Panathinaikos v AEK Athens FC prediction

Super League 1 · Sun, 01 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT · Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 14:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Panathinaikos · AEK Athens FC · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Panathinaikos v AEK Athens FC, Super League 1 on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.85 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 25 October 2026, before the fixture moved

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Panathinaikos host AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

AEK Athens FC have scored 21 goals, the most of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far).

AEK Athens FC have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Panathinaikos have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Panathinaikos’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Panathinaikos’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Panathinaikos have five wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 1.13. Panathinaikos have scored 18 goals, the second-most of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Panathinaikos have conceded four goals, the third-fewest of the 14 clubs.

Nine of AEK Athens FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of AEK Athens FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, AEK Athens FC have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71. AEK Athens FC have conceded three goals, the second-fewest of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Panathinaikos (first) and AEK Athens FC (third) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AEK Athens FC the stronger side, 65 rating points above Panathinaikos (AEK Athens FC 1973, Panathinaikos 1908, after at least 311 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

AEK Athens FC are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Panathinaikos. The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished AEK Athens FC 2–1 Panathinaikos.

Team news

Predicted Panathinaikos XI (4-2-3-1): I. Peña, S. de Vrij, D. Calabria, R. van Drongelen, G. Kiriakopoulos, S. Andino, E. Camara, K. Kangwa, I. Louza, V. Taborda, C. Dessers — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kings Kangwa (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Cyriel Dessers (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, nine goals) have been Panathinaikos’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Panathinaikos (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kings Kangwa averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 633 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Cyriel Dessers averages 5.6 shots per 90 over 544 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted AEK Athens FC XI (4-4-2): A. Brignoli, H. Moukoudi, F. Relvas, S. Pilios, L. Rota, R. Marin, L. Majer, A. Koita, M. Vitális, L. Jović, Zini — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Răzvan Marin (4.9 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and four assists) and Lovro Majer (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and four assists) have been AEK Athens FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AEK Athens FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Răzvan Marin averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 1162 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Lovro Majer averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 834 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT · Super League 1 · Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Panathinaikos 2 · draws 1 · AEK Athens FC 3 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Panathinaikos 4W 0D 1L · AEK Athens FC 3W 0D 2L

Panathinaikos v AEK Athens FC (Super League 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 2.38

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

8.38 / 5.25

Corners

against 1.88 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.75 / 5.5

Shots on target

against 2.13 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.88 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Panathinaikos for / against	Line	AEK Athens FC for / against
Goals scored	2.5 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	8.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	20.13 for · 7.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17.5 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.63 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos Goalkeeper

Panathinaikos — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Iñaki Peña	13	901174 min	191.5 /90	70.5 /90	00 /90

Panathinaikos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Panathinaikos before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Iñaki Peña n 8	90	1.5 3/2

Panathinaikos Defensive

Panathinaikos — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. de Vrij	13	891159 min	161.2 /90	241.9 /90	70.5 /90	524 /90	100.8 /90	10.1 /90
G. Kiriakopoulos	11	86948 min	141.3 /90	100.9 /90	60.6 /90	353.3 /90	141.3 /90	10.1 /90
R. van Drongelen	11	85933 min	111.1 /90	80.8 /90	60.6 /90	494.7 /90	151.4 /90	00 /90
D. Calabria	9	90810 min	192.1 /90	80.9 /90	30.3 /90	293.2 /90	80.9 /90	00 /90
T. Tsapras	4	90359 min	41 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90	102.5 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90
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Panathinaikos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Panathinaikos before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Iñaki Peña n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
S. de Vrij n 8	88.1	1 5/2	0.8 3/2	—
Santino Andino n 8	79.6	3.2 8/7	1.8 6/4	—
Etienne Camara n 8	79.9	2.1 6/5	0.8 3/1	—
Andreas Tetteh n 8	63.8	1.1 4/2	3.2 6/5	—
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Panathinaikos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Panathinaikos before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. de Vrij n 8	88.1	1.5 7/4
Santino Andino n 8	79.6	2.3 7/4
Etienne Camara n 8	79.9	3.5 8/6
Andreas Tetteh n 8	63.8	1.2 2/1
G. Kiriakopoulos n 8	84.3	1.2 5/2
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Panathinaikos Attacking

