Yunnan Yukun v Hangzhou Greentown result

Full-time · Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Hangzhou Greentown

Super League – China · · Yuxi plateau Sports Center Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Hangzhou Greentown — Hangzhou Greentown won this Super League – China match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 386 of 591 times (65.3%), against an average rating of 68.8%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Hangzhou Greentown won 2–1 at Yuxi plateau Sports Center Stadium in the Super League – China on Wednesday 6 May.

The goals

Hangzhou Greentown came from behind: Yunnan Yukun led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Yunnan Yukun: Cléber (6’, assisted by Oscar Taty Maritu); Hangzhou Greentown: Marko Tolić (58’ pen) and Di Gao (90’, assisted by A. Mitriță). Di Gao (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Di Gao’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Yunnan Yukun 1.16, Hangzhou Greentown 1.96, from 10 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Qiu Zhaojun showed eight yellow cards and one red — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marko Tolić (Hangzhou Greentown) 6.6, Alexandru Ioniță (Yunnan Yukun) 5.9 and Oscar Taty Maritu (Yunnan Yukun) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.6% of the time in the last 90 days (422 of 643).

Next up

Yunnan Yukun next travel to Qingdao Youth Island on 24 October 2026.

Hangzhou Greentown next travel to Shenyang Urban on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Yunnan Yukun: Qingdao Youth Island v Yunnan Yukun, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Hangzhou Greentown: Shenyang Urban v Hangzhou Greentown, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Hangzhou Greentown · Super League – China
  • Venue: Yuxi plateau Sports Center Stadium · Yuxi
  • Referee: Qiu Zhaojun
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Yunnan Yukun 0 · draws 1 · Hangzhou Greentown 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Yunnan Yukun 2W 1D 2L · Hangzhou Greentown 1W 1D 3L

Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Hangzhou Greentown (Super League – China): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 2 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 4
over 8 matches
4.5 / 6.75
Corners
against 6 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.75
Cards
against 2 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.83 yellows
Referee · Qiu Zhaojun
2.83 home / 2 away
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameYunnan Yukun for / againstLineHangzhou Greentown for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
4our book
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
6.75 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
16.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
14.25 for · 14.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Qiu Zhaojun — 4.83 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 28.33 fouls over 6 matches (2.83 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Yunnan Yukun
Yunnan Yukun — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bunyamin Abdusalam n 311.3
5.32/0
00/0
—
Zilong Han n 514.8
2.42/0
1.21/0
—
Yuhao Zhao n 830
2.35/1
0.82/0
—
Zhang Yufeng n 829.8
1.93/1
0.82/0
—
Chenliang Zhang n 862.3
1.86/3
0.21/0
—
Yunnan Yukun — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Zilong Han n 514.8
4.92/2
1.21/0
Oscar Taty Maritu n 889.9
3.38/7
2.17/6
Alexandru Ioniță n 881.3
2.87/7
0.84/2
Cléber n 889.1
1.87/3
0.65/0
John Hou Sæter n 862.8
1.44/2
0.73/1
Yunnan Yukun — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alexandru Ioniță n 881.3
0.32/0
1.15/3
Oscar Taty Maritu n 889.9
15/3
0.11/0
Cléber n 889.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
John Hou Sæter n 862.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Teng Yi n 845.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Yunnan Yukun — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bunyamin Abdusalam n 311.3
5.31/1
Zilong Han n 514.8
4.93/1
Alexandru Ioniță n 881.3
2.68/5
Zhang Yufeng n 829.8
2.64/3
Zichang Huang n 836.4
1.95/1
Yunnan Yukun — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Yaxiong Bao n 890
2.56/4
Hangzhou Greentown
Hangzhou Greentown — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Hao Fang n 831.6
2.84/2
1.13/0
—
Shiqin Wang n 835.4
2.54/2
12/1
—
Wei Wu n 855.3
2.27/3
0.82/2
—
Saúl Guarirapa n 873.1
26/4
1.56/3
—
Jiaqi Zhang n 833.8
23/2
25/1
—
Hangzhou Greentown — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Abdusalam Ablikim n 816
3.53/2
0.71/0
Wang Yudong n 876.9
2.38/5
1.35/2
A. Mitriță n 886.9
1.97/5
0.53/1
Qianglong Tao n 834.8
1.95/1
0.62/0
Saúl Guarirapa n 873.1
1.76/3
0.95/1
Hangzhou Greentown — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Mitriță n 886.9
0.11/0
0.53/1
Wang Yudong n 876.9
0.63/1
00/0
Saúl Guarirapa n 873.1
0.32/0
00/0
Wang Chang n 841.5
00/0
0.31/0
Qianglong Tao n 834.8
0.31/0
00/0
Hangzhou Greentown — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Alexander N'Doumbou n 847.3
2.96/4
Hao Fang n 831.6
2.86/2
Xu Junchi n 650.2
2.43/2
Abdusalam Ablikim n 816
2.13/0
Bao Shengxin n 845
25/2
Hangzhou Greentown — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Bo Zhao n 890
2.45/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Yunnan YukunHangzhou Greentown
46%Possession54%
1.16Expected goals (xG)1.96
10Shots13
2Shots on target6
5Shots off target6
3Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box5
4Corners2
1Offsides4
21Fouls17
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
4Saves1
356Passes410
81%Pass accuracy85%

Yunnan Yukun player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Zhifeng Wang9000000007
Andrei Burcă90000001Y5.9
Xin Xu9000001307.2
John Hou Sæter9000002006.6
Alexandru Ioniță90001018Y6.9
Cléber9010210007.2
Oscar Taty Maritu9001413007
Ke Shi7400000006.9
Zichang Huang74000010Y7
Chenliang Zhang6300000106.2
Chugui Ye3700001106.9
Caio Vinícius sub5300000106.5
Zihao Yang sub2700001006.5
Miao Tang sub1600000106.6
Teng Yi sub1600000106.3

Hangzhou Greentown player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Chunyu Dong9000000006.7
Tong Lei90000004Y6.5
Zhang Aihui9000000006.9
Liu Haofan9000001006.7
Guowen Sun9000001006.2
Jiaqi Zhang90001000Y6.7
Jin-seob Park9000000007.3
A. Mitriță9001413006.9
Marko Tolić89104410Y7
Qianglong Tao8900100007.2
Wang Yudong7600000006.2
Hao Fang sub1400100106.3
Di Gao sub12101100RY7.3
Alexander N'Doumbou sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Yunnan Yukun v Hangzhou Greentown — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Yunnan YukunWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Hangzhou GreentownLDLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Yunnan Yukun 0 · 1 draw · Hangzhou Greentown 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-07-18 Hangzhou Greentown 3–1 Yunnan Yukun
  • 2025-03-01 Yunnan Yukun 1–1 Hangzhou Greentown
League standing · 2026
Yunnan Yukun#5 pos39 pts28 pl-3 GD
Hangzhou Greentown#11 pos31 pts28 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Yunnan Yukun scored2
Hangzhou Greentown scored1.68
Yunnan Yukun conceded2.11
Hangzhou Greentown conceded1.86

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Yunnan Yukun v Hangzhou Greentown?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Yunnan Yukun v Hangzhou Greentown was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Yunnan Yukun and Hangzhou Greentown?
In their last 2 meetings, Yunnan Yukun won 0, Hangzhou Greentown won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Yunnan Yukun and Hangzhou Greentown?
Recent form — Yunnan Yukun 2W 1D 2L; Hangzhou Greentown 1W 1D 3L.

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