Vasco DA Gama v Corinthians prediction
Team pages: Vasco DA Gama · Corinthians · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Vasco DA Gama v Corinthians, Serie A – Brazil on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 22:30 BST.
The match
Vasco DA Gama host Corinthians in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 22:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Corinthians are winless in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Corinthians are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Vasco DA Gama, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Seven of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Vasco DA Gama have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.67. Vasco DA Gama have scored 36 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Vasco DA Gama have conceded 43 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs.
Eight of Corinthians’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Corinthians’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Corinthians have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.57. Corinthians have scored 32 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Corinthians have conceded 39 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Vasco DA Gama (15th) and Corinthians (16th) are two points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Vasco DA Gama the stronger side, 152 rating points above Corinthians (Vasco DA Gama 1574, Corinthians 1422, after at least 296 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Corinthians 1–0 Vasco DA Gama.
Team news
Predicted Vasco DA Gama XI (4-2-3-1): L. Jardim, R. Renan, P. Henrique, Cuiabano, C. Cuesta, T. Mendes, S. Sosa, A. Gómez, T. Tchê, A. Lescano, F. Colidio — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cuiabano (5.2 per match over 30 appearances, two goals and four assists) and F. Colidio (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Vasco DA Gama’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Vasco DA Gama (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cuiabano averages 3.7 tackles per 90 over 2277 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. F. Colidio averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 2268 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Corinthians XI (4-1-3-2): H. Souza, G. Henrique, Matheuzinho, M. Bidu, G. Paulista, Raniele, R. Garro, B. Bidon, K. César, M. Depay, Y. Alberto — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Matheus Bidu (3.7 per match over 37 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Rodrigo Garro (3.5 per match over 41 appearances, three goals and 12 assists) have been Corinthians’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Corinthians (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Matheus Bidu averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 3132 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Rodrigo Garro averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 3050 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Estádio São Januário
- Referee: Wilton Sampaio
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Vasco DA Gama 0 · draws 1 · Corinthians 5 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Vasco DA Gama 2W 1D 2L · Corinthians 0W 1D 4L
Vasco DA Gama v Corinthians (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Vasco DA Gama for / against | Line | Corinthians for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.75 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.88 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.38 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.88 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12 for · 18.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Wilton Sampaio.
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David n 8 | 31 | 3.3 | 1.8 | — |
| Claudio Spinelli n 8 | 37.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| Cuiabano n 8 | 77.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | — |
| Paulo Henrique n 8 | 62.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | — |
| Ramon Rique n 8 | 36.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| David n 8 | 31 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| F. Colidio n 8 | 73.6 | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| Claudio Spinelli n 8 | 37.8 | 3 | 1.8 |
| Adson n 8 | 43.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Puma Rodríguez n 8 | 51.4 | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| David n 8 | 31 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Bruno Duarte n 8 | 59.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| F. Colidio n 8 | 73.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Ramon Rique n 8 | 36.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Lescano n 8 | 71.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Cuiabano n 8 | 77.3 | 4.1 |
| Andrés Gómez n 8 | 64.6 | 2.8 |
| Ramon Rique n 8 | 36.8 | 2.8 |
| Adson n 8 | 43.4 | 2.6 |
| Robert Renan n 8 | 90.9 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim n 8 | 90.9 | 1.9 |
Corinthians
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Lingard n 8 | 35.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | — |
| Vitinho n 8 | 35 | 2.6 | 0 | — |
| Charles n 8 | 37.5 | 2.4 | 1.5 | — |
| Yuri Alberto n 8 | 77.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | — |
| Andre n 8 | 54.3 | 1.9 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yuri Alberto n 8 | 77.8 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Jesse Lingard n 8 | 35.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| Vitinho n 8 | 35 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| M. Depay n 8 | 80.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Gui Negão n 8 | 27.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yuri Alberto n 8 | 77.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Vitinho n 8 | 35 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Kaio César n 8 | 75 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Gui Negão n 8 | 27.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Gustavo Henrique n 8 | 91.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Matheuzinho n 8 | 77.6 | 3.3 |
| Charles n 8 | 37.5 | 3.3 |
| Fabrizio Angileri n 8 | 60.9 | 3.1 |
| Raniele n 8 | 85.3 | 2.8 |
| Matheus Bidu n 8 | 72.6 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kauê n 6 | 90.7 | 4 |
| Hugo Souza n 8 | 90.9 | 3.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Vasco DA Gama v Corinthians — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-26 Corinthians 1–0 Vasco DA Gama
- 2025-12-21 Vasco DA Gama 1–2 Corinthians
- 2025-12-18 Corinthians 0–0 Vasco DA Gama
- 2025-08-24 Vasco DA Gama 2–3 Corinthians
- 2025-04-05 Corinthians 3–0 Vasco DA Gama
- 2024-11-24 Corinthians 3–1 Vasco DA Gama
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Vasco DA Gama v Corinthians?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Vasco DA Gama v Corinthians is Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.05 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Vasco DA Gama and Corinthians?
- In their last 6 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 0, Corinthians won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Vasco DA Gama and Corinthians?
- Recent form — Vasco DA Gama 2W 1D 2L; Corinthians 0W 1D 4L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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