Hellas Verona v Catanzaro prediction
Team pages: Hellas Verona · Catanzaro
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro, Serie B on Fri, 16 Oct 2026 19:30 BST.
The match
Hellas Verona host Catanzaro in Serie B on Friday 16 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Hellas Verona or Catanzaro (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Hellas Verona have scored in eight consecutive matches.
Form and the table
Eight of Hellas Verona’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Hellas Verona’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Hellas Verona have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.13. Hellas Verona have scored 12 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Hellas Verona have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
10 of Catanzaro’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Catanzaro’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Catanzaro have one win, no draws and six defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 2.00. Catanzaro have scored six goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Catanzaro have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.
Hellas Verona (ninth) and Catanzaro (19th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hellas Verona the stronger side, 19 rating points above Catanzaro (Hellas Verona 1424, Catanzaro 1404, after at least 42 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 14 August 2021, finished Hellas Verona 3–0 Catanzaro.
Team news
Predicted Hellas Verona XI (4-2-3-1): N. Leali, A. Edmundsson, D. Bradarić, G. Zappa, P. Dawidowicz, A. Le Borgne, A. Sarr, E. Iannoni, A. Bernede, A. Harroui, S. Mulattieri — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Bradarić (4.6 per match over six appearances, three assists) and A. Sarr (4.4 per match over eight appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Hellas Verona’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hellas Verona (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Bradarić averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 447 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last six appearances. A. Sarr averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 600 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Catanzaro XI (3-4-2-1): M. Pigliacelli, M. Antonini, M. Ruggero, B. Verrengia, J. Petriccione, N. Mosti, G. Alesi, M. Dorval, S. Pafundi, P. Iemmello, N. Koffi — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, S. Pafundi (4.7 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and G. Alesi (3.4 per match over seven appearances, one assist) have been Catanzaro’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Catanzaro (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Pafundi averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 337 minutes. G. Alesi averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 599 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie B
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Hellas Verona 1 · draws 0 · Catanzaro 0 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Hellas Verona 3W 0D 2L · Catanzaro 1W 0D 4L
As of 13 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Hellas Verona v Catanzaro across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Hellas Verona for / against | Line | Catanzaro for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.25 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.88 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.25 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.13 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Hellas Verona
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harroui n 8 | 54.8 | 2.7 | 1 | — |
| P. Dawidowicz n 8 | 74.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | — |
| N. Calabrese n 8 | 62.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 | — |
| K. Sezonienko n 8 | 61.9 | 2.2 | 1.3 | — |
| G. Kastanos n 8 | 60.6 | 2 | 1.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sarr n 8 | 75 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| A. Harroui n 8 | 54.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| M. Compagnon n 8 | 44.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| D. Livramento n 8 | 50.3 | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| T. Suslov n 8 | 66 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mulattieri n 8 | 61.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| M. Compagnon n 8 | 44.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| A. Sarr n 8 | 75 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| D. Bradarić n 8 | 59.8 | 0 | 0.6 |
| E. Iannoni n 8 | 44.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Kastanos n 8 | 60.6 | 2.8 |
| D. Oyegoke n 8 | 62.1 | 2.5 |
| A. Le Borgne n 8 | 64.6 | 2.4 |
| A. Bernede n 8 | 52 | 2.4 |
| T. Slotsager n 8 | 38.1 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Perilli n 8 | 90.6 | 3 |
| N. Leali n 8 | 84.4 | 1.9 |
Catanzaro
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franck Tchaouna n 4 | 23.3 | 2.9 | 1 | — |
| E. Pecorino n 8 | 48.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | — |
| F. Tchaouna n 4 | 30.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | — |
| M. Liberali n 8 | 51.6 | 2 | 3.3 | — |
| R. Frosinini n 8 | 22.9 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Pecorino n 8 | 48.8 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| S. Pafundi n 8 | 53.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| F. Pittarello n 8 | 76 | 2.4 | 1 |
| P. Iemmello n 8 | 84.6 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| N. Koffi n 8 | 60.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. D'Alessandro n 8 | 35.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| R. Frosinini n 8 | 22.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| P. Iemmello n 8 | 84.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| F. Pittarello n 8 | 76 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| B. Verrengia n 8 | 60.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Tchaouna n 4 | 30.3 | 4.5 |
| C. Favasuli n 8 | 57.4 | 3.9 |
| Franck Tchaouna n 4 | 23.3 | 3.9 |
| R. Frosinini n 8 | 22.9 | 3 |
| T. Cassandro n 8 | 63.9 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Pigliacelli n 8 | 91.1 | 3.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Hellas Verona v Catanzaro — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2021-08-14 Hellas Verona 3–0 Catanzaro
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Hellas Verona v Catanzaro is Home or Away (best price 1.27 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Hellas Verona and Catanzaro?
- In their last 1 meetings, Hellas Verona won 1, Catanzaro won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Hellas Verona and Catanzaro?
- Recent form — Hellas Verona 3W 0D 2L; Catanzaro 1W 0D 4L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.