Fatih Karagümrük v Rizespor result

Full-time · Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Rizespor

Süper Lig · · Ataturk Olimpiyat

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Rizespor — Fatih Karagümrük won this Süper Lig match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 51.3% of 160 landed (95% range 43.6–58.9%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Fatih Karagümrük beat Rizespor 2–1 at Ataturk Olimpiyat in the Süper Lig on Sunday 5 April.

The goals

Fatih Karagümrük led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Fatih Karagümrük: Serginho (39’, assisted by D. Verde) and S. Babicka (87’, assisted by T. Çukur); Rizespor: A. Sowe (70’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Babicka’s goal on 87 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Fatih Karagümrük 1.32, Rizespor 1.55, from 10 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Y. Arslan showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fatih Karagümrük: Ç. Kurukalıp (78’); Rizespor: Samet Akaydin (58’) and C. Højer (74’).

What it changes

Fatih Karagümrük have scored 31 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Fatih Karagümrük have conceded 54 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

Rizespor have scored 46 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Rizespor have conceded 52 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, S. Babicka (Fatih Karagümrük) 8.4, Serginho (Fatih Karagümrük) 7.6 and M. Pala (Rizespor) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Rizespor next travel to Kocaelispor on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rizespor: Kocaelispor v Rizespor, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Rizespor · Süper Lig
  • Venue: Ataturk Olimpiyat · Istanbul
  • Referee: Y. Arslan
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fatih Karagümrük 3 · draws 1 · Rizespor 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fatih Karagümrük 2W 1D 2L · Rizespor 3W 0D 2L

Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Rizespor (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.14 / 4.5
Corners
against 5 / 4 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.43 / 5.17
Shots on target
against 4.14 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.13 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.8 yellows
Referee · Y. Arslan
27.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFatih Karagümrük for / againstLineRizespor for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.14 for · 5 against n 7
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4 against n 6
Shots
11.29 for · 12.43 against n 7
19.5standard
13.17 for · 12.83 against n 6
Shots on target
4.43 for · 4.14 against n 7
8.5standard
5.17 for · 3.5 against n 6
Fouls committed
13.57 for · 14 against n 7
21.5standard
13.5 for · 15.83 against n 6
Cards shown
1.13 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Y. Arslan — 2.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 27.6 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Fatih Karagümrük

Fatih Karagümrük Goalkeeper

Fatih Karagümrük — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Grbić27902430 min1003.7 /90461.7 /9010 /90
Fatih Karagümrük — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 19 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Grbić n 890
3.17/5

Fatih Karagümrük Defensive

Fatih Karagümrük — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Ricardo Esgaio18861546 min352 /90140.8 /9030.2 /90744.3 /90291.7 /9030.2 /90
A. Çankaya17901530 min311.8 /90261.5 /9060.4 /901126.6 /90221.3 /9030.2 /90
J. Balkovec17891513 min191.1 /90140.8 /9090.5 /90593.5 /90161 /9070.4 /90
Ç. Kurukalıp1365848 min161.7 /90141.5 /9040.4 /90535.6 /90131.4 /9000 /90
A. Çınar1188967 min131.2 /90131.2 /9090.8 /90605.6 /90151.4 /9040.4 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Fatih Karagümrük — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 19 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Grbić n 890
00/0
0.52/2
—
Serginho n 861.5
1.54/2
2.65/4
Q. Laçi
B. Özcan n 873.8
1.15/1
1.25/3
—
T. Çukur n 840.9
3.65/3
0.82/1
—
Ricardo Esgaio n 890
2.18/5
0.64/1
C. Højer
See more players · Pro
Fatih Karagümrük — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 19 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Serginho n 861.5
1.56/2
B. Özcan n 873.8
0.63/1
T. Çukur n 840.9
1.42/1
Ricardo Esgaio n 890
2.86/5
M. Kranevitter n 871
2.26/4
See more players · Pro

Fatih Karagümrük Attacking

Fatih Karagümrük — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Çukur20621234 min10.1 /9020.1 /90181.3 /9080.6 /90191.4 /9040.3 /90
S. Larsson16691111 min10.1 /9030.2 /90110.9 /9070.6 /90282.3 /90231.9 /90
D. Fofana1376983 min60.5 /9000 /90141.3 /9080.7 /9090.8 /90232.1 /90
A. Gray957512 min00 /9000 /9050.9 /9020.4 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
S. Babicka852419 min00 /9010.2 /9040.9 /9020.4 /9051.1 /9091.9 /90
See more players · Pro
Fatih Karagümrük — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 19 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Grbić n 890
00/0
00/0
Serginho n 861.5
1.87/3
1.14/2
B. Özcan n 873.8
0.94/2
0.32/0
T. Çukur n 840.9
1.44/1
0.83/0
Ricardo Esgaio n 890
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Fatih Karagümrük — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 19 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Grbić n 890
00/0
00/0
Serginho n 861.5
0.74/0
00/0
B. Özcan n 873.8
00/0
00/0
T. Çukur n 840.9
00/0
0.31/0
Ricardo Esgaio n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Rizespor

Rizespor Goalkeeper

Rizespor — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Fofana19901710 min613.2 /90261.4 /9010.1 /90
E. Canpolat790630 min223.1 /90101.4 /9000 /90
Rizespor — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rizespor before kick-off, to 19 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Fofana n 890
2.87/4
E. Canpolat n 790
3.15/4

