Sport Recife v Sao Paulo result

Full-time · Sport Recife 2–2 Sao Paulo

Serie A – Brazil ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sport Recife · Sao Paulo · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sport Recife 2–2 Sao Paulo — this Serie A – Brazil match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sport Recife and Sao Paulo drew 2–2 in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 16 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Sao Paulo out-shot Sport Recife 18 to 8 and created the better chances, 1.61 xG to 0.72 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Sport Recife led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Sport Recife: Lucas Lima (5’) and Derik Lacerda (50’, assisted by Matheus Alexandre); Sao Paulo: Lucas Moura (66’, assisted by Henrique Carmo) and Maik (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Maik’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil showed five yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sport Recife: C. Rivera (44’), Derik Lacerda (51’), Kevyson (81’) and Lucas Lima (90+1’); Sao Paulo: Maik (58’).

What it changes

Sport Recife are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Sao Paulo are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Matheus Alexandre (Sport Recife) 7.4, Lucas Lima (Sport Recife) 6.2 and Maik (Sao Paulo) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

Sao Paulo next travel to Mirassol on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sao Paulo: Mirassol v Sao Paulo, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Sport Recife 2–2 Sao Paulo · Serie A – Brazil
  • Referee: Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sport Recife 1 · draws 1 · Sao Paulo 4 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sport Recife 1W 3D 1L · Sao Paulo 3W 1D 1L

Sport Recife 2–2 Sao Paulo (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4.75
Corners
against 3.63 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 5 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.17 yellows
Referee · Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil
2.17 home / 2 away
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSport Recife for / againstLineSao Paulo for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 10.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.25 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
15.38 for · 14.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil — 4.17 yellow cards a game, 0.42 red cards, 26.17 fouls over 12 matches (2.17 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Rivera n 874.8
3.38/7
1.26/2
Luan Silva
Pedro Augusto n 831.8
2.55/1
1.13/0
—
Derik Lacerda n 869.1
26/3
27/4
—
Matheus Alexandre n 880.9
1.96/5
0.84/1
—
Zé Lucas n 878
1.95/3
1.26/2
Luan Silva
Sport Recife — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Pereira n 829.9
34/2
1.53/1
Romarinho n 818.5
33/2
2.42/2
Derik Lacerda n 869.1
2.67/4
1.15/2
Chrystian Barletta n 862.6
2.35/5
1.44/3
Rodrigo Atencio n 826.5
2.13/1
0.41/0
Sport Recife — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Romarinho n 818.5
1.21/1
00/0
I. Ramírez n 848.8
0.72/1
00/0
Matheusinho n 846.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Léo Pereira n 829.9
00/0
0.41/0
Derik Lacerda n 869.1
0.32/0
00/0
Sport Recife — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Augusto n 831.8
3.95/2
C. Rivera n 874.8
3.86/6
Zé Lucas n 878
2.28/4
Igor Cariús n 884.3
28/6
Hereda n 884.3
26/4
Sport Recife — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Caíque França n 892
3.26/4
Gabriel Vasconcelos n 890
2.45/3
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Tapia n 820
5.15/3
2.34/0
—
Rodriguinho n 836.4
3.15/4
0.92/1
—
Luan Silva n 831.1
2.94/2
0.41/0
Zé Lucas
Enzo Díaz n 874.1
2.77/6
27/3
—
Luciano n 869.1
26/3
2.46/5
—
Sao Paulo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Tapia n 820
3.96/1
1.73/0
Andre Silva n 862.3
1.87/2
0.73/1
Ferreirinha n 844.3
1.84/2
0.83/0
Luciano n 869.1
1.64/3
0.83/2
Rodriguinho n 836.4
1.53/2
0.31/0
Sao Paulo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luciano n 869.1
0.52/1
0.21/0
Andre Silva n 862.3
0.41/1
0.21/0
G. Tapia n 820
0.61/0
00/0
Ferreirinha n 844.3
0.52/0
00/0
N. Ferraresi n 891.4
00/0
0.43/0
Sao Paulo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Ferraresi n 891.4
4.48/6
Patryck n 850.3
3.85/4
Enzo Díaz n 874.1
3.57/7
D. Bobadilla n 871.9
3.46/6
Pablo Maia n 828.9
2.75/2
Sao Paulo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jandrei n 891.1
36/5
Rafael n 880
1.32/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sport RecifeSao Paulo
34%Possession66%
0.72Expected goals (xG)1.61
8Shots18
5Shots on target8
3Shots off target5
0Blocked shots5
7Shots inside the box10
4Corners10
0Offsides1
17Fouls19
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves3
242Passes492
69%Pass accuracy85%

Sport Recife player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gabriel Vasconcelos9000000007
Matheus Alexandre9001101407.7
Rafael Thyere9000220107.2
Ramon Menezes9000000107.5
Zé Lucas9000001206.2
C. Rivera90000000Y6.2
Lucas Lima89102131Y8
Léo Pereira8200100106.9
Derik Lacerda74102200Y7.5
Matheusinho7300001006.7
Igor Cariús4500000207
Kevyson sub45000002Y6.9
Pedro Augusto sub1800000006.2
Pablo sub1700000006.5
Chrystian Barletta sub900001107
João Silva sub10000000–

Sao Paulo player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Young9000000006.2
Maik90102112Y7.3
Sabino9000000106.9
Patryck9000110107
Pablo Maia9000201107.5
G. Tapia9000110006.5
Luan Silva6800100006.5
Alan Javier Franco5700001107
Ferreirinha5700110006
J. Dinenno5700101006.6
Rodriguinho4500112006.6
Lucas Moura sub4510110007.2
N. Ferraresi sub3400001407.5
Henrique Carmo sub3401115007.2
Andre Silva sub3400110006.6
D. Bobadilla sub2300001006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sport Recife v Sao Paulo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sport RecifeLDDDW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Sao PauloWWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sport Recife 1 · 1 draw · Sao Paulo 4 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-03-29 Sao Paulo 0–0 Sport Recife
  • 2023-06-01 Sao Paulo 1–3 Sport Recife
  • 2023-05-17 Sport Recife 0–2 Sao Paulo
  • 2021-11-28 Sao Paulo 2–0 Sport Recife
  • 2021-08-22 Sport Recife 0–1 Sao Paulo
  • 2020-12-06 Sao Paulo 1–0 Sport Recife
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Sport Recife#20 pos17 pts38 pl-47 GD
Sao Paulo#8 pos51 pts38 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Sport Recife scored0.74
Sao Paulo scored1.13
Sport Recife conceded1.97
Sao Paulo conceded1.24

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sport Recife v Sao Paulo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sport Recife v Sao Paulo was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Sport Recife and Sao Paulo?
In their last 6 meetings, Sport Recife won 1, Sao Paulo won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sport Recife and Sao Paulo?
Recent form — Sport Recife 1W 3D 1L; Sao Paulo 3W 1D 1L.

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