Vitoria v Cruzeiro result
Team pages: Vitoria · Cruzeiro · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Vitoria 1–3 Cruzeiro — Cruzeiro won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Cruzeiro won 3–1 at Estádio Manoel Barradas in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 20 September.
Cruzeiro have scored in 12 consecutive matches.
The goals
Cruzeiro came from behind: Vitoria led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Vitoria: Rene (39’, assisted by Matheuzinho); Cruzeiro: Keny Arroyo (46’, assisted by Kaio Jorge), Lucas Villalba (66’, assisted by Keny Arroyo) and Matheus Pereira (90’, assisted by Keny Arroyo).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lucas Villalba’s goal on 66 minutes.
Discipline
Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil showed three yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cruzeiro: Jonathan Jesus (40’), Gerson (78’) and Felipe Morais (87’).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Keny Arroyo (Cruzeiro) 11.7, Kaio Jorge (Cruzeiro) 6.7 and Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro) 6.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Vitoria or Cruzeiro (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.1% of the time in the last 90 days (3315 of 4297).
Next up
Vitoria next travel to Corinthians on 19 October 2026.
Cruzeiro next travel to Gremio on 18 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Vitoria: Corinthians v Vitoria, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Cruzeiro: Gremio v Cruzeiro, Sunday 18 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Vitoria 1–3 Cruzeiro · Serie A – Brazil
- Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas · Salvador, Bahia
- Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Vitoria 0 · draws 2 · Cruzeiro 4 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Vitoria 1W 1D 3L · Cruzeiro 1W 1D 3L
Vitoria 1–3 Cruzeiro (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Vitoria for / against | Line | Cruzeiro for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.38 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.63 for · 18.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.5 for · 20.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.75 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.88 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil — 3.13 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.88 fouls over 16 matches (1.13 to the home side, 2 to the away side).
Vitoria
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabricio n 8 | 14.3 | 3.2 | 0 | — |
| Marinho n 8 | 35 | 2.9 | 5.5 | — |
| Ze Vitor n 8 | 82.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | — |
| Renato Kayzer n 8 | 42.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | — |
| D. Tarzia n 8 | 58.9 | 2.1 | 2.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rene n 8 | 63.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| Osvaldo n 8 | 13 | 2.6 | 0 |
| Fabricio n 8 | 14.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Marinho n 8 | 35 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Ze Vitor n 8 | 82.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fabricio n 8 | 14.3 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Rene n 8 | 63.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Erick n 8 | 62.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Matheuzinho n 8 | 70.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Mateusinho n 8 | 55.4 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marinho n 8 | 35 | 4.5 |
| Ze Vitor n 8 | 82.5 | 4.2 |
| Jamerson n 8 | 64 | 3.2 |
| Fabricio n 8 | 14.3 | 3.2 |
| T. Pochettino n 8 | 36.1 | 3.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo n 8 | 91.4 | 4.3 |
Cruzeiro
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Morais n 5 | 33 | 3.3 | 1.6 | — |
| João Gabriel e Costa Cesco n 8 | 32.9 | 3.1 | 0.7 | — |
| Lucas Silva n 8 | 17 | 2.6 | 2 | — |
| Lucas Romero n 8 | 83.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | — |
| William Furtado n 8 | 59.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Morais n 5 | 33 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| Keny Arroyo n 8 | 76.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Matheus Pereira n 8 | 72.8 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Wanderson n 8 | 22.4 | 2 | 1.5 |
| L. Rodríguez n 8 | 39 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Pereira n 8 | 72.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| L. Rodríguez n 8 | 39 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Bruno Rodrigues n 8 | 37.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Felipe Morais n 5 | 33 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Wanderson n 8 | 22.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Fagner n 8 | 77 | 3.4 |
| Lucas Silva n 8 | 17 | 3.3 |
| Lucas Romero n 8 | 83.4 | 3.1 |
| Wanderson n 8 | 22.4 | 2.5 |
| William Furtado n 8 | 59.5 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Otávio Costa n 8 | 90.9 | 5.2 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Vitoria | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | Possession | 57% |
| 21 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 398 | Passes | 522 |
Vitoria player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caca | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Emmanuel Martinez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Jamerson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Luan Candido | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Tarzia | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Lucas Arcanjo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Matheuzinho | 83 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.1 |
| Rene | 83 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Erick | 69 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.5 |
| E. Brítez | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.4 |
| Caique Goncalves | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Mateusinho | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Ze Vitor | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Lucas Silva | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Alex Bruno | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Renato Kayzer | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Cruzeiro player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keny Arroyo | 90 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| João Marcelo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jonathan Jesus | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Y | 6.8 |
| Kaio Jorge | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Matheus Pereira | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Otávio Costa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Gerson | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| Gabriel Rojas | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Zé Lucas | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Fagner | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Wesley Gassova | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Felipe Morais | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.2 |
| William Furtado | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Matheus Henrique | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Lucas Villalba | 34 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Fabrício Bruno | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Vitoria v Cruzeiro — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-01 Cruzeiro 3–0 Vitoria
- 2025-11-01 Cruzeiro 3–1 Vitoria
- 2025-06-12 Vitoria 0–0 Cruzeiro
- 2024-08-19 Vitoria 2–2 Cruzeiro
- 2024-04-28 Cruzeiro 3–1 Vitoria
- 2018-11-21 Cruzeiro 3–0 Vitoria
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Vitoria v Cruzeiro was Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Vitoria and Cruzeiro?
- In their last 6 meetings, Vitoria won 0, Cruzeiro won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Vitoria and Cruzeiro?
- Recent form — Vitoria 1W 1D 3L; Cruzeiro 1W 1D 3L.
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