Kasımpaşa v Trabzonspor result

Full-time · Kasımpaşa 0–1 Trabzonspor

Süper Lig · · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Kasımpaşa 0–1 Trabzonspor — Trabzonspor won this Süper Lig match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 53.6% of 153 landed (95% range 45.7–61.3%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Trabzonspor won 1–0 at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu in the Süper Lig on Monday 18 August. It is Trabzonspor’s first win over Kasımpaşa since 1 September 2023, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Trabzonspor: Felipe Augusto (75’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Felipe Augusto’s goal on 75 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Kasımpaşa 0.19, Trabzonspor 1.16, from 8 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Aydin showed four yellow cards — against 5.8 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kasımpaşa: Cláudio Winck (63’) and A. Müjde (85’); Trabzonspor: Mustafa Eskihellaç (76’) and Danylo Sikan (79’).

What it changes

Kasımpaşa move up from 16th to 13th (shared) (two league matches played). Kasımpaşa have scored 33 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Kasımpaşa have conceded 49 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.

Trabzonspor move up from sixth to fifth (two league matches played). Trabzonspor have scored 61 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Trabzonspor have conceded 39 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Kasımpaşa are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Trabzonspor are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Trabzonspor have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Trabzonspor have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Felipe Augusto (Trabzonspor) 5.7, A. Baldursson (Kasımpaşa) 5.4 and A. Szalai (Kasımpaşa) 5.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Kasımpaşa are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Trabzonspor.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 53.6% of the time in the last 90 days (82 of 153).

Next up

Kasımpaşa next host Çorluspor 1947 on 29 October 2026.

Trabzonspor next host Gaziantep FK on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kasımpaşa: Kasımpaşa v Çorluspor 1947, Thursday 29 October — the preview. Next for Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Kasımpaşa 0–1 Trabzonspor · Süper Lig
  • Venue: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu · Istanbul
  • Referee: C. Aydin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kasımpaşa 2 · draws 3 · Trabzonspor 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kasımpaşa 1W 1D 3L · Trabzonspor 3W 2D 0L

Kasımpaşa 0–1 Trabzonspor (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
KasımpaşaTrabzonspor
44%Possession56%
0.19Expected goals (xG)1.16
8Shots11
0Shots on target1
6Shots off target6
2Blocked shots4
3Shots inside the box5
6Corners4
2Offsides2
24Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
310Passes410
79%Pass accuracy85%

Kasımpaşa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Gianniotis9000000106.9
N. Opoku9000001006.6
A. Szalai9000000607.3
M. Ben Ouanes9000100106.6
M. Fall9000000206.5
H. Hajradinovic9000104406.7
P. Guèye9000000106.3
A. Baldursson8700000407.2
Cafú7300000106.3
A. Kol7300300106.3
Cláudio Winck67001011Y6.9
C. Üstündag sub2400000106.6
A. Müjde sub18000002Y6.3
Y. Barası sub1800000006.2
K. Kanatsızkuş sub1000000006.3

Trabzonspor Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
U. Çakır9000000007.2
Wagner Pina9000101507.5
S. Savić9000001007
A. Batagov9000000207.2
T. Jabol-Folcarelli9000000107
O. Yokuşlu9000001207.2
M. Eskihellaç89000001Y7
K. Olaigbe8600100207.3
Felipe Augusto8610210106.9
E. Višća6500001006.7
P. Onuachu6500001006.3
O. Zubkov sub2600100006.6
Danylo Sikan sub26001000Y6.6
B. Mendy sub1100100006.3
M. Cham sub1100000006.5
O. Tufan sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kasımpaşa v Trabzonspor — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KasımpaşaWLDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
TrabzonsporWDDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kasımpaşa 2 · 3 draws · Trabzonspor 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-05-05 Kasımpaşa 1–1 Trabzonspor
  • 2024-12-06 Trabzonspor 2–2 Kasımpaşa
  • 2024-01-29 Trabzonspor 2–3 Kasımpaşa
  • 2023-09-01 Kasımpaşa 1–5 Trabzonspor
  • 2023-04-08 Kasımpaşa 2–0 Trabzonspor
  • 2022-10-10 Trabzonspor 0–0 Kasımpaşa
League standing · 2025/26
Kasımpaşa#13 pos35 pts34 pl-16 GD
Trabzonspor#3 pos69 pts34 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Kasımpaşa scored0.97
Trabzonspor scored1.79
Kasımpaşa conceded1.44
Trabzonspor conceded1.15

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Kasımpaşa v Trabzonspor?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kasımpaşa v Trabzonspor was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor?
In their last 6 meetings, Kasımpaşa won 2, Trabzonspor won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor?
Recent form — Kasımpaşa 1W 1D 3L; Trabzonspor 3W 2D 0L.

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