Sao Paulo v Vitoria result

Full-time · Sao Paulo 2–1 Vitoria

Serie A – Brazil · · Morumbi

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sao Paulo · Vitoria · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sao Paulo 2–1 Vitoria — Sao Paulo won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away shots total over 9.5.

Free pick
Away shots total over 9.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sao Paulo beat Vitoria 2–1 at Morumbi in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 11 October.

Vitoria have scored in five consecutive matches.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Sao Paulo: Jonathan Calleri (20’, assisted by Iago Borduchi; 70’); Vitoria: Emmanuel Martinez (39’, assisted by Erick).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jonathan Calleri’s goal on 70 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Sao Paulo 1.80, Vitoria 0.79, from 20 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Sao Paulo: G. Santana (24’), Djhordney Ferreira (43’), Sabino (77’), Iago Borduchi (78’) and Marcos Antônio (90+2’); Vitoria: Matheuzinho (16’), Caca (16’) and Renato Kayzer (86’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jonathan Calleri (Sao Paulo) 12.0, Emmanuel Martinez (Vitoria) 7.4 and Erick (Vitoria) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Vitoria shots total over 9.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Sao Paulo next host Vasco DA Gama on 18 October 2026.

Vitoria next travel to Corinthians on 19 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sao Paulo: Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Vitoria: Corinthians v Vitoria, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Sao Paulo 2–1 Vitoria · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Morumbi · Sao Paulo
  • Referee: Lucas Casagrande
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sao Paulo 4 · draws 0 · Vitoria 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sao Paulo 1W 1D 3L · Vitoria 2W 1D 2L

Sao Paulo 2–1 Vitoria (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.75 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSao Paulo for / againstLineVitoria for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
7.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
14.63 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.13 for · 16.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 15.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: Lucas Casagrande.

Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Djhordney Ferreira n 840.3
3.68/4
2.25/1
—
Wendell n 867.3
2.37/3
0.73/1
—
Pedro Lima n 852.8
2.37/3
0.93/1
—
Pablo Maia n 857.8
2.14/3
0.42/0
—
Victor Sá n 827.3
2.14/1
1.72/1
—
Sao Paulo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Santana n 743.1
3.35/4
1.53/2
Luciano n 879.1
2.78/6
16/1
Artur n 877.9
2.66/6
13/3
Ryan Francisco n 833.6
25/1
0.72/0
Andre Silva n 820.4
1.72/1
0.61/0
Sao Paulo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luciano n 879.1
0.64/0
00/0
Artur n 877.9
00/0
0.32/0
Jonathan Calleri n 870.4
0.32/0
00/0
G. Santana n 743.1
0.31/0
00/0
Ryan Francisco n 833.6
0.31/0
00/0
Sao Paulo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Djhordney Ferreira n 840.3
3.66/4
Iago Borduchi n 871.8
2.56/5
Danielzinho n 840.5
2.54/2
Wendell n 867.3
2.35/5
Marcos Antônio n 880.9
2.17/3
Sao Paulo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Carlos Coronel n 890.6
3.87/5
Rafael n 880.8
1.43/1
Vitoria
Vitoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Marinho n 835
2.94/2
5.57/5
—
Ze Vitor n 881.4
2.88/6
1.86/5
—
Renato Kayzer n 830.9
2.65/2
1.52/1
—
Walace n 836.4
2.25/2
1.23/1
—
D. Tarzia n 868.5
2.17/5
3.37/6
—
Vitoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Silva n 825.1
3.12/2
1.32/1
Rene n 865.4
2.66/4
1.23/2
Osvaldo n 813
2.63/0
00/0
Marinho n 835
2.34/2
0.62/0
Matheuzinho n 874.4
27/4
1.16/1
Vitoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Matheuzinho n 874.4
0.52/1
0.52/1
Rene n 865.4
0.73/1
00/0
Erick n 864
0.52/1
0.21/0
Mateusinho n 855.4
00/0
0.42/0
Lucas Arcanjo n 890.6
00/0
0.11/0
Vitoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Marinho n 835
4.57/3
Ze Vitor n 881.4
4.38/8
T. Pochettino n 834.3
3.37/2
Edenilson n 826.9
2.94/1
Mateusinho n 855.4
2.87/3
Vitoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Arcanjo n 890.6
4.28/7

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sao PauloVitoria
55%Possession45%
1.80Expected goals (xG)0.79
20Shots12
6Shots on target2
8Shots off target8
6Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box6
6Corners2
13Fouls13
5Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves4
475Passes410

Sao Paulo player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rafael9000000006.6
Newton9000001006.5
R. Arboleda9000100207.1
Sabino90003013Y6.8
Iago Borduchi90010021Y6.1
Jonathan Calleri9020422309.4
D. Bobadilla8400103107.2
Artur7500322007.1
G. Santana75005213Y6.4
Lucas Ramon5900100206.2
Djhordney Ferreira59001010Y6.7
Marcos Antônio31000010Y6.8
Lucas Moura3100001106.7
Pedro Ferreira1500100206.4
Pedro Lima1500000106.5
R. Toloi600000006.3

Vitoria player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Arcanjo9000000006.7
Mateusinho9000212206.9
Caca90000000Y6
Luan Candido9000100306.4
Jamerson9000101105.6
Erick9001102207
Emmanuel Martinez8910110408
Rene7900200005.7
Matheuzinho78000000Y5.9
Caique Goncalves7800001206.5
Lucas Silva6900101006.2
T. Pochettino2100000206
Ze Vitor1200100106.2
Renato Kayzer11001011Y6.1
Alex Bruno100000000

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sao Paulo v Vitoria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sao PauloLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
VitoriaLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sao Paulo 4 · 0 draws · Vitoria 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 Vitoria 2–0 Sao Paulo
  • 2025-12-07 Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo
  • 2025-08-09 Sao Paulo 2–0 Vitoria
  • 2024-08-25 Sao Paulo 2–1 Vitoria
  • 2024-05-05 Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo
  • 2018-10-26 Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo
League standing · 2026
Sao Paulo#10 pos39 pts30 pl0 GD
Vitoria#12 pos36 pts30 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Sao Paulo scored1.17
Vitoria scored1.1
Sao Paulo conceded1.17
Vitoria conceded1.47

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sao Paulo vs Vitoria?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sao Paulo v Vitoria was Away shots total over 9.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Sao Paulo and Vitoria?
In their last 6 meetings, Sao Paulo won 4, Vitoria won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sao Paulo and Vitoria?
Recent form — Sao Paulo 1W 1D 3L; Vitoria 2W 1D 2L.

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