Rizespor Defensive

Rizespor — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Højer25852120 min381.6 /90241 /9090.4 /90893.8 /90291.2 /9020.1 /90
S. Akaydin24902148 min461.9 /90562.3 /90271.1 /901395.8 /90361.5 /9070.3 /90
T. Şahin21821729 min331.7 /90211.1 /9050.3 /90794.1 /90130.7 /9040.2 /90
M. Pala18661186 min322.4 /90110.8 /9030.2 /90745.6 /90151.1 /9010.1 /90
A. Mocsi14821147 min221.7 /9050.4 /9090.7 /90503.9 /90161.3 /9030.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Rizespor — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rizespor before kick-off, to 19 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Højer n 880.4
1.36/2
0.85/1
Ricardo Esgaio
S. Akaydin n 889.1
0.96/1
1.36/4
—
Q. Laçi n 888.4
1.36/3
1.15/3
Serginho
A. Sowe n 871.1
1.35/2
1.76/4
—
G. Papanikolaou n 863.8
1.96/2
1.16/0
—
See more players · Pro
Rizespor — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rizespor before kick-off, to 19 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Højer n 880.4
1.37/2
S. Akaydin n 889.1
1.85/5
Q. Laçi n 888.4
1.35/3
A. Sowe n 871.1
0.63/1
G. Papanikolaou n 863.8
2.86/5
See more players · Pro

Rizespor Attacking

Rizespor — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Sowe23721656 min30.2 /9020.1 /90251.4 /9090.5 /90191 /90140.8 /90
H. Dervişoğlu1255661 min10.1 /9000 /90101.4 /9020.3 /9060.8 /90152 /90
Loide Augusto1163688 min00 /9020.3 /90131.7 /9030.4 /9070.9 /90152 /90
Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude663379 min10.2 /9020.5 /9081.9 /9071.7 /9040.9 /9071.7 /90
F. Pierrot31956 min00 /9000 /9023.2 /9011.6 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Rizespor — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rizespor before kick-off, to 19 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Højer n 880.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
S. Akaydin n 889.1
0.53/1
0.53/1
Q. Laçi n 888.4
1.16/2
0.64/1
A. Sowe n 871.1
1.14/3
0.53/0
G. Papanikolaou n 863.8
0.52/1
00/0
See more players · Pro
Rizespor — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rizespor before kick-off, to 19 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Højer n 880.4
00/0
00/0
S. Akaydin n 889.1
0.11/0
00/0
Q. Laçi n 888.4
0.32/0
0.43/0
A. Sowe n 871.1
00/0
00/0
G. Papanikolaou n 863.8
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Fatih KaragümrükRizespor
37%Possession63%
1.32Expected goals (xG)1.55
10Shots11
5Shots on target2
3Shots off target8
2Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box8
0Corners3
3Offsides0
15Fouls21
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves3
330Passes558
76%Pass accuracy85%

Fatih Karagümrük Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Grbić9000000006.3
Ricardo Esgaio9000000306.7
D. Biraschi9000000106.7
I. Lichnovsky9000000306.6
B. Elmaz9000001006.9
B. Özcan9000000206.9
S. Babicka9010221207.9
Ç. Kurukalıp86001003Y6.9
S. Larsson8600104207.2
Serginho7610221107.9
D. Verde6901211007.5
T. Çukur sub2101001006.9
Baris Kalayci sub1400000106.5
Traore Ahmed sub1000000006.5
Muhammed Kadioglu sub1000000006.6

Rizespor Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Fofana9000000006.7
M. Pala9000101706.9
S. Akaydin90001011Y6.9
M. Sagnan9000000306.7
Q. Laçi9000101307
V. Mihăilă9000302106.7
C. Højer89000011Y6.2
H. Dervişoğlu8900000006.7
T. Antalyalı7300000106.3
Loide Augusto7300002007.3
I. Olawoyin6000110006.7
A. Sowe sub3010310007
G. Papanikolaou sub1700000106.2
A. Zeqiri sub1700001006.3
F. Pierrot sub10000000–
E. Bulut sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fatih Karagümrük v Rizespor — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Fatih KaragümrükLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
RizesporWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fatih Karagümrük 3 · 1 draw · Rizespor 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-11-03 Rizespor 1–0 Fatih Karagümrük
  • 2025-01-07 Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Rizespor
  • 2024-01-28 Fatih Karagümrük 4–0 Rizespor
  • 2023-09-01 Rizespor 1–0 Fatih Karagümrük
  • 2022-01-15 Fatih Karagümrük 2–0 Rizespor
  • 2021-08-21 Rizespor 0–0 Fatih Karagümrük
League standing · 2025/26
Fatih Karagümrük#18 pos30 pts34 pl-23 GD
Rizespor#8 pos41 pts34 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Fatih Karagümrük scored0.91
Rizespor scored1.35
Fatih Karagümrük conceded1.59
Rizespor conceded1.53

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fatih Karagümrük v Rizespor?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fatih Karagümrük v Rizespor was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Fatih Karagümrük and Rizespor?
In their last 6 meetings, Fatih Karagümrük won 3, Rizespor won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fatih Karagümrük and Rizespor?
Recent form — Fatih Karagümrük 2W 1D 2L; Rizespor 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+