Real Sociedad v Real Madrid prediction

Super Cup – Spain ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Sociedad v Real Madrid, Super Cup – Spain on Tue, 02 Feb 2027 19:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Real Sociedad host Real Madrid in Super Cup – Spain on Tuesday 2 February (kick-off 19:00 UK).

The key numbers

Real Sociedad have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Real Madrid have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Real Sociedad, every meeting checked. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Real Madrid have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Real Sociedad’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 12 of Real Sociedad’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, Real Sociedad have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.00.

10 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Real Madrid have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.57.

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 26 August 2026, finished Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, J. Aramburu (4.1 per match over seven appearances) and Unai Marrero (4.1 per match over three appearances) have been Real Sociedad’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Sociedad (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Aramburu averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 1047 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Unai Marrero averages 4.3 saves per 90 over 270 minutes.

By TACTIX Impact, Kylian Mbappé (7.9 per match over 11 appearances, 11 goals and two assists) and Jude Bellingham (5.7 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Real Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kylian Mbappé averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 1893 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jude Bellingham averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1885 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super Cup – Spain
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Real Sociedad 0 · draws 1 · Real Madrid 5 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Real Sociedad 3W 1D 1L · Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L

Real Sociedad v Real Madrid (Super Cup – Spain): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7 / 6.25
Corners
against 5 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6.75
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameReal Sociedad for / againstLineReal Madrid for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 15.88 against n 8
19.5standard
16.25 for · 14.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
6.75 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 14.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Aramburu n 885.9
3.38/6
2.47/6
—
Y. Herrera n 868.5
36/5
1.88/3
—
Barrenetxea n 859.8
2.67/4
0.94/1
—
J. Ochieng n 854.4
2.35/4
0.83/1
—
O. Óskarsson n 868.6
26/5
0.53/0
—
Real Sociedad — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Óskarsson n 868.6
3.16/5
1.55/3
Mikel Oyarzabal n 870.3
2.28/3
1.15/1
Gonçalo Guedes n 856
1.86/2
0.84/0
L. Sučić n 866.8
1.56/2
0.73/1
Barrenetxea n 859.8
1.55/3
0.63/0
Real Sociedad — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Óskarsson n 868.6
0.73/1
0.32/0
J. Ochieng n 854.4
0.21/0
0.62/1
Héctor Fort n 829.3
0.41/0
0.41/0
Carlos Soler n 867.4
0.21/0
0.53/0
Barrenetxea n 859.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
Real Sociedad — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aihen Muñoz n 840.4
3.16/3
J. Aramburu n 885.9
2.96/5
Y. Herrera n 868.5
2.86/4
Zubeldia n 866.6
2.45/4
Alex Garcia n 841.4
2.46/1
Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álex Remiro n 890
4.18/5
Unai Marrero n 897.5
3.36/4
Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bernardo Silva n 822
23/1
2.64/1
—
I. Konaté n 890
1.58/3
0.42/1
—
Dean Huijsen n 885.3
1.56/4
0.74/1
—
Y. Diomande n 861
1.34/2
35/4
—
Éder Militão n 846.1
1.24/1
1.54/2
—
Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Carlos Espí n 818.5
6.15/3
3.65/1
Kylian Mbappé n 885.3
3.27/7
2.47/5
Vinícius Júnior n 860.3
3.27/5
1.76/3
Endrick n 840.8
2.56/3
0.82/1
A. Güler n 872.3
2.37/3
1.25/1
Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Carlos Espí n 818.5
2.44/0
00/0
Kylian Mbappé n 885.3
1.16/2
0.32/0
Y. Diomande n 861
0.42/0
0.63/0
J. Bellingham n 875.4
0.11/0
0.73/1
Brahim Díaz n 855.3
00/0
0.62/1
Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Marc Cucurella n 882.9
3.38/7
Eduardo Camavinga n 836.6
2.86/1
Bernardo Silva n 822
2.64/1
D. Dumfries n 864
2.36/5
Y. Diomande n 861
2.25/5
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 890
4.47/7

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Real Sociedad v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real SociedadLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Real MadridWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Real Sociedad 0 · 1 draw · Real Madrid 5 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-08-26 Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad
  • 2026-02-14 Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad
  • 2025-09-13 Real Sociedad 1–2 Real Madrid
  • 2025-05-24 Real Madrid 2–0 Real Sociedad
  • 2025-04-01 Real Madrid 4–4 Real Sociedad
  • 2025-02-26 Real Sociedad 0–1 Real Madrid
Goals per game
Real Sociedad scored2.6
Real Madrid scored2.6
Real Sociedad conceded1.8
Real Madrid conceded1.6

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Real Sociedad and Real Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Real Sociedad won 0, Real Madrid won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Sociedad and Real Madrid?
Recent form — Real Sociedad 3W 1D 1L; Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →