Fatih Karagümrük v Alanyaspor result

Full-time · Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Alanyaspor

Süper Lig · Sat, 16 May 2026 15:00 BST · Ataturk Olimpiyat

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fatih Karagümrük · Alanyaspor · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Alanyaspor — Fatih Karagümrük won this Süper Lig match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 51.3% of 160 landed (95% range 43.6–58.9%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Fatih Karagümrük beat Alanyaspor 2–1 at Ataturk Olimpiyat in the Süper Lig on Saturday 16 May. Alanyaspor are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Fatih Karagümrük, every meeting checked.

The goals

Fatih Karagümrük came from behind: Alanyaspor led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Alanyaspor: M. Elia (32’, assisted by F. Hadërgjonaj); Fatih Karagümrük: Sam Larsson (48’, assisted by Baris Kalayci; 72’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sam Larsson’s goal on 72 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Fatih Karagümrük 1.78, Alanyaspor 0.74, from 8 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

O. Aksu showed one yellow card — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fatih Karagümrük: Ç. Kurukalıp (90+4’).

What it changes

Fatih Karagümrük have scored 31 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Fatih Karagümrük have conceded 54 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

Alanyaspor have scored 41 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Alanyaspor have conceded 41 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Fatih Karagümrük are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sam Larsson (Fatih Karagümrük) 11.1, M. Elia (Alanyaspor) 6.3 and Bartuğ Elmaz (Fatih Karagümrük) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Alanyaspor next travel to Gençlerbirliği S.K. on 2 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Alanyaspor: Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Alanyaspor, Monday 2 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Alanyaspor · Süper Lig
Venue: Ataturk Olimpiyat · Istanbul
Referee: O. Aksu
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Fatih Karagümrük 0 · draws 3 · Alanyaspor 3 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Fatih Karagümrük 2W 1D 2L · Alanyaspor 1W 1D 3L

Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Alanyaspor (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.5

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 4.25

Corners

against 5.25 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 4

Shots on target

against 4 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.13 / 2.5

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.8 yellows

Referee · O. Aksu

23.2 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Fatih Karagümrük for / against	Line	Alanyaspor for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.38 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.13 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.88 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: O. Aksu — 2.8 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 23.2 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Fatih Karagümrük

Fatih Karagümrük Goalkeeper

Fatih Karagümrük — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
I. Grbić	32	902880 min	1183.7 /90	521.6 /90	20.1 /90

Fatih Karagümrük — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Grbić n 8	90	3.9 7/7

Fatih Karagümrük Defensive

Fatih Karagümrük — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Ricardo Esgaio	24	872086 min	632.7 /90	190.8 /90	40.2 /90	1104.7 /90	411.8 /90	30.1 /90
A. Çankaya	17	901530 min	311.8 /90	261.5 /90	60.4 /90	1126.6 /90	221.3 /90	30.2 /90
J. Balkovec	17	891513 min	191.1 /90	140.8 /90	90.5 /90	593.5 /90	161 /90	70.4 /90
Ç. Kurukalıp	16	701114 min	231.9 /90	211.7 /90	40.3 /90	655.3 /90	161.3 /90	10.1 /90
I. Lichnovsky	13	901170 min	141.1 /90	171.3 /90	40.3 /90	473.6 /90	80.6 /90	30.2 /90
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Fatih Karagümrük — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Grbić n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
Serginho n 8	72.1	1.9 6/4	2.3 5/4	—
B. Özcan n 8	70	1.1 5/1	1.4 6/3	Hwang Ui-Jo
T. Çukur n 8	56.3	3.4 7/4	1.2 3/2	—
Ricardo Esgaio n 8	90	2.1 8/6	0.5 2/2	F. Aliti
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Fatih Karagümrük — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Serginho n 8	72.1	1.2 6/2
B. Özcan n 8	70	1.4 5/3
T. Çukur n 8	56.3	1 2/1
Ricardo Esgaio n 8	90	4.4 8/8
M. Kranevitter n 8	63	1.1 5/1
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Fatih Karagümrük Attacking

Fatih Karagümrük — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Çukur	26	591527 min	20.1 /90	30.2 /90	221.3 /90	100.6 /90	231.4 /90	50.3 /90
S. Larsson	21	701478 min	10.1 /90	30.2 /90	161 /90	100.6 /90	362.2 /90	251.5 /90
D. Fofana	13	76983 min	60.5 /90	00 /90	141.3 /90	80.7 /90	90.8 /90	232.1 /90
A. Gray	9	57512 min	00 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	20.4 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90
Tarık Buğra Kalpaklı	7	38267 min	00 /90	00 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90
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Fatih Karagümrük — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Grbić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Serginho n 8	72.1	1.9 6/5	0.9 4/2
B. Özcan n 8	70	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
T. Çukur n 8	56.3	1 5/0	0.6 3/0
Ricardo Esgaio n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Fatih Karagümrük — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Grbić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Serginho n 8	72.1	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
B. Özcan n 8	70	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Çukur n 8	56.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Ricardo Esgaio n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor Goalkeeper

Alanyaspor — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
E. Taşkıran	21	901890 min	602.9 /90	251.2 /90	10 /90
Paulo Victor	13	901170 min	332.5 /90	171.3 /90	10.1 /90

Alanyaspor — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alanyaspor before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Taşkıran n 8	90	2.4 6/4
Paulo Victor n 8	90	2.9 5/4

