Palermo v Carrarese prediction
Team pages: Palermo · Carrarese
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Palermo vs Carrarese, Serie B on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT.
The match
Palermo host Carrarese in Serie B on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Palermo to win.
The key numbers
Palermo are unbeaten in their last 10 matches. Palermo have scored in 10 consecutive matches. Palermo have scored 16 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
Seven of Palermo’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Palermo’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Palermo have eight wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches — 3.00 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 0.75. Palermo have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Seven of Carrarese’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Carrarese’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Carrarese have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.25. Carrarese have scored six goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Carrarese have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Palermo (first) and Carrarese (12th) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Palermo the stronger side, 352 rating points above Carrarese (Palermo 1836, Carrarese 1484, after at least 83 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Palermo are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Carrarese. The most recent meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Carrarese 0–1 Palermo.
Team news
Predicted Palermo XI (4-2-3-1): M. Fortin, M. Bani, T. Augello, P. Ceccaroni, T. Cassandro, J. Segre, F. Ranocchia, D. Johnsen, D. Vavassori, A. Palumbo, J. Pohjanpalo — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Johnsen (7.2 per match over nine appearances, five goals and seven assists) and A. Palumbo (4.9 per match over seven appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Palermo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Palermo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Johnsen averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 625 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances. A. Palumbo averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 494 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last seven appearances.
Predicted Carrarese XI (3-5-2): S. Pizzignacco, F. Oliana, F. Ruggeri, F. Reale, J. Rouhi, G. Parlanti, N. Schiavi, N. Belloni, J. Martini, F. Abiuso, M. Cissé — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Rubino (4.0 per match over five appearances, two goals) and J. Rouhi (3.5 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Carrarese’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Carrarese (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Rouhi averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 661 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie B · Stadio Renzo Barbera
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Palermo 2 · draws 1 · Carrarese 1 · 2.25 goals/game
- Recent form: Palermo 4W 1D 0L · Carrarese 2W 0D 3L
Palermo v Carrarese (Serie B): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Palermo for / against | Line | Carrarese for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.25 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.38 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.38 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.5 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.25 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Palermo
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Estévez n 8 | 31.6 | 4.3 | 0.4 | — |
| E. Gyasi n 8 | 32.3 | 2.8 | 0.7 | — |
| A. Gabrielloni n 8 | 16.1 | 2.8 | 2.1 | — |
| L. Mazzitelli n 8 | 34.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 | — |
| F. Ranocchia n 8 | 73.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnsen n 8 | 70.4 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| D. Vavassori n 8 | 76.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| J. Pohjanpalo n 8 | 73.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| A. Palumbo n 8 | 73 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Gabriel Strefezza n 8 | 45.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnsen n 8 | 70.4 | 0.8 | 1 |
| A. Gabrielloni n 8 | 16.1 | 0 | 1.4 |
| J. Pohjanpalo n 8 | 73.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| A. Palumbo n 8 | 73 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Gabriel Strefezza n 8 | 45.8 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Ranocchia n 8 | 73.1 | 3.1 |
| T. Cassandro n 8 | 65.4 | 2.9 |
| N. Estévez n 8 | 31.6 | 2.8 |
| A. Bozzolan n 8 | 54.8 | 2.7 |
| Hernani n 8 | 47.8 | 2.6 |
Carrarese
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommaso Guercio n 8 | 22.1 | 2.5 | 4.1 | — |
| N. Belloni n 8 | 62.5 | 2 | 1.4 | — |
| M. Cissé n 8 | 50.8 | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| G. Marconi n 7 | 34.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | — |
| M. Braunöder n 8 | 63 | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Abiuso n 8 | 73.5 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| T. Rubino n 8 | 52.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| M. Cissé n 8 | 50.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| G. Marconi n 7 | 34.1 | 1.9 | 0 |
| N. Cudrig n 4 | 12.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Abiuso n 8 | 73.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| T. Rubino n 8 | 52.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| L. Topalović n 8 | 29.6 | 0 | 0.4 |
| G. Parlanti n 8 | 75.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| J. Rouhi n 8 | 82.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Tommaso Guercio n 8 | 22.1 | 5.6 |
| M. Braunöder n 8 | 63 | 2.9 |
| G. Parlanti n 8 | 75.4 | 2.5 |
| L. Topalović n 8 | 29.6 | 2.3 |
| F. Reale n 8 | 86.9 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Garofani n 3 | 90 | 3.3 |
| S. Pizzignacco n 8 | 89.1 | 2 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Palermo v Carrarese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-08 Carrarese 0–1 Palermo
- 2025-11-29 Palermo 5–0 Carrarese
- 2025-05-13 Palermo 1–1 Carrarese
- 2024-12-07 Carrarese 1–0 Palermo
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Palermo vs Carrarese?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Palermo v Carrarese is Home win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Palermo and Carrarese?
- In their last 4 meetings, Palermo won 2, Carrarese won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Palermo and Carrarese?
- Recent form — Palermo 4W 1D 0L; Carrarese 2W 0D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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