Panathinaikos — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Andreas Tetteh	12	67803 min	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	252.8 /90	101.1 /90	121.3 /90	131.5 /90
C. Dessers	8	53421 min	61.3 /90	00 /90	265.6 /90	112.4 /90	51.1 /90	40.9 /90
E. Rastoder	6	37222 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	72.8 /90	72.8 /90	52 /90	52 /90
A. Zaroury	3	51153 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	00 /90
Santino Andino	13	77999 min	10.1 /90	40.4 /90	201.8 /90	90.8 /90	191.7 /90	343.1 /90
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Panathinaikos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Panathinaikos before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Iñaki Peña n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. de Vrij n 8	88.1	0.6 3/1	0.4 2/1
Santino Andino n 8	79.6	1.7 6/3	0.7 3/1
Etienne Camara n 8	79.9	0.8 4/2	0 0/0
Andreas Tetteh n 8	63.8	2.8 5/4	1.1 5/1
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Panathinaikos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Panathinaikos before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Iñaki Peña n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. de Vrij n 8	88.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Santino Andino n 8	79.6	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
Etienne Camara n 8	79.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Andreas Tetteh n 8	63.8	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
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AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC Goalkeeper

AEK Athens FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Brignoli	7	90630 min	162.3 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
T. Strakosha	5	90450 min	112.2 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90

AEK Athens FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AEK Athens FC before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Brignoli n 8	90	2.5 6/5
T. Strakosha n 8	91	2.2 6/3

AEK Athens FC Defensive

AEK Athens FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Filipe Relvas	12	901080 min	80.7 /90	221.8 /90	40.3 /90	514.3 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90
H. Moukoudi	12	901080 min	80.7 /90	90.8 /90	80.7 /90	312.6 /90	141.2 /90	10.1 /90
Stavros Pilios	12	891070 min	242 /90	141.2 /90	20.2 /90	615.1 /90	100.8 /90	10.1 /90
L. Rota	11	90987 min	242.2 /90	141.3 /90	30.3 /90	433.9 /90	151.4 /90	30.3 /90
R. Marin	12	78934 min	181.7 /90	40.4 /90	30.3 /90	484.6 /90	191.8 /90	20.2 /90
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AEK Athens FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AEK Athens FC before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Moukoudi n 8	90	1.4 6/3	0.4 3/0	—
Filipe Relvas n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0	—
Stavros Pilios n 8	88.8	0.5 2/2	1.5 6/3	—
R. Marin n 8	74.5	1.4 6/3	1.4 4/4	—
L. Jović n 8	75.8	0.9 4/2	1.5 5/3	—
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AEK Athens FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AEK Athens FC before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Filipe Relvas n 8	90	0.9 5/2
H. Moukoudi n 8	90	0.6 3/1
Stavros Pilios n 8	88.8	1.9 7/3
R. Marin n 8	74.5	1.8 5/4
L. Jović n 8	75.8	0.4 3/0
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AEK Athens FC Attacking

AEK Athens FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Jović	12	75902 min	50.5 /90	00 /90	222.2 /90	111.1 /90	151.5 /90	40.4 /90
B. Varga	9	65584 min	71.1 /90	00 /90	162.5 /90	91.4 /90	60.9 /90	30.5 /90
Zini	9	53475 min	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	173.2 /90	101.9 /90	71.3 /90	71.3 /90
R. Marin	12	78934 min	30.3 /90	40.4 /90	181.7 /90	80.8 /90	282.7 /90	101 /90
Lovro Majer	11	76834 min	10.1 /90	40.4 /90	111.2 /90	50.5 /90	262.8 /90	111.2 /90
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AEK Athens FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AEK Athens FC before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Moukoudi n 8	90	1.1 5/3	0.3 2/0
Filipe Relvas n 8	90	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0
Stavros Pilios n 8	88.8	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
R. Marin n 8	74.5	1.4 7/2	0.6 4/0
L. Jović n 8	75.8	1.8 6/5	0.9 4/2
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AEK Athens FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AEK Athens FC before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Moukoudi n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Filipe Relvas n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Stavros Pilios n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
R. Marin n 8	74.5	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
L. Jović n 8	75.8	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Panathinaikos v AEK Athens FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PanathinaikosLWWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

AEK Athens FCWWLLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Panathinaikos 2 · 1 draw · AEK Athens FC 3 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-05-10 AEK Athens FC 2–1 Panathinaikos
2026-05-03 Panathinaikos 0–0 AEK Athens FC
2026-01-18 AEK Athens FC 4–0 Panathinaikos
2025-11-30 Panathinaikos 2–3 AEK Athens FC
2025-05-04 AEK Athens FC 1–2 Panathinaikos
2025-04-06 Panathinaikos 3–1 AEK Athens FC

League standing · 2026/27

Panathinaikos#1 pos21 pts8 pl+14 GD

AEK Athens FC#3 pos17 pts7 pl+18 GD

Goals per game

Panathinaikos scored2.25

AEK Athens FC scored3

Panathinaikos conceded0.5

AEK Athens FC conceded0.43

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Panathinaikos v AEK Athens FC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Panathinaikos v AEK Athens FC is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.85 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Panathinaikos and AEK Athens FC?: In their last 6 meetings, Panathinaikos won 2, AEK Athens FC won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Panathinaikos and AEK Athens FC?: Recent form — Panathinaikos 4W 0D 1L; AEK Athens FC 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 14:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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