Bari v Monza result

Full-time · Bari 1–1 Monza

Serie B · Sun, 31 Aug 2025 20:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bari · Monza

The model’s pre-match pick

Bari 1–1 Monza — this Serie B match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Bari and Monza drew 1–1 in Serie B on Sunday 31 August. Bari are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Monza: Dany Mota (2’, assisted by G. Caprari); Bari: G. Moncini (16’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with G. Moncini’s goal on 16 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bari 0.00, Monza 0.00, from 20 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Simone Galipo, Italy showed six yellow cards — against 5.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bari: A. Partipilo (33’) and S. Kassama (82’); Monza: L. Ravanelli (4’), Pedro Obiang (19’), G. Caprari (27’) and Filippo Delli Carri (88’).

What it changes

Bari stay 15th after this result (two league matches played).

Monza move down from third to sixth (shared) (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. Moncini (Bari) 5.6, Dany Mota (Monza) 5.5 and Samuele Birindelli (Monza) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Monza next host Cagliari on 19 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Monza: Monza v Cagliari, Monday 19 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Bari 1–1 Monza · Serie B
Referee: Simone Galipo, Italy
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Bari 1W 1D 3L · Monza 2W 0D 3L

Bari 1–1 Monza (Serie B): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 0.5

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.13

Corners

against 5.33 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.67 / 2.75

Shots on target

against 5.33 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.33 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.67 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

5.43 yellows

Referee · Simone Galipo, Italy

2.43 home / 3 away

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Bari for / against	Line	Monza for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 5.33 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.83 for · 16.5 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	10.5 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.67 for · 5.33 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	2.75 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.33 for · 13.83 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.33 for · 1.67 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Simone Galipo, Italy — 5.43 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 31 fouls over 7 matches (2.43 to the home side, 3 to the away side).

Home 2.43Away 3

Bari

Bari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Braunöder n 8	40	2.8 4/4	1.4 4/1	Paulo Azzi
A. Favilli n 8	41.5	2.4 5/3	4.1 6/4	—
M. Maita n 8	71.8	1.9 8/3	0.9 5/1	—
R. Pagano n 8	47.3	1.9 6/2	0.2 1/0	Pedro Obiang
N. Bonfanti n 8	35	1.9 3/2	1.9 3/2	—

Bari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Favilli n 8	41.5	3.3 4/3	1.4 3/1
R. Pagano n 8	47.3	2.1 5/4	0.5 2/0
G. Moncini n 8	74.4	1.8 7/3	0.3 2/0
G. Maggiore n 8	61.5	1.8 7/2	1.1 5/1
K. Lasagna n 8	51.1	1.8 4/3	0.4 2/0

Bari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Moncini n 8	74.4	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Favilli n 8	41.5	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
C. Favasuli n 8	61.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
G. Maggiore n 8	61.5	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
C. Falletti n 8	51.4	0 0/0	0.4 2/0

Bari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Braunöder n 8	40	3.9 5/5
R. Maiello n 8	69	2.8 7/5
C. Favasuli n 8	61.8	2.6 6/5
A. Benali n 8	82.6	2.2 7/3
L. Dickmann n 8	90.3	2.1 7/6

Bari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Radunović n 8	90	3.2 6/6

Monza

Monza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Paulo Azzi n 8	71	2.1 6/5	0.2 1/0	M. Braunöder
Dany Mota n 8	82.6	1.9 7/4	2.7 8/7	—
A. Izzo n 8	76.5	1.8 6/5	1.9 7/4	—
Pedro Obiang n 8	49.1	1.8 5/2	1.8 4/3	R. Pagano
L. Lucchesi n 8	88	1.7 7/4	1.3 6/3	—

Monza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Paulo Azzi n 8	71	2.1 7/4	0.5 2/1
Dany Mota n 8	82.6	1.8 7/3	0.7 3/1
O. Forson n 8	25.4	1.3 3/0	0.4 1/0
G. Caprari n 8	73.6	1.1 5/1	0.5 3/0
K. Baldé n 8	59.6	1.1 5/1	0.8 4/0

Monza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Caprari n 8	73.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
A. Izzo n 8	76.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
P. Ciurria n 8	38.5	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Paulo Azzi n 8	71	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
K. Baldé n 8	59.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

Monza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Pedro Obiang n 8	49.1	2.7 7/3
A. Carboni n 8	86.5	2.6 6/5
J. Akpa Akpro n 8	79.1	2.6 6/6
L. Ravanelli n 8	75.1	2.2 7/6
Tomás Palacios n 8	55.6	2.2 6/2

Monza — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Turati n 8	90	2.9 6/5
S. Pizzignacco n 8	80.8	2.9 6/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bari		Monza
44%	Possession	56%
20	Shots	13
4	Shots on target	2
7	Shots off target	4
9	Blocked shots	7
7	Shots inside the box	8
3	Corners	6
2	Offsides	1
11	Fouls	19
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
324	Passes	415
85%	Pass accuracy	87%

Bari player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Cerofolini	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
L. Dickmann	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
D. Nikolaou	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
M. Dorval	90	0	1	1	2	1	0	6.6
M. Verreth	90	0	0	0	2	0	0	7
R. Pagano	90	0	4	1	1	2	0	7.2
G. Sibilli	90	0	2	0	3	2	0	6.9
F. Vicari	80	0	0	0	2	3	0	7.3
G. Moncini	80	1	2	2	1	0	0	7.3
M. Braunöder	75	0	1	0	2	3	0	7.3
A. Partipilo	70	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.3
Emanuele Rao sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
G. Castrovilli sub	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
S. Kassama sub	10	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.6
M. Antonucci sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Monza player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Thiam	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
F. Delli Carri	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.5
L. Ravanelli	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.3
S. Birindelli	90	0	0	2	1	3	1	0	6.3
M. Pessina	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
Pedro Obiang	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7
Paulo Azzi	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
L. Lucchesi	79	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
G. Caprari	75	0	1	0	0	2	1	Y	6.7
Dany Mota	75	1	0	2	1	1	0	0	7.6
N. Galazzi	66	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.5
A. Álvarez sub	24	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Colombo sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
K. Baldé sub	15	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7.3
A. Brorsson sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bari v Monza — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BariWLDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

MonzaWLLLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2025/26

Bari#17 pos40 pts38 pl-22 GD

Monza#3 pos76 pts38 pl+29 GD

Goals per game

Bari scored1

Monza scored1.61

Bari conceded1.58

Monza conceded0.84

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Bari v Monza?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bari v Monza was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Bari and Monza?: Recent form — Bari 1W 1D 3L; Monza 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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