Torino v Lecce prediction

Serie A · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 14:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Torino · Lecce · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Torino v Lecce, Serie A on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 521 of 808 times (64.5%), against an average rating of 67.8%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Torino host Lecce in Serie A on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Torino have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Torino’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Torino’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Torino have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.56. Torino have scored 14 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Torino have conceded 14 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Lecce have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 1.56. Lecce have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Lecce have conceded 19 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Torino (10th) and Lecce (14th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Torino the stronger side, 153 rating points above Lecce (Torino 1632, Lecce 1480, after at least 199 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2026, finished Torino 1–0 Lecce.

Team news

Torino have one name on the availability list: P. Pellegri (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-11-01. Predicted Torino XI (3-5-2): L. Perri, S. Coco, P. Comuzzo, A. Ismajli, A. Cacciamani, R. Belghali, D. Bragança, N. Vlašić, R. Mandragora, G. Simeone, C. Adams — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Rolando Mandragora (4.1 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and Rafik Belghali (3.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Torino’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Torino (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Rolando Mandragora averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 502 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Rafik Belghali averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 960 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, T. Gabriel, J. Siebert, A. Gallo, D. Veiga, Y. Maleh, O. Ngom, J. Monteiro, K. N’Dri, A. Ahmed Fatah, P. Esteban — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Danilo Veiga (3.9 per match over 10 appearances, two assists) and Tiago Gabriel (3.9 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Danilo Veiga averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 900 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Tiago Gabriel averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 661 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Serie A · Stadio Olimpico di Torino
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Torino 3 · draws 1 · Lecce 2 · 1.33 goals/game
Recent form: Torino 3W 1D 1L · Lecce 1W 0D 4L

Torino v Lecce (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1

Goals

against 1.38 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 4.5

Corners

against 4.88 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 6.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1 / 1.88

Cards

against 0.88 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Torino for / against	Line	Lecce for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.75 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.5 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.25 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5

Torino

Torino Goalkeeper

Torino — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Lucas Perri	8	90720 min	273.4 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
D. Mascardi	3	90270 min	103.3 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90

Torino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Lucas Perri n 8	90	3.4 6/5
D. Mascardi n 3	90	3.3 3/2

Torino Defensive

Torino — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Saúl Coco	11	85940 min	181.7 /90	101 /90	80.8 /90	464.4 /90	70.7 /90	00 /90
P. Comuzzo	10	85853 min	232.4 /90	141.5 /90	70.7 /90	414.3 /90	111.2 /90	10.1 /90
A. Ismajli	10	67669 min	70.9 /90	152 /90	30.4 /90	354.7 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90
N. Fortini	6	60357 min	112.8 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	246.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
E. Cömert	5	81404 min	71.6 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90	153.3 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90
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Torino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Saúl Coco n 8	83.8	0.3 2/0	0.9 4/1	—
N. Vlašić n 8	71.4	1.1 5/2	0.9 4/1	—
G. Simeone n 8	76	0.7 3/2	2.1 7/4	—
A. Cacciamani n 8	70.1	0.6 4/0	2.1 7/4	—
P. Comuzzo n 8	87.5	1 6/2	0.1 1/0	—
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Torino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Saúl Coco n 8	83.8	2 7/4
N. Vlašić n 8	71.4	0.3 2/0
G. Simeone n 8	76	1 4/3
A. Cacciamani n 8	70.1	1 5/1
P. Comuzzo n 8	87.5	2.8 8/7
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Torino Attacking

Torino — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
G. Simeone	11	75829 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	232.5 /90	70.8 /90	60.7 /90	70.8 /90
C. Adams	7	71500 min	40.7 /90	00 /90	101.8 /90	61.1 /90	30.5 /90	40.7 /90
S. Kulenović	7	28196 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	52.3 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
Z. Aboukhlal	4	2182 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	55.5 /90
C. Casadei	3	59177 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
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Torino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Saúl Coco n 8	83.8	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
N. Vlašić n 8	71.4	0.9 4/1	0.5 3/0
G. Simeone n 8	76	2.7 7/6	0.7 4/1
A. Cacciamani n 8	70.1	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
P. Comuzzo n 8	87.5	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
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Torino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Saúl Coco n 8	83.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Vlašić n 8	71.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
G. Simeone n 8	76	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
A. Cacciamani n 8	70.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Comuzzo n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
W. Falcone	10	90900 min	393.9 /90	161.6 /90	00 /90

Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 8	90	3.8 6/5

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Danilo Veiga	10	90900 min	252.5 /90	131.3 /90	30.3 /90	535.3 /90	141.4 /90	30.3 /90
A. Gallo	9	85765 min	151.8 /90	91.1 /90	40.5 /90	263.1 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90
Tiago Gabriel	9	73661 min	141.9 /90	141.9 /90	20.3 /90	496.7 /90	91.2 /90	10.1 /90
J. Siebert	8	76609 min	172.5 /90	91.3 /90	30.4 /90	385.6 /90	101.5 /90	20.3 /90
Kialonda Gaspar	7	87606 min	213.1 /90	60.9 /90	40.6 /90	405.9 /90	81.2 /90	30.4 /90
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Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Danilo Veiga n 8	90	1.6 7/3	1.3 6/2	—
W. Falcone n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
O. Ngom n 8	60.6	1.5 5/3	0.4 2/0	—
Y. Maleh n 8	66.5	1.4 5/3	0.7 4/0	—
A. Gallo n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
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Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 8	90	2.5 7/4
O. Ngom n 8	60.6	2.8 7/4
Y. Maleh n 8	66.5	2 6/4
A. Gallo n 8	84.4	2 6/5
Tiago Gabriel n 8	71.4	2.2 6/5
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Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. N’Dri	9	56506 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	132.3 /90	71.2 /90	71.2 /90	112 /90
S. Pierotti	8	66527 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	40.7 /90	61 /90
A. Ahmed Fatah	8	42337 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	71.9 /90	41.1 /90	30.8 /90	154 /90
N. Štulić	7	48339 min	00 /90	00 /90	71.9 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
W. Geubbels	6	64381 min	00 /90	00 /90	163.8 /90	61.4 /90	61.4 /90	00 /90
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Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Falcone n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Danilo Veiga n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Ngom n 8	60.6	0.9 4/1	0.6 3/0
Y. Maleh n 8	66.5	0.8 5/0	0 0/0
A. Gallo n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
W. Falcone n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Ngom n 8	60.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Maleh n 8	66.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Gallo n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Torino v Lecce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

TorinoDWWWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

LecceLLWLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Torino 3 · 1 draw · Lecce 2 · 1.33 goals/game

2026-02-01 Torino 1–0 Lecce
2025-11-30 Lecce 2–1 Torino
2025-05-18 Lecce 1–0 Torino
2024-09-15 Torino 0–0 Lecce
2024-02-16 Torino 2–0 Lecce
2023-10-28 Lecce 0–1 Torino

League standing · 2026/27

Torino#10 pos13 pts9 pl0 GD

Lecce#14 pos9 pts9 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Torino scored1.56

Lecce scored1.11

Torino conceded1.56

Lecce conceded2.11

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Torino v Lecce?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Torino v Lecce is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Torino and Lecce?: In their last 6 meetings, Torino won 3, Lecce won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Torino and Lecce?: Recent form — Torino 3W 1D 1L; Lecce 1W 0D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 14:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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