Kasımpaşa v Kocaelispor result

Full-time · Kasımpaşa 1–1 Kocaelispor

Süper Lig · · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kasımpaşa · Kocaelispor

The model’s pre-match pick

Kasımpaşa 1–1 Kocaelispor — this Süper Lig match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 51.3% of 160 landed (95% range 43.6–58.9%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Kasımpaşa and Kocaelispor drew 1–1 at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu in the Süper Lig on Sunday 3 May. Kocaelispor are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Kasımpaşa: A. Benedyczak (2’, assisted by M. Ben Ouanes); Kocaelispor: D. Agyei (23’, assisted by S. Dursun).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Agyei’s goal on 23 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Kasımpaşa 0.85, Kocaelispor 0.64, from 13 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Y. Kol showed one yellow card — against 5.5 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kocaelispor: A. Oğuz (58’).

What it changes

Kasımpaşa have scored 33 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Kasımpaşa have conceded 49 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.

Kocaelispor have scored 26 goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Kocaelispor have conceded 38 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Agyei (Kocaelispor) 6.2, Cláudio Winck (Kasımpaşa) 5.0 and A. Benedyczak (Kasımpaşa) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Kasımpaşa next host Çorluspor 1947 on 29 October 2026.

Kocaelispor next host Rizespor on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kasımpaşa: Kasımpaşa v Çorluspor 1947, Thursday 29 October — the preview. Next for Kocaelispor: Kocaelispor v Rizespor, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Kasımpaşa 1–1 Kocaelispor · Süper Lig
  • Venue: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu · Istanbul
  • Referee: Y. Kol
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Kasımpaşa 1 · draws 1 · Kocaelispor 0 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kasımpaşa 2W 1D 2L · Kocaelispor 0W 3D 2L

Kasımpaşa 1–1 Kocaelispor (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
2.63 / 3.86
Corners
against 4.25 / 3.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.5 / 2.14
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.88 / 2.25
Cards
against 3 / 2 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.47 yellows
Referee · Y. Kol
26.47 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKasımpaşa for / againstLineKocaelispor for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.25our book
0.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
2.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.86 for · 3.71 against n 7
Shots
7.75 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
9.71 for · 11.57 against n 7
Shots on target
2.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
2.14 for · 4.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
14.88 for · 15 against n 8
21.5standard
14.57 for · 12.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2.88 for · 3 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Y. Kol — 5.47 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 26.47 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa Goalkeeper

Kasımpaşa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Gianniotis31902790 min842.7 /90451.5 /9010 /90
Kasımpaşa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Gianniotis n 890
2.96/6

Kasımpaşa Defensive

Kasımpaşa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Opoku27832252 min301.2 /90220.9 /90180.7 /90943.8 /90180.7 /9050.2 /90
Cláudio Winck26852212 min461.9 /90220.9 /9050.2 /901395.7 /90361.5 /9060.2 /90
G. Frimpong25842107 min200.9 /90241 /9030.1 /90512.2 /90231 /9010 /90
A. Arous16871391 min271.7 /90201.3 /9070.5 /90744.8 /90120.8 /9010.1 /90
A. Szalai14831158 min211.6 /90151.2 /9080.6 /90463.6 /90141.1 /9010.1 /90
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Kasımpaşa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Gianniotis n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Baldursson n 890
3.18/6
14/4
—
N. Opoku n 867.8
0.73/1
0.84/1
Show
Cláudio Winck n 890
1.47/3
1.88/4
Show
G. Frimpong n 882
1.16/2
0.75/0
—
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Kasımpaşa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Baldursson n 890
2.38/5
N. Opoku n 867.8
0.73/1
Cláudio Winck n 890
2.38/7
G. Frimpong n 882
17/0
M. Ben Ouanes n 888.1
0.63/2
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Kasımpaşa Attacking

Kasımpaşa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Guèye21721506 min50.3 /9000 /90332 /90140.8 /9090.5 /90120.7 /90
A. Kol1446646 min00 /9000 /90131.8 /9020.3 /9091.3 /90152.1 /90
A. Benedyczak1181896 min60.6 /9010.1 /90191.9 /90111.1 /90101 /9030.3 /90
K. Kanatsızkuş1054542 min10.2 /9010.2 /9061 /9020.3 /9020.3 /9030.5 /90
C. Tosun657342 min10.3 /9000 /9041.1 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Kasımpaşa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gianniotis n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Baldursson n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
N. Opoku n 867.8
0.21/0
00/0
Cláudio Winck n 890
0.53/1
00/0
G. Frimpong n 882
00/0
00/0
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Kasımpaşa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gianniotis n 890
0.11/0
00/0
A. Baldursson n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Opoku n 867.8
00/0
00/0
Cláudio Winck n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Frimpong n 882
00/0
00/0
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Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor Goalkeeper

Kocaelispor — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Aleksandar Jovanović14871215 min261.9 /90161.2 /9000 /90
G. Değirmenci1086855 min212.2 /90141.5 /9000 /90
S. Oztasdelen390270 min93 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Kocaelispor — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Aleksandar Jovanović n 884.4
1.21/1
G. Değirmenci n 890
2.56/4

Kocaelispor Defensive

Kocaelispor — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Dijksteel29832417 min431.6 /90230.9 /90100.4 /901174.4 /90220.8 /9020.1 /90
H. Smolčić24852049 min291.3 /90321.4 /90210.9 /901094.8 /90411.8 /9020.1 /90
A. Oğuz24831986 min602.7 /90391.8 /9040.2 /901215.5 /90431.9 /9080.4 /90
B. Balogh20821645 min281.5 /90231.3 /90241.3 /90925 /90170.9 /9060.3 /90
M. Haïdara20771547 min231.3 /90181 /9060.3 /90714.1 /90251.5 /9050.3 /90
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Kocaelispor — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Dijksteel n 890
1.16/2
0.95/2
—
T. Bingöl n 855.5
1.24/1
0.82/1
—
Show n 887.4
1.98/4
1.77/3
Cláudio Winck
D. Agyei n 887
1.65/5
0.96/1
—
H. Smolčić n 890
1.66/3
0.64/1
—
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Kocaelispor — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Dijksteel n 890
1.36/2
T. Bingöl n 855.5
1.46/1
Show n 887.4
1.54/3
D. Agyei n 887
0.11/0
H. Smolčić n 890
1.16/3
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Kocaelispor Attacking

Kocaelispor — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Agyei25741858 min40.2 /9000 /90341.6 /90150.7 /9090.4 /90221.1 /90
D. Churlinov2047945 min00 /9030.3 /90101 /9040.4 /9090.9 /90252.4 /90
S. Dursun18721287 min60.4 /9010.1 /90211.5 /90110.8 /90100.7 /9010.1 /90
R. Rivas18561005 min10.1 /9010.1 /9080.7 /9020.2 /90100.9 /9070.6 /90
B. Petković17781329 min70.5 /9000 /90201.4 /90120.8 /90171.2 /9060.4 /90
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Kocaelispor — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Dijksteel n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Bingöl n 855.5
13/2
0.21/0
Show n 887.4
0.53/1
00/0
D. Agyei n 887
1.86/4
0.64/1
H. Smolčić n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Kocaelispor — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Dijksteel n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Bingöl n 855.5
00/0
0.21/0
Show n 887.4
00/0
00/0
D. Agyei n 887
00/0
00/0
H. Smolčić n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
KasımpaşaKocaelispor
61%Possession39%
0.85Expected goals (xG)0.64
13Shots5
4Shots on target1
5Shots off target4
4Blocked shots0
4Shots inside the box4
6Corners5
0Offsides1
14Fouls17
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves3
428Passes270
84%Pass accuracy79%

Kasımpaşa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Gianniotis9000000006.3
N. Opoku9000000006.3
A. Arous9000000206.9
K. Çörekçi9000000206.9
Cafú9000001006.9
K. Demirbay9000101107
İ. Kahveci9000422107.3
F. Diabaté9000001106.5
M. Ben Ouanes9001002007.2
A. Benedyczak9010220007.2
Cláudio Winck8900200606.9
G. Frimpong sub10000000–

Kocaelispor Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Serhat Oztasdelen9000000007.3
A. Dijksteel9000000006.3
Show9000000006.7
M. Haïdara9000000106.3
Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho9000000206.9
H. Keïta9000000006.3
C. Keles9000102006.3
S. Dursun9001101106.5
S. Oztasdelen9000000007.3
D. Agyei8910210007.6
A. Oğuz63000002Y6.6
J. Nonge Boende5700100106.6
T. Bingöl sub3300000206.9
R. Rivas sub2700000006.2
F. Gedik sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kasımpaşa v Kocaelispor — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KasımpaşaLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
KocaelisporLDDDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Kasımpaşa 1 · 1 draw · Kocaelispor 0 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-12-07 Kocaelispor 0–0 Kasımpaşa
  • 2021-12-28 Kasımpaşa 5–3 Kocaelispor
League standing · 2025/26
Kasımpaşa#13 pos35 pts34 pl-16 GD
Kocaelispor#10 pos37 pts34 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Kasımpaşa scored0.97
Kocaelispor scored0.76
Kasımpaşa conceded1.44
Kocaelispor conceded1.12

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Kasımpaşa v Kocaelispor?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kasımpaşa v Kocaelispor was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Kasımpaşa and Kocaelispor?
In their last 2 meetings, Kasımpaşa won 1, Kocaelispor won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kasımpaşa and Kocaelispor?
Recent form — Kasımpaşa 2W 1D 2L; Kocaelispor 0W 3D 2L.

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