Udinese v AC Milan prediction

Serie A · · Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Udinese · AC Milan · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Udinese v AC Milan, Serie A on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Udinese host AC Milan in Serie A on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or AC Milan, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Udinese have lost their last five matches in all competitions. AC Milan are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Udinese’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Udinese’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Udinese have three wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 0.78 and conceding 1.11. Udinese have scored nine goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Udinese have conceded 16 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, AC Milan have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.00. AC Milan have scored 14 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). AC Milan have conceded seven goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Udinese (17th) and AC Milan (fourth) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AC Milan the stronger side, 279 rating points above Udinese (AC Milan 1708, Udinese 1429, after at least 349 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished AC Milan 0–3 Udinese.

Team news

Predicted Udinese XI (3-4-2-1): M. Okoye, E. Ebosse, J. Abankwah, O. Solet, J. Karlström, M. Vojvoda, H. Kamara, L. Miller, G. Chakvetadze, J. Piotrowski, J. Ekkelenkamp — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, O. Solet (4.3 per match over seven appearances, one assist) and Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (4.1 per match over eight appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Udinese’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Udinese (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), O. Solet averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 578 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances. Jurgen Ekkelenkamp averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 698 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances.

Predicted AC Milan XI (3-4-2-1): M. Maignan, S. Pavlović, K. De Winter, M. Gila, S. Chukwueze, Y. Musah, L. Modrić, A. Rabiot, P. Estupiñán, D. Moreira, G. Ramos — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Rabiot (5.0 per match over nine appearances, four goals and four assists) and Diego Moreira (4.8 per match over six appearances, three goals and one assist) have been AC Milan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Milan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Rabiot averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1397 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Diego Moreira averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 619 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Udinese 2 · draws 0 · AC Milan 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Udinese 0W 0D 5L · AC Milan 3W 1D 1L

Udinese v AC Milan (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2
Goals
against 2.13 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3.63
Corners
against 5.38 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 0.38 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameUdinese for / againstLineAC Milan for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.75our book
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 3 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 15.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.38 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 8.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 0.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Udinese
Udinese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lennon Miller n 856.4
3.68/6
1.24/2
—
N. Zaniolo n 876.4
2.18/4
2.97/6
—
J. Piotrowski n 850.3
26/3
1.13/1
—
N. Bertola n 829.9
1.95/0
0.41/0
—
J. Abankwah n 873
1.87/3
1.46/2
—
Udinese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Gueye n 836
4.17/2
1.93/1
V. Bayo n 834.3
2.65/2
1.33/1
N. Zaniolo n 876.4
2.58/6
0.96/0
J. Ekkelenkamp n 887.3
2.18/4
0.64/1
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Udinese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Bayo n 834.3
0.71/1
0.72/0
K. Davis n 861.5
0.21/0
0.53/0
J. Ekkelenkamp n 887.3
0.43/0
0.11/0
H. Kamara n 872
0.32/0
0.21/0
J. Abankwah n 873
0.21/0
0.21/0
Udinese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Bertola n 829.9
2.33/2
O. Solet n 883.5
2.27/5
H. Kamara n 872
2.26/4
J. Arizala n 831.3
2.24/2
M. Palma n 858.1
2.18/3
Udinese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Okoye n 890
3.86/5
B. Mrozek n 890
2.14/4
AC Milan
AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Camarda n 818
3.12/2
1.32/0
—
A. Saelemaekers n 831.1
1.83/2
3.34/3
—
K. De Winter n 887.5
1.77/4
0.53/1
—
P. Estupiñán n 854.4
1.75/2
0.82/1
—
A. Cissè n 847.3
1.76/1
2.45/2
—
AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Cissè n 847.3
2.97/2
1.74/1
Gonçalo Ramos n 871.9
2.77/6
1.77/4
A. Rabiot n 866.3
2.27/5
0.85/0
F. Camarda n 818
1.93/0
00/0
Diego Moreira n 860.9
1.87/2
0.73/1
AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Cissè n 847.3
1.23/1
00/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 871.9
0.85/0
0.32/0
A. Rabiot n 866.3
0.53/0
0.32/0
Diego Moreira n 860.9
0.62/1
0.21/0
A. Saelemaekers n 831.1
0.41/0
0.41/0
AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Saelemaekers n 831.1
3.65/2
A. Rabiot n 866.3
2.77/4
S. Pavlović n 878.1
2.68/6
R. Loftus-Cheek n 841.4
2.43/1
D. Bartesaghi n 868.5
2.15/4
AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 890
2.37/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Udinese v AC Milan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UdineseLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 1 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
AC MilanLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Udinese 2 · 0 draws · AC Milan 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 AC Milan 0–3 Udinese
  • 2025-09-20 Udinese 0–3 AC Milan
  • 2025-04-11 Udinese 0–4 AC Milan
  • 2024-10-19 AC Milan 1–0 Udinese
  • 2024-01-20 Udinese 2–3 AC Milan
  • 2023-11-04 AC Milan 0–1 Udinese
League standing · 2026/27
Udinese#17 pos4 pts7 pl-7 GD
AC Milan#4 pos15 pts7 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Udinese scored1.29
AC Milan scored2
Udinese conceded2.29
AC Milan conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Udinese v AC Milan?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Udinese v AC Milan is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Udinese and AC Milan?
In their last 6 meetings, Udinese won 2, AC Milan won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Udinese and AC Milan?
Recent form — Udinese 0W 0D 5L; AC Milan 3W 1D 1L.

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