Qingdao Youth Island v Chengdu Better City result

Full-time · Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Chengdu Better City

Super League – China · · Guzhenkou University Sports Center

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Chengdu Better City — this Super League – China match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4599 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Qingdao Youth Island and Chengdu Better City drew 1–1 at Guzhenkou University Sports Center in the Super League – China on Friday 17 July. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Chengdu Better City out-shot Qingdao Youth Island 13 to 10 and created the better chances, 1.17 xG to 0.52 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Qingdao Youth Island led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Qingdao Youth Island: Nelson Luz (23’); Chengdu Better City: Felipe Silva (76’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Felipe Silva’s goal on 76 minutes.

Discipline

Y. Shen showed six yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Qingdao Youth Island: Elnizar Lohman (34’), Yu Dong (41’), Davidson (74’) and Xinli Peng (90+1’); Chengdu Better City: Wei Shihao (53’) and Yang Ming-Yang (68’).

What it changes

Chengdu Better City are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Chengdu Better City have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nelson Luz (Qingdao Youth Island) 7.9, Liao Lisheng (Chengdu Better City) 7.5 and Samir Memisevic (Qingdao Youth Island) 6.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Qingdao Youth Island or Chengdu Better City (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3559 of 4599).

Next up

Qingdao Youth Island next host Yunnan Yukun on 24 October 2026.

Chengdu Better City next host Dalian Zhixing on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Qingdao Youth Island: Qingdao Youth Island v Yunnan Yukun, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Chengdu Better City: Chengdu Better City v Dalian Zhixing, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Chengdu Better City · Super League – China
  • Venue: Guzhenkou University Sports Center · Qingdao
  • Referee: Y. Shen
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Qingdao Youth Island 0 · draws 3 · Chengdu Better City 2 · 4.2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chengdu Better City 3W 2D 0L

Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Chengdu Better City (Super League – China): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.43 / 7.43
Corners
against 6.29 / 2.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.71 / 4.29
Shots on target
against 5.43 / 2.86 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.86 / 2.57
Cards
against 1.86 / 3.57 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.4 yellows
Referee · Y. Shen
1.8 home / 2.6 away
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameQingdao Youth Island for / againstLineChengdu Better City for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.43 for · 6.29 against n 7
9.5standard
7.43 for · 2.57 against n 7
Shots
10.86 for · 15.57 against n 7
19.5standard
14.71 for · 11 against n 7
Shots on target
4.71 for · 5.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.29 for · 2.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.29 for · 15 against n 7
21.5standard
11 for · 13.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.86 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2.57 for · 3.57 against n 7

Referee: Y. Shen — 4.4 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 25.2 fouls over 5 matches (1.8 to the home side, 2.6 to the away side).

Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Youth Island — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Aifeierding Aisikaer n 88.4
2.71/1
00/0
—
Yang Zhanpeng n 839.6
2.65/3
1.44/1
Baihelamu Abuduwaili
Nan Song n 757.7
2.55/3
1.13/2
—
Jia Weiwei n 84.9
2.31/0
2.31/0
—
Meng Jingchao n 816.6
23/0
22/1
—
Qingdao Youth Island — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nelson Luz n 889.5
2.17/5
1.56/3
Yang Zhanpeng n 839.6
1.73/2
0.92/1
Davidson n 889.8
1.58/4
17/1
Aziz n 888.8
1.57/3
16/2
Xinli Peng n 875.4
0.94/1
0.63/1
Qingdao Youth Island — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Nelson Luz n 889.5
0.84/2
0.43/0
Aziz n 888.8
0.32/0
0.53/1
Davidson n 889.8
0.54/0
0.11/0
Xinli Peng n 875.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
Yang Zhanpeng n 839.6
0.31/0
00/0
Qingdao Youth Island — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nan Song n 757.7
3.85/5
Haifeng Ding n 832.8
3.44/2
Gengrui Wang n 884.4
3.18/7
Nelson Luz n 889.5
2.87/6
Aifeierding Aisikaer n 88.4
2.72/0
Qingdao Youth Island — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Hao Li n 890
3.25/5
Chengdu Better City
Chengdu Better City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tang Chuang n 815.9
3.54/1
0.71/0
—
Baihelamu Abuduwaili n 847.3
3.16/4
1.74/2
Yang Zhanpeng
Muzepper Murahmetjan n 819.3
2.94/1
1.82/1
—
Yang Li n 828
2.86/1
0.41/0
—
Chao Gan n 815.6
2.23/0
4.33/2
—
Chengdu Better City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Wei Shihao n 887
2.77/5
1.36/2
Felipe Silva n 871.1
2.77/5
1.66/3
Iminqari Mutallep n 822.3
2.52/1
12/0
Baihelamu Abuduwaili n 847.3
2.46/2
13/1
Wang Ziming n 832.3
1.44/0
0.31/0
Chengdu Better City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tang Chuang n 815.9
1.41/1
0.71/0
Felipe Silva n 871.1
0.95/1
0.32/0
Liao Rongxiang n 825.3
0.41/0
0.41/0
Wei Shihao n 887
0.52/2
00/0
Liao Lisheng n 871.5
00/0
0.21/0
Chengdu Better City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Chao Gan n 815.6
6.55/3
Liao Lisheng n 871.5
3.57/4
Tang Chuang n 815.9
3.52/2
Alex Jojo n 830.6
2.64/1
Muzepper Murahmetjan n 819.3
2.34/0
Chengdu Better City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Liu Dianzuo n 890
1.54/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Qingdao Youth IslandChengdu Better City
33%Possession67%
0.52Expected goals (xG)1.17
10Shots13
3Shots on target2
4Shots off target9
3Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box10
1Corners4
1Offsides5
19Fouls18
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
255Passes519
76%Pass accuracy87%

Qingdao Youth Island player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Hao Li9000000007.2
Yu Dong90000001Y5.9
Samir Memisevic9000000508
Peng Wang9000001006.5
Gengrui Wang9000000106.3
Nelson Luz9010310107.7
Davidson90001112Y6.9
Aziz9000110106.7
Xinli Peng89000033Y7.9
Elnizar Lohman70001001Y6.5
Yang Zhanpeng6400100206.3
Chengdong Zhang sub2600000006.2
S. Jin sub2000000006.2
Meng Jingchao sub10000010–

Chengdu Better City player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Liu Dianzuo9000000006.9
He Yiran9000002406.9
Egor Sorokin9000100006.7
Wellington Silva9000101106.9
Yang Ming-Yang90000013Y7.3
Liao Lisheng9000000707.2
Wei Shihao90003030Y7
Yang Li8100000006.7
Hu Hetao5800000306.3
Wang Ziming5800210006.3
Baihelamu Abuduwaili4500100106.2
Felipe Silva sub4510311007.2
Wang Dongsheng sub3200001007
Rômulo sub3200001006.9
Dong Yanfeng sub900000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Qingdao Youth Island v Chengdu Better City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Qingdao Youth Island
Chengdu Better CityWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Qingdao Youth Island 0 · 3 draws · Chengdu Better City 2 · 4.2 goals/game
  • 2026-04-03 Chengdu Better City 5–1 Qingdao Youth Island
  • 2025-10-26 Qingdao Youth Island 2–2 Chengdu Better City
  • 2025-05-17 Chengdu Better City 1–1 Qingdao Youth Island
  • 2024-10-27 Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Chengdu Better City
  • 2024-05-26 Chengdu Better City 7–0 Qingdao Youth Island
League standing · 2026
Qingdao Youth Island#7 pos38 pts28 pl-6 GD
Chengdu Better City#1 pos52 pts28 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
Qingdao Youth Island scored1.11
Chengdu Better City scored1.82
Qingdao Youth Island conceded1.32
Chengdu Better City conceded1.21

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Qingdao Youth Island v Chengdu Better City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Qingdao Youth Island v Chengdu Better City was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Qingdao Youth Island and Chengdu Better City?
In their last 5 meetings, Qingdao Youth Island won 0, Chengdu Better City won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 4.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Qingdao Youth Island and Chengdu Better City?
Recent form — Chengdu Better City 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →