Kasımpaşa v Beşiktaş prediction

Süper Lig · Sun, 01 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kasımpaşa · Beşiktaş · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Kasımpaşa v Beşiktaş, Süper Lig on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 466 of 713 times (65.4%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kasımpaşa host Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Seven of Kasımpaşa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Kasımpaşa’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Kasımpaşa have three wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 0.71. Kasımpaşa have scored 13 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Kasımpaşa have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Beşiktaş’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Beşiktaş’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Beşiktaş have two wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.67. Beşiktaş have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Beşiktaş have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Kasımpaşa (sixth) and Beşiktaş (fourth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Beşiktaş the stronger side, 109 rating points above Kasımpaşa (Beşiktaş 1777, Kasımpaşa 1668, after at least 333 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Beşiktaş are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Kasımpaşa. The most recent meeting, on 19 March 2026, finished Beşiktaş 2–1 Kasımpaşa.

Team news

Predicted Kasımpaşa XI (4-2-3-1): A. Gianniotis, M. Ilie, C. Winck, A. Karapo, A. Arous, K. Demirbay, E. Mendes, A. Kol, A. Baldursson, J. Rak-Sakyi, A. Benedyczak — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Benedyczak (4.4 per match over nine appearances, six goals and two assists) and Cláudio Winck (4.3 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Kasımpaşa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kasımpaşa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Benedyczak averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 775 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances. Cláudio Winck averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 805 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Beşiktaş XI (4-1-4-1): A. Nübel, A. Murillo, E. Topçu, E. Agbadou, R. Yılmaz, L. Trossard, S. Özcan, J. Olaitan, W. Ndidi, F. Miretti, D. Vlahović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Olaitan (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and five assists) and Orkun Kökçü (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Beşiktaş’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Beşiktaş (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Olaitan averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 812 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Orkun Kökçü averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1025 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT · Süper Lig
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Kasımpaşa 3 · draws 2 · Beşiktaş 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Kasımpaşa 3W 1D 1L · Beşiktaş 3W 1D 1L

Kasımpaşa v Beşiktaş (Süper Lig): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.25

Goals

against 1 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.38 / 5.5

Corners

against 6.63 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 5.88

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 2.5

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Kasımpaşa for / against	Line	Beşiktaş for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.13 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa Goalkeeper

Kasımpaşa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Gianniotis	9	90810 min	333.7 /90	91 /90	00 /90

Kasımpaşa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Gianniotis n 8	90	3.6 7/5

Kasımpaşa Defensive

Kasımpaşa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Matei Ilie	9	90809 min	141.6 /90	91 /90	80.9 /90	374.1 /90	101.1 /90	20.2 /90
Cláudio Winck	9	89805 min	171.9 /90	131.5 /90	20.2 /90	556.1 /90	141.6 /90	30.3 /90
A. Karapo	8	66526 min	213.6 /90	30.5 /90	40.7 /90	447.5 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90
A. Arous	6	90540 min	61 /90	71.2 /90	40.7 /90	183 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90
J. Jessen	4	74296 min	82.4 /90	41.2 /90	00 /90	123.6 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90

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Kasımpaşa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Gianniotis n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
Matei Ilie n 8	89.9	1.3 4/4	0.4 3/0	—
Cláudio Winck n 8	89.4	1.4 7/3	2.3 7/6	—
A. Benedyczak n 8	85.8	1 5/2	0.8 4/2	—
Elson Mendes n 8	69.5	1.8 4/3	2.9 6/3	—

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Kasımpaşa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Matei Ilie n 8	89.9	1.6 6/4
Cláudio Winck n 8	89.4	2 8/3
A. Benedyczak n 8	85.8	0.3 2/0
Elson Mendes n 8	69.5	1.6 5/3
K. Demirbay n 8	84	1.6 6/4

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Kasımpaşa Attacking

Kasımpaşa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Benedyczak	9	86775 min	60.7 /90	20.2 /90	252.9 /90	131.5 /90	70.8 /90	10.1 /90
T. Diarra	2	2652 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.7 /90	11.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Elson Mendes	9	72646 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	71 /90	50.7 /90	81.1 /90	40.6 /90
K. Demirbay	8	84672 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90	121.6 /90	20.3 /90
A. Kol	8	71570 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	91.4 /90	20.3 /90	121.9 /90	274.3 /90