Alanyaspor Defensive

Alanyaspor — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Nuno Lima	32	882825 min	230.7 /90	220.7 /90	210.7 /90	1043.3 /90	381.2 /90	90.3 /90
Ü. Akdağ	31	882714 min	371.2 /90	351.2 /90	190.6 /90	1454.8 /90	431.4 /90	80.3 /90
F. Aliti	29	892584 min	361.3 /90	391.4 /90	190.7 /90	1184.1 /90	371.3 /90	100.3 /90
F. Aksoy	12	74887 min	111.1 /90	141.4 /90	70.7 /90	383.9 /90	80.8 /90	00 /90
Bruno Viana	5	61307 min	82.3 /90	10.3 /90	30.9 /90	195.6 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90
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Alanyaspor — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alanyaspor before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Hwang Ui-Jo n 8	82.8	1.1 4/2	0.5 4/0	B. Özcan
Nuno Lima n 8	89.9	2.3 7/7	1.1 6/1	—
Ü. Akdağ n 8	81.5	1.5 6/4	1 5/1	—
G. Makouta n 8	78.6	1.6 6/4	1.6 6/3	—
F. Aliti n 8	90	0.6 5/0	1.3 6/4	Ricardo Esgaio
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Alanyaspor — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alanyaspor before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Hwang Ui-Jo n 8	82.8	0.5 2/1
Nuno Lima n 8	89.9	0.6 3/1
Ü. Akdağ n 8	81.5	1.1 5/2
G. Makouta n 8	78.6	1 3/2
F. Aliti n 8	90	0.9 5/2
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Alanyaspor Attacking

Alanyaspor — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Hwang Ui-Jo	33	752474 min	40.1 /90	60.2 /90	311.1 /90	150.5 /90	281 /90	140.5 /90
İ. Kaya	26	461194 min	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	241.8 /90	131 /90	191.4 /90	120.9 /90
I. Hagi	24	571373 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	281.8 /90	110.7 /90	342.2 /90	151 /90
G. Yalçın	19	50959 min	70.7 /90	00 /90	201.9 /90	111 /90	50.5 /90	100.9 /90
S. Mounié	16	44707 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	212.7 /90	81 /90	111.4 /90	30.4 /90
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Alanyaspor — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alanyaspor before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Hwang Ui-Jo n 8	82.8	1 5/2	0.4 3/0
Nuno Lima n 8	89.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Ü. Akdağ n 8	81.5	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
G. Makouta n 8	78.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Aliti n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Alanyaspor — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alanyaspor before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Hwang Ui-Jo n 8	82.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Nuno Lima n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Ü. Akdağ n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Makouta n 8	78.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Aliti n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Fatih Karagümrük		Alanyaspor
44%	Possession	56%
1.78	Expected goals (xG)	0.74
8	Shots	11
4	Shots on target	4
1	Shots off target	5
3	Blocked shots	2
5	Shots inside the box	4
0	Corners	4
2	Offsides	2
12	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
424	Passes	544
84%	Pass accuracy	88%

Fatih Karagümrük Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. Bekleviç	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Ricardo Esgaio	90	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.3
D. Biraschi	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
A. Çınar	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Ç. Kurukalıp	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
B. Elmaz	90	0	0	1	0	0	6	0	7.3
M. Kranevitter	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
B. Özcan	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.2
Baris Kalayci	89	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	6.6
S. Larsson	89	2	0	2	2	1	1	0	8.7
Traore Ahmed	64	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6
S. Babicka sub	26	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.5
F. Kurucuk sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Tarık Buğra Kalpaklı sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Alanyaspor Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Paulo Victor	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Nuno Lima	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.6
F. Aliti	90	0	0	2	1	0	0	6.2
F. Hadërgjonaj	90	0	1	0	0	2	1	6.9
M. Elia	90	1	0	1	1	2	1	7.3
Ruan	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	6.7
Bruno Viana	82	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.3
Maestro	81	0	0	1	1	0	2	6.9
G. Makouta	72	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
E. Keskin	72	0	0	1	0	1	0	6
Hwang Ui-Jo	72	0	0	1	1	0	0	6.7
İ. Çelik sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
I. Hagi sub	18	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
İ. Kaya sub	18	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.2
E. Karaca sub	9	0	0	1	0	1	0	6.6
G. Yalçın sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fatih Karagümrük v Alanyaspor — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Fatih KaragümrükLLDWW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

AlanyasporLLLDW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Fatih Karagümrük 0 · 3 draws · Alanyaspor 3 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-01-13 Alanyaspor 2–2 Fatih Karagümrük
2025-12-21 Alanyaspor 2–0 Fatih Karagümrük
2025-02-06 Alanyaspor 4–1 Fatih Karagümrük
2024-02-25 Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Alanyaspor
2023-10-06 Alanyaspor 2–1 Fatih Karagümrük
2023-01-22 Alanyaspor 2–2 Fatih Karagümrük

League standing · 2025/26

Fatih Karagümrük#18 pos30 pts34 pl-23 GD

Alanyaspor#11 pos37 pts34 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Fatih Karagümrük scored0.91

Alanyaspor scored1.21

Fatih Karagümrük conceded1.59

Alanyaspor conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fatih Karagümrük v Alanyaspor?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Fatih Karagümrük v Alanyaspor was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Fatih Karagümrük and Alanyaspor?: In their last 6 meetings, Fatih Karagümrük won 0, Alanyaspor won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fatih Karagümrük and Alanyaspor?: Recent form — Fatih Karagümrük 2W 1D 2L; Alanyaspor 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.