Antalyaspor v Fatih Karagümrük result

Full-time · Antalyaspor 1–2 Fatih Karagümrük

Süper Lig · · Corendon Airlines Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Antalyaspor 1–2 Fatih Karagümrük — Fatih Karagümrük won this Süper Lig match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 51.3% of 160 landed (95% range 43.6–58.9%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Fatih Karagümrük won 2–1 at Corendon Airlines Park in the Süper Lig on Saturday 30 August.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Antalyaspor: G. Vural (11’, assisted by N. Storm); Fatih Karagümrük: A. Çınar (42’, assisted by Daniel Johnson) and Daniel Johnson (90’, assisted by A. Çankaya).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Johnson’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Antalyaspor 0.91, Fatih Karagümrük 1.56, from 9 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Aydin showed two yellow cards — against 5.8 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fatih Karagümrük: Baris Kalayci (51’) and Tarık Buğra Kalpaklı (56’).

What it changes

Antalyaspor have scored 33 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Antalyaspor have conceded 55 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs.

Fatih Karagümrük have scored 31 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Fatih Karagümrük have conceded 54 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daniel Johnson (Fatih Karagümrük) 10.5, A. Çınar (Fatih Karagümrük) 7.9 and G. Vural (Antalyaspor) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Antalyaspor 1–2 Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig
  • Venue: Corendon Airlines Park · Antalya
  • Referee: C. Aydin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Antalyaspor 4 · draws 1 · Fatih Karagümrük 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Antalyaspor 2W 0D 3L · Fatih Karagümrük 1W 0D 4L

Antalyaspor 1–2 Fatih Karagümrük (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AntalyasporFatih Karagümrük
48%Possession52%
0.91Expected goals (xG)1.56
9Shots17
6Shots on target6
2Shots off target8
1Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box6
7Corners4
2Offsides1
15Fouls14
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves4
362Passes397
81%Pass accuracy84%

Antalyaspor Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Julián9000000006.7
L. Gianetti9000210006.2
K. Paal9000000206.3
J. Ceesay9000000106.6
S. van de Streek9000002307
N. Storm9001002006.9
G. Vural8610332108.3
T. Čvančara8600210106.7
G. Dzhikiya7500000006.3
B. Balcı6400000307
A. Ömür6400110306.3
D. Šarić sub2600000106.3
J. Kałuziński sub2600001006.7
H. Türkmen sub1500000006.5
M. Yılmaz sub1100000006.2
P. Yıldırım sub1100000006.5

Fatih Karagümrük Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Grbić9000000006.9
A. Çankaya9001211206.3
Muhammed Kadioglu9000001007
J. Balkovec9000001307.5
Daniel Johnson9011323107.9
T. Çukur9000215106.3
A. Çınar8910110207.6
Baris Kalayci89003110Y6.7
A. Gray8500101006.3
Tarık Buğra Kalpaklı71002000Y6.2
Serginho7100000106.5
Ç. Kurukalıp sub1900000006.9
B. Özcan sub1900001006.7
A. Demirol sub1200000006.7
F. Kurucuk sub10000000–
N. Ugrekhelidze sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Antalyaspor v Fatih Karagümrük — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AntalyasporLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Fatih KaragümrükWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Antalyaspor 4 · 1 draw · Fatih Karagümrük 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2024-04-29 Fatih Karagümrük 4–1 Antalyaspor
  • 2023-12-09 Antalyaspor 2–1 Fatih Karagümrük
  • 2023-04-29 Fatih Karagümrük 0–1 Antalyaspor
  • 2022-11-06 Antalyaspor 4–2 Fatih Karagümrük
  • 2022-02-13 Antalyaspor 3–0 Fatih Karagümrük
  • 2021-09-21 Fatih Karagümrük 0–0 Antalyaspor
League standing · 2025/26
Antalyaspor#16 pos32 pts34 pl-22 GD
Fatih Karagümrük#18 pos30 pts34 pl-23 GD
Goals per game
Antalyaspor scored0.97
Fatih Karagümrük scored0.91
Antalyaspor conceded1.62
Fatih Karagümrük conceded1.59

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Antalyaspor v Fatih Karagümrük?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Antalyaspor v Fatih Karagümrük was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Antalyaspor and Fatih Karagümrük?
In their last 6 meetings, Antalyaspor won 4, Fatih Karagümrük won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Antalyaspor and Fatih Karagümrük?
Recent form — Antalyaspor 2W 0D 3L; Fatih Karagümrük 1W 0D 4L.

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