-1): E. Corvi, M. Troilo, E. Del Prato, D. Carlos, M. Keita, E. Valeri, V. Sierro, S. Britschgi, C. Ordoñez, A. Bernabé, E. Touré — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Simone Lontani (3.6 per match over seven appearances, three goals) and Mandela Keita (2.9 per match over nine appearances) have been Parma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Parma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Simone Lontani averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 424 minutes, with a shot in five of the last seven appearances. Mandela Keita averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 636 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Como XI (4-2-3-1): J. Butez, J. Naveros, Y. Couto, T. Chalobah, Á. Valle, N. Paz, L. Da Cunha, M. Perrone, A. Diao, L. Milla, T. Douvikas — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Paz (7.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and four assists) and Assane Diao (5.7 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Como’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Como (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Paz averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1026 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Assane Diao averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 602 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Parma 0 · draws 3 · Como 3 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Parma 1W 1D 3L · Como 2W 1D 2L

Parma v Como (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.38
Corners
against 6.13 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 6.63
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameParma for / againstLineComo for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
8.88 for · 16.25 against n 8
19.5standard
19.63 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6.63 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 13.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
Parma
Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Abdou Konate n 451.3
2.64/2
0.91/1
—
Diego Carlos n 868.9
2.36/3
0.21/0
—
D. Drobnic n 390
23/3
00/0
—
Vincent Sierro n 860.6
1.95/4
1.15/1
—
A. N'Diaye n 863.8
1.85/4
1.63/3
—
Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David Romero n 850.6
3.67/5
1.84/2
S. Lontani n 760.6
1.95/3
1.12/2
E. Touré n 871
1.36/2
0.64/0
G. Fabbian n 844
1.33/1
0.52/0
P. Almqvist n 818.4
1.22/0
0.61/0
Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Almqvist n 818.4
0.61/0
1.22/0
David Romero n 850.6
0.73/0
00/0
S. Lontani n 760.6
0.62/1
00/0
A. Circati n 867.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
E. Touré n 871
00/0
0.32/0
Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Abdou Konate n 451.3
2.63/2
C. Ordoñez n 868.1
2.55/4
E. Valeri n 880.3
25/4
A. N'Diaye n 863.8
1.87/2
P. Almqvist n 818.4
1.83/0
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Corvi n 890
3.57/6
G. Daffara n 890
2.94/4
Como
Como — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Ricci n 826.5
2.14/1
1.72/1
—
M. Liberali n 850.8
25/3
2.76/3
—
J. Addai n 844.6
26/1
1.56/0
—
N. Paz n 875.3
1.97/4
0.73/2
—
Jesús Rodríguez n 848.5
1.64/2
1.94/2
—
Como — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Paz n 875.3
4.28/7
1.65/4
T. Douvikas n 846.9
3.47/5
1.96/2
M. Kean n 856.9
37/5
26/4
M. Liberali n 850.8
2.46/3
1.66/1
Kaiki n 858.4
1.96/3
0.63/0
Como — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Paz n 875.3
0.43/0
0.74/1
T. Douvikas n 846.9
14/0
00/0
Assane Diao n 867
0.73/1
0.21/0
Jesús Rodríguez n 848.5
0.21/0
0.52/0
M. Baturina n 848.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
Como — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kaiki n 858.4
3.57/5
N. Paz n 875.3
3.47/7
M. Caqueret n 840.9
2.84/3
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 888.3
2.77/6
I. Smolčić n 849.8
2.34/4
Como — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Robert Sánchez n 887
3.27/6
Jean Butez n 890
2.35/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Parma v Como — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ParmaLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
ComoWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Parma 0 · 3 draws · Como 3 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-09-14 Como 2–1 Parma
  • 2026-05-17 Como 1–0 Parma
  • 2025-10-25 Parma 0–0 Como
  • 2025-05-03 Parma 0–1 Como
  • 2024-10-19 Como 1–1 Parma
  • 2024-02-24 Como 1–1 Parma
League standing · 2026/27
Parma#16 pos4 pts6 pl-6 GD
Como#5 pos14 pts7 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Parma scored0.67
Como scored1.71
Parma conceded1.67
Como conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Como?
In their last 6 meetings, Parma won 0, Como won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Parma and Como?
Recent form — Parma 1W 1D 3L; Como 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →