Antalyaspor v Kasımpaşa result

Full-time · Antalyaspor 2–1 Kasımpaşa

Süper Lig · · Corendon Airlines Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Antalyaspor 2–1 Kasımpaşa — Antalyaspor won this Süper Lig match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 1436 landed (95% range 66.1–70.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 774 of 1,188 times (65.2%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Antalyaspor beat Kasımpaşa 2–1 at Corendon Airlines Park in the Süper Lig on Saturday 9 August. Kasımpaşa have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Antalyaspor led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Antalyaspor: G. Vural (19’, assisted by S. van de Streek) and N. Storm (40’, assisted by V. Sarı); Kasımpaşa: P. Guèye (31’, assisted by M. Ben Ouanes).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with N. Storm’s goal on 40 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Antalyaspor 1.74, Kasımpaşa 0.68, from 16 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Akarsu showed seven yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Antalyaspor: G. Vural (9’), K. Paal (16’) and P. Yıldırım (85’); Kasımpaşa: Y. Barası (65’), A. Gianniotis (90+1’), Cláudio Winck (90+5’) and M. Ben Ouanes (90+11’).

What it changes

Antalyaspor are second (shared) after this result (one league match played). Antalyaspor have scored 33 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Antalyaspor have conceded 55 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs.

Kasımpaşa are 16th (shared) after this result (one league match played). Kasımpaşa have scored 33 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Kasımpaşa have conceded 49 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.

Kasımpaşa are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, N. Storm (Antalyaspor) 7.6, S. van de Streek (Antalyaspor) 6.9 and G. Vural (Antalyaspor) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Kasımpaşa, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (984 of 1436).

Next up

Kasımpaşa next host Çorluspor 1947 on 29 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kasımpaşa: Kasımpaşa v Çorluspor 1947, Thursday 29 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Antalyaspor 2–1 Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig
  • Venue: Corendon Airlines Park · Antalya
  • Referee: A. Akarsu
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Antalyaspor 1 · draws 2 · Kasımpaşa 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Antalyaspor 1W 1D 3L · Kasımpaşa 1W 2D 2L

Antalyaspor 2–1 Kasımpaşa (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AntalyasporKasımpaşa
37%Possession63%
1.74Expected goals (xG)0.68
16Shots10
6Shots on target2
8Shots off target5
2Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box5
3Corners3
1Offsides2
12Fouls21
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves4
252Passes417
70%Pass accuracy81%

Antalyaspor Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Yiğiter9000000006.3
V. Sarı9001101007
K. Paal90000000Y6.7
J. Kałuziński9000003106.9
G. Vural90105231Y8
N. Storm9010322107.9
S. van de Streek8401102107.3
S. Dikmen8400100106.9
T. Čvančara8400321006.2
A. Ömür6400000006.3
B. Öztürk3800000006.2
G. Dzhikiya sub5200000006.9
B. Balcı sub2600000107.3
M. Yılmaz sub1700000006.6
Hasan Yakub İlçin sub1700000006.9
P. Yıldırım sub17000000Y6.3

Kasımpaşa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Gianniotis90000000Y7.5
Cláudio Winck90000010Y6.6
N. Opoku9000100106.3
A. Szalai9000001106.3
H. Hajradinovic9000201006.9
M. Ben Ouanes90010020Y6.7
P. Guèye9010211107.9
M. Fall8700000206.3
A. Baldursson8500000106.7
Cafú8500001006.6
J. Espinoza6400000006
Y. Barası sub26001110Y6.5
C. Üstündag sub1600000106.9
K. Kanatsızkuş sub1600000006.5
A. Kol sub1400101006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Antalyaspor v Kasımpaşa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AntalyasporWLDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
KasımpaşaDWLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Antalyaspor 1 · 2 draws · Kasımpaşa 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-02-22 Antalyaspor 2–1 Kasımpaşa
  • 2024-09-22 Kasımpaşa 0–0 Antalyaspor
  • 2024-05-12 Kasımpaşa 3–1 Antalyaspor
  • 2023-12-20 Antalyaspor 0–0 Kasımpaşa
  • 2023-03-06 Kasımpaşa 3–1 Antalyaspor
  • 2022-09-04 Antalyaspor 0–2 Kasımpaşa
League standing · 2025/26
Antalyaspor#16 pos32 pts34 pl-22 GD
Kasımpaşa#13 pos35 pts34 pl-16 GD
Goals per game
Antalyaspor scored0.97
Kasımpaşa scored0.97
Antalyaspor conceded1.62
Kasımpaşa conceded1.44

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Antalyaspor v Kasımpaşa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Antalyaspor v Kasımpaşa was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Antalyaspor and Kasımpaşa?
In their last 6 meetings, Antalyaspor won 1, Kasımpaşa won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Antalyaspor and Kasımpaşa?
Recent form — Antalyaspor 1W 1D 3L; Kasımpaşa 1W 2D 2L.

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