Kasımpaşa v Trabzonspor result

Full-time · Kasımpaşa 1–1 Trabzonspor

Süper Lig · · Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kasımpaşa · Trabzonspor · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Kasımpaşa 1–1 Trabzonspor — this Süper Lig match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1426 landed (95% range 65.6–70.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 772 of 1,183 times (65.3%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor drew 1–1 at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium in the Süper Lig on Saturday 15 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Kasımpaşa, from fewer shots (9 to 13), created the better chances, 1.86 xG to 0.85 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Trabzonspor led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Trabzonspor: Noah Saviolo (43’, assisted by Metehan Mimaroğlu); Kasımpaşa: A. Benedyczak (55’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Benedyczak’s goal on 55 minutes.

Discipline

G. Hasova showed two yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kasımpaşa: A. Baldursson (10’) and M. Ben Ouanes (68’).

What it changes

Kasımpaşa are third (shared) after this result (one league match played). Kasımpaşa have scored 13 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Kasımpaşa have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Trabzonspor are third (shared) after this result (one league match played). Trabzonspor have scored 22 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Trabzonspor have conceded eight goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Metehan Mimaroğlu (Trabzonspor) 6.2, Chibuike Nwaiwu (Trabzonspor) 6.0 and A. Benedyczak (Kasımpaşa) 5.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Trabzonspor are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Kasımpaşa.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Trabzonspor, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (971 of 1426).

Next up

Kasımpaşa next host Çorluspor 1947 on 29 October 2026.

Trabzonspor next host Gaziantep FK on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kasımpaşa: Kasımpaşa v Çorluspor 1947, Thursday 29 October — the preview. Next for Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Kasımpaşa 1–1 Trabzonspor · Süper Lig
  • Venue: Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium · Istanbul
  • Referee: G. Hasova
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kasımpaşa 1 · draws 2 · Trabzonspor 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kasımpaşa 2W 1D 2L · Trabzonspor 3W 1D 1L

Kasımpaşa 1–1 Trabzonspor (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5
Corners
against 5 / 4.67 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
2.88 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
3.38 / 2.17
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.83 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
5.22 yellows
Referee · G. Hasova
24 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKasımpaşa for / againstLineTrabzonspor for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.67 against n 6
Shots
7.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.67 for · 15 against n 6
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4 against n 6
Fouls committed
13.75 for · 14 against n 8
21.5standard
11.83 for · 14.83 against n 6
Cards shown
3.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.17 for · 2.83 against n 6

Referee: G. Hasova — 5.22 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 24 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
KasımpaşaTrabzonspor
40%Possession60%
1.86Expected goals (xG)0.85
9Shots13
4Shots on target5
4Shots off target5
1Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box8
3Corners10
0Offsides2
17Fouls9
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves3
332Passes490
78%Pass accuracy86%

Kasımpaşa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Gianniotis9000000006.9
Cláudio Winck9000310105.6
A. Arous9000000007.2
Matei Ilie9000001106.6
J. Jessen9000000406.7
Elson Mendes9000002206.9
A. Baldursson90000005Y7.2
A. Benedyczak8910530007
G. Yalçın8200000006.2
M. Ben Ouanes78000010Y6.7
F. Diabaté4500001006.3
H. Hajradinovic sub4500002307.9
M. Rafferty sub1200000006.5
A. Karapo sub800000107
Sinan Alkas sub10000000–

Trabzonspor Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Onana9000000007.9
Wagner Pina9000000306.2
S. Savić9000111006.6
C. Nwaiwu9000110307.6
M. Eskihellaç9000103107.3
B. Bouchouari9000000307.2
P. Onuachu9000100106.5
R. Malinovskyi8400101206.7
N. Saviolo6710221007.7
Aral Simsir6700000006.2
M. Mimaroğlu5801111207.2
Mohamed Salah sub3200202006.7
S. Lopes Cabral sub2300000006.6
Melih Kabasakal sub2300000006.6
O. Tufan sub1300000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kasımpaşa v Trabzonspor — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KasımpaşaWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
TrabzonsporDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kasımpaşa 1 · 2 draws · Trabzonspor 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-23 Trabzonspor 2–1 Kasımpaşa
  • 2025-08-18 Kasımpaşa 0–1 Trabzonspor
  • 2025-05-05 Kasımpaşa 1–1 Trabzonspor
  • 2024-12-06 Trabzonspor 2–2 Kasımpaşa
  • 2024-01-29 Trabzonspor 2–3 Kasımpaşa
  • 2023-09-01 Kasımpaşa 1–5 Trabzonspor
League standing · 2026/27
Kasımpaşa#6 pos16 pts9 pl+4 GD
Trabzonspor#3 pos19 pts9 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
Kasımpaşa scored1.44
Trabzonspor scored2.44
Kasımpaşa conceded1
Trabzonspor conceded0.89

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Kasımpaşa v Trabzonspor?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kasımpaşa v Trabzonspor was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor?
In their last 6 meetings, Kasımpaşa won 1, Trabzonspor won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor?
Recent form — Kasımpaşa 2W 1D 2L; Trabzonspor 3W 1D 1L.

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