Palermo v Sampdoria result

Full-time · Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria

Serie B · · Stadio Renzo Barbera

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Palermo · Sampdoria · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria — Palermo won this Serie B match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.16 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1490 landed (95% range 73–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Palermo beat Sampdoria 3–1 at Stadio Renzo Barbera in Serie B on Monday 7 September. Palermo have won their last six matches in all competitions. Sampdoria are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Palermo led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Palermo: Gabriel Strefezza (9’, assisted by T. Augello), J. Pohjanpalo (33’) and A. Palumbo (90’, assisted by D. Johnsen); Sampdoria: L. Insigne (63’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gabriel Strefezza’s goal on 9 minutes.

Discipline

M. Marchetti showed five yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Palermo: M. Bani (47’) and A. Palumbo (90+2’); Sampdoria: L. Henderson (18’), L. Insigne (18’) and M. Cicconi (90+6’).

What it changes

Palermo move up from second to first (three league matches played).

Sampdoria move down from 12th to 19th (three league matches played).

Palermo have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Palumbo (Palermo) 6.8, Gabriel Strefezza (Palermo) 5.9 and T. Augello (Palermo) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Palermo or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1122 of 1490).

Next up

Palermo next host Carrarese on 25 October 2026.

Sampdoria next host Arezzo on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Palermo: Palermo v Carrarese, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Sampdoria: Sampdoria v Arezzo, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria · Serie B
  • Venue: Stadio Renzo Barbera · Palermo
  • Referee: M. Marchetti
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Palermo 2 · draws 4 · Sampdoria 0 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Palermo 5W 0D 0L · Sampdoria 1W 1D 3L

Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria (Serie B): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 21 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.5 / 5.88
Corners
against 5.13 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5
Shots on target
against 6 / 2.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePalermo for / againstLineSampdoria for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 15 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 2.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 17 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: M. Marchetti.

Palermo
Palermo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Estévez n 826.6
4.66/2
1.33/0
—
E. Gyasi n 828.4
3.25/2
0.81/1
—
J. Le Douaron n 849.5
2.55/4
0.94/0
—
F. Ranocchia n 881.4
2.47/5
1.26/3
L. Henderson
Gabriel Strefezza n 851.4
2.47/3
2.67/5
G. Tutino
Palermo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Palumbo n 874.3
2.16/6
0.94/1
A. Vasic n 849.3
2.15/3
0.21/0
D. Johnsen n 861.8
26/4
1.36/1
Gabriel Strefezza n 851.4
25/1
1.14/1
J. Le Douaron n 849.5
25/3
0.52/0
Palermo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Johnsen n 861.8
0.74/0
0.53/0
J. Pohjanpalo n 864.9
0.73/1
0.21/0
Hernani n 860.1
0.21/0
0.42/0
D. Vavassori n 556.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
F. Ranocchia n 881.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
Palermo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Estévez n 826.6
4.25/3
Hernani n 860.1
2.87/4
T. Cassandro n 878
2.27/2
M. Bani n 886
2.17/4
P. Peda n 849.9
25/2
Palermo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Fortin n 889.4
4.78/8
J. Joronen n 865.8
3.44/4
Sampdoria
Sampdoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Barák n 833.3
2.74/2
00/0
—
L. Henderson n 872
2.27/4
1.36/2
F. Ranocchia
G. Tutino n 832.4
2.16/0
2.45/1
Gabriel Strefezza
D. Hadžikadunić n 845
24/3
0.31/0
—
Francesco Conti n 867.8
1.85/4
2.37/4
—
Sampdoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Coda n 839
23/2
0.31/0
T. Begić n 875
1.86/3
1.36/2
N. Pierini n 864.1
1.87/3
0.95/0
L. Henderson n 872
1.74/3
1.14/1
M. Brunori n 860.6
1.75/1
0.73/1
Sampdoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Pierini n 864.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Brunori n 860.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
F. Depaoli n 830
0.41/0
00/0
D. Hadžikadunić n 845
00/0
0.31/0
G. Tutino n 832.4
0.31/0
00/0
Sampdoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Francesco Conti n 867.8
2.77/5
A. Di Pardo n 887.5
2.46/6
F. Depaoli n 830
2.32/2
M. Cicconi n 853.3
2.15/3
S. Gartenmann n 884.8
27/4
Sampdoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Vindahl n 890
1.93/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PalermoSampdoria
46%Possession54%
14Shots14
6Shots on target5
5Shots off target9
3Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box9
2Corners5
1Offsides2
14Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves3
423Passes489

Palermo player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Perin9000000006.8
M. Bani90001011Y6.9
P. Ceccaroni9000000106.9
T. Augello9001001106.4
J. Segre9000002306.7
D. Johnsen9001621007
J. Pohjanpalo8410111008
D. Vavassori6900101006.5
N. Pierozzi6500001006.6
F. Ranocchia6500100206.6
Hernani4500000006.3
A. Palumbo45102122Y6.8
N. Estévez2500000106.6
T. Cassandro2500000006.3
Gabriel Strefezza2110110207.9
A. Gabrielloni600110006.7

Sampdoria player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Vindahl9000001006.1
A. Di Pardo9000000006.1
S. Gartenmann9000001106.2
F. Delli Carri9000000006.3
M. Cicconi90000011Y5.7
A. Makoumbou9000000006.7
L. Henderson90004102Y6.2
G. Tutino9000312006.5
Y. Verschaeren8300111105.8
L. Insigne70103210Y7.6
D. Sinani5300103006.8
T. Begić3700200206.5
O. Abildgaard2000001106
Lorenzo Mezzotero700000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Palermo v Sampdoria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PalermoWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
SampdoriaWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Palermo 2 · 4 draws · Sampdoria 0 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-10 Sampdoria 3–3 Palermo
  • 2025-12-12 Palermo 1–0 Sampdoria
  • 2025-03-08 Sampdoria 1–1 Palermo
  • 2024-11-24 Palermo 1–1 Sampdoria
  • 2024-05-17 Palermo 2–0 Sampdoria
  • 2024-04-06 Palermo 2–2 Sampdoria
League standing · 2026/27
Palermo#1 pos19 pts7 pl+9 GD
Sampdoria#19 pos4 pts6 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Palermo scored2.29
Sampdoria scored1
Palermo conceded1
Sampdoria conceded2.17

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Palermo v Sampdoria?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Palermo v Sampdoria was Home or Draw (best price 1.16 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Palermo and Sampdoria?
In their last 6 meetings, Palermo won 2, Sampdoria won 0 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Palermo and Sampdoria?
Recent form — Palermo 5W 0D 0L; Sampdoria 1W 1D 3L.

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