Fenerbahçe v Kocaelispor result

Full-time · Fenerbahçe 3–1 Kocaelispor

Süper Lig ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Fenerbahçe 3–1 Kocaelispor — Fenerbahçe won this Süper Lig match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 246 landed (95% range 72.5–82.8%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 160 of 241 times (66.4%), against an average rating of 68.2%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Fenerbahçe beat Kocaelispor 3–1 in the Süper Lig on Saturday 23 August.

Kocaelispor have scored 26 goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far).

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Fenerbahçe: Milan Škriniar (5’, assisted by Çağlar Söyüncü), Archibald Brown (51’, assisted by J. Duran) and Talisca (66’, assisted by Oğuz Aydın); Kocaelispor: B. Petković (22’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Archibald Brown’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Fenerbahçe 1.67, Kocaelispor 0.31, from 21 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Turkmen showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fenerbahçe: Nélson Semedo (59’); Kocaelispor: C. Keles (35’), T. Bingöl (46’) and Show (55’).

What it changes

Fenerbahçe have scored 77 goals, the most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Fenerbahçe have conceded 37 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Kocaelispor have conceded 38 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far).

Fenerbahçe are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Kocaelispor have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Oğuz Aydın (Fenerbahçe) 7.5, Çağlar Söyüncü (Fenerbahçe) 7.3 and Talisca (Fenerbahçe) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fenerbahçe to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (192 of 246).

Next up

Fenerbahçe next host Göztepe on 31 October 2026.

Kocaelispor next host Rizespor on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fenerbahçe: Fenerbahçe v Göztepe, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for Kocaelispor: Kocaelispor v Rizespor, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Fenerbahçe 3–1 Kocaelispor · Süper Lig
  • Referee: M. Turkmen
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Fenerbahçe 2W 2D 1L · Kocaelispor 2W 0D 3L

Fenerbahçe 3–1 Kocaelispor (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FenerbahçeKocaelispor
57%Possession43%
1.67Expected goals (xG)0.31
21Shots7
7Shots on target1
7Shots off target5
7Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box1
6Corners0
1Offsides1
12Fouls15
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Saves4
392Passes299
83%Pass accuracy79%

Fenerbahçe Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
İ. Eğribayat9000000006.3
M. Škriniar9010210108
Ç. Söyüncü9001102407.7
O. Aydın9001006307.9
İ. Yüksek9000110407.5
A. Brown9010212107.2
Y. En-Nesyri9000001006.9
Fred8400111106.9
Talisca8410412108.3
Nélson Semedo68001112Y6.2
J. Duran6701211107.7
S. Szymański sub2400000106.3
M. Müldür sub2300000406.9
S. Amrabat sub1200000006.2
İ. Kahveci sub1200000006.7
A. Djiku sub10000010–

Kocaelispor Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Aleksandar Jovanović9000000006.3
A. Dijksteel9000000206.2
A. Appindangoyé9000000006.3
O. Syrota9000001205.9
M. Haïdara9000000106.2
C. Keles90001000Y6.3
B. Petković9010111008
T. Serbest8300100006.2
Ryan Mendes8300100006.5
Show70001002Y6.3
J. Nonge Boende4500000005.9
T. Bingöl sub45000000Y5.7
K. Linetty sub2100001106.6
O. Caglayan sub800000006.5
C. Çelik sub800100006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fenerbahçe v Kocaelispor — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FenerbahçeWLWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
KocaelisporLWWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2025/26
Fenerbahçe#2 pos74 pts34 pl+40 GD
Kocaelispor#10 pos37 pts34 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Fenerbahçe scored2.26
Kocaelispor scored0.76
Fenerbahçe conceded1.09
Kocaelispor conceded1.12

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fenerbahçe v Kocaelispor?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fenerbahçe v Kocaelispor was Home win.
What is the recent form of Fenerbahçe and Kocaelispor?
Recent form — Fenerbahçe 2W 2D 1L; Kocaelispor 2W 0D 3L.

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