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Kasımpaşa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gianniotis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Matei Ilie n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Cláudio Winck n 8	89.4	1.3 5/3	0.4 3/0
A. Benedyczak n 8	85.8	2.6 8/8	1.3 7/3
Elson Mendes n 8	69.5	1.1 4/3	0.8 3/2

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Kasımpaşa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Gianniotis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Matei Ilie n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Cláudio Winck n 8	89.4	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Benedyczak n 8	85.8	0.7 5/0	0.3 2/0
Elson Mendes n 8	69.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

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Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş Goalkeeper

Beşiktaş — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Nübel	12	901080 min	292.4 /90	100.8 /90	00 /90

Beşiktaş — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Beşiktaş before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Nübel n 8	90	3 5/4

Beşiktaş Defensive

Beşiktaş — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Agbadou	11	78863 min	232.4 /90	121.3 /90	20.2 /90	454.7 /90	161.7 /90	20.2 /90
A. Murillo	10	83829 min	70.8 /90	60.7 /90	50.5 /90	363.9 /90	131.4 /90	10.1 /90
Emirhan Topçu	9	81733 min	162 /90	151.8 /90	30.4 /90	546.6 /90	91.1 /90	30.4 /90
R. Yılmaz	8	76608 min	152.2 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90	304.4 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90
K. Ouattara	7	65456 min	132.6 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	224.3 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90

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Beşiktaş — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Beşiktaş before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Nübel n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
S. Özcan n 8	80.3	1.5 6/4	1.4 7/2	—
E. Agbadou n 8	74.1	1.2 6/2	0.8 4/1	—
J. Olaitan n 8	71.5	0.9 4/2	1.7 6/3	—
V. Černý n 8	54.6	1.6 5/2	0.4 2/0	—

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Beşiktaş — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Beşiktaş before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Özcan n 8	80.3	2.7 8/5
E. Agbadou n 8	74.1	2.4 7/4
J. Olaitan n 8	71.5	0.9 5/1
V. Černý n 8	54.6	1 4/1
Leandro Trossard n 8	88.4	0.3 2/0

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Beşiktaş Attacking

Beşiktaş — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Fakili	10	49485 min	20.4 /90	20.4 /90	112 /90	50.9 /90	71.3 /90	81.5 /90
Dušan Vlahović	9	73654 min	60.8 /90	00 /90	243.3 /90	141.9 /90	71 /90	50.7 /90
Oh Hyeon-Gyu	7	54378 min	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	153.6 /90	61.4 /90	61.4 /90	61.4 /90
E. Poku	3	3399 min	10.9 /90	00 /90	32.7 /90	21.8 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90
S. Özcan	11	79867 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	90.9 /90	10.1 /90

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Beşiktaş — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Beşiktaş before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Nübel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Özcan n 8	80.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
E. Agbadou n 8	74.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Olaitan n 8	71.5	1.9 7/4	0.9 6/0
V. Černý n 8	54.6	2.1 5/3	0.8 4/0

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Beşiktaş — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Beşiktaş before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Nübel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Özcan n 8	80.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
E. Agbadou n 8	74.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Olaitan n 8	71.5	0.3 2/0	0.5 2/1
V. Černý n 8	54.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kasımpaşa v Beşiktaş — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

KasımpaşaWDLWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

BeşiktaşWWLDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Kasımpaşa 3 · 2 draws · Beşiktaş 1 · 3 goals/game

2026-03-19 Beşiktaş 2–1 Kasımpaşa
2025-10-26 Kasımpaşa 1–1 Beşiktaş
2025-04-07 Kasımpaşa 1–1 Beşiktaş
2024-11-02 Beşiktaş 1–3 Kasımpaşa
2024-05-26 Kasımpaşa 2–1 Beşiktaş
2024-01-05 Beşiktaş 1–3 Kasımpaşa

League standing · 2026/27

Kasımpaşa#6 pos16 pts9 pl+4 GD

Beşiktaş#4 pos18 pts9 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

Kasımpaşa scored1.44

Beşiktaş scored2

Kasımpaşa conceded1

Beşiktaş conceded1.11

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Kasımpaşa v Beşiktaş?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Kasımpaşa v Beşiktaş is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş?: In their last 6 meetings, Kasımpaşa won 3, Beşiktaş won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş?: Recent form — Kasımpaşa 3W 1D 1L; Beşiktaş 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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