Kocaelispor v Fatih Karagümrük result

Full-time · Kocaelispor 0–1 Fatih Karagümrük

Süper Lig · Sat, 09 May 2026 18:00 BST · Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kocaelispor · Fatih Karagümrük

The model’s pre-match pick

Kocaelispor 0–1 Fatih Karagümrük — Fatih Karagümrük won this Süper Lig match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 51.3% of 160 landed (95% range 43.6–58.9%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Fatih Karagümrük won 1–0 at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu in the Süper Lig on Saturday 9 May. Kocaelispor are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Fatih Karagümrük are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Fatih Karagümrük: A. Çınar (70’, assisted by D. Verde).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Çınar’s goal on 70 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Kocaelispor 0.34, Fatih Karagümrük 0.31, from 8 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. D. Kayatepe showed two yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kocaelispor: Show (39’) and T. Bingöl (87’).

What it changes

Kocaelispor have scored 26 goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Kocaelispor have conceded 38 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Fatih Karagümrük have scored 31 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Fatih Karagümrük have conceded 54 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

Fatih Karagümrük have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ricardo Esgaio (Fatih Karagümrük) 5.0, A. Çınar (Fatih Karagümrük) 4.4 and H. Smolčić (Kocaelispor) 3.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Kocaelispor next host Rizespor on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kocaelispor: Kocaelispor v Rizespor, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Kocaelispor 0–1 Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig
Venue: Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu · Izmit
Referee: A. D. Kayatepe
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Kocaelispor 0 · draws 1 · Fatih Karagümrük 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Kocaelispor 0W 4D 1L · Fatih Karagümrük 2W 1D 2L

Kocaelispor 0–1 Fatih Karagümrük (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.38 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 3.5

Corners

against 4 / 5.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2 / 3.63

Shots on target

against 4.13 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.25

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.45 yellows

Referee · A. D. Kayatepe

27.27 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 11 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Kocaelispor for / against	Line	Fatih Karagümrük for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	0.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.88 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: A. D. Kayatepe — 3.45 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 27.27 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor Goalkeeper

Kocaelispor — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Aleksandar Jovanović	14	871215 min	261.9 /90	161.2 /90
G. Değirmenci	10	86855 min	212.2 /90	141.5 /90
S. Oztasdelen	4	90360 min	123 /90	30.8 /90

Kocaelispor — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Aleksandar Jovanović n 8	84.4	1.2 1/1
G. Değirmenci n 8	90	2.5 6/4
S. Oztasdelen n 4	90	3 4/2

Kocaelispor Defensive

Kocaelispor — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Dijksteel	30	842507 min	431.5 /90	250.9 /90	100.4 /90	1184.2 /90	220.8 /90	20.1 /90
A. Oğuz	25	822049 min	622.7 /90	401.8 /90	40.2 /90	1255.5 /90	431.9 /90	90.4 /90
H. Smolčić	24	852049 min	291.3 /90	321.4 /90	210.9 /90	1094.8 /90	411.8 /90	20.1 /90
M. Haïdara	21	781637 min	241.3 /90	181 /90	60.3 /90	734 /90	271.5 /90	50.3 /90
B. Balogh	20	821645 min	281.5 /90	231.3 /90	241.3 /90	925 /90	170.9 /90	60.3 /90
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Kocaelispor — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Dijksteel n 8	90	0.9 5/1	0.9 5/2	Ricardo Esgaio
T. Bingöl n 8	52	1.5 5/1	0.9 2/1	—
Show n 8	87.4	1.9 8/4	1.7 7/3	—
D. Agyei n 8	86.9	1.3 4/4	1.2 7/2	B. Özcan
A. Oğuz n 8	86.4	1.3 5/3	0.7 3/2	Ricardo Esgaio
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Kocaelispor — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Dijksteel n 8	90	1.1 5/2
T. Bingöl n 8	52	1.9 7/2
Show n 8	87.4	1.5 4/3
D. Agyei n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0
A. Oğuz n 8	86.4	1.8 7/4
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Kocaelispor Attacking

Kocaelispor — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Agyei	26	751947 min	50.2 /90	00 /90	361.7 /90	160.7 /90	90.4 /90	241.1 /90
D. Churlinov	20	47945 min	00 /90	30.3 /90	101 /90	40.4 /90	90.9 /90	252.4 /90
S. Dursun	19	721377 min	60.4 /90	20.1 /90	221.4 /90	110.7 /90	110.7 /90	10.1 /90
R. Rivas	19	541032 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	80.7 /90	20.2 /90	100.9 /90	70.6 /90
B. Petković	17	781329 min	70.5 /90	00 /90	201.4 /90	120.8 /90	171.2 /90	60.4 /90
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Kocaelispor — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Dijksteel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Bingöl n 8	52	1.1 3/2	0.2 1/0
Show n 8	87.4	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
D. Agyei n 8	86.9	2.1 7/5	0.8 5/1
A. Oğuz n 8	86.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Kocaelispor — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Dijksteel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Bingöl n 8	52	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Show n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Agyei n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Oğuz n 8	86.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Fatih Karagümrük

Fatih Karagümrük Goalkeeper

Fatih Karagümrük — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
I. Grbić	32	902880 min	1183.7 /90	521.6 /90	20.1 /90

Fatih Karagümrük — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Grbić n 8	90	3.9 7/7

Fatih Karagümrük Defensive

Fatih Karagümrük — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Ricardo Esgaio	23	871996 min	562.5 /90	190.9 /90	40.2 /90	1024.6 /90	401.8 /90	30.1 /90
A. Çankaya	17	901530 min	311.8 /90	261.5 /90	60.4 /90	1126.6 /90	221.3 /90	30.2 /90
J. Balkovec	17	891513 min	191.1 /90	140.8 /90	90.5 /90	593.5 /90	161 /90	70.4 /90
Ç. Kurukalıp	15	681024 min	201.8 /90	191.7 /90	40.4 /90	615.4 /90	141.2 /90	10.1 /90
I. Lichnovsky	12	901080 min	141.2 /90	161.3 /90	40.3 /90	443.7 /90	80.7 /90	30.3 /90
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Fatih Karagümrük — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Grbić n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
Serginho n 8	67.4	1.7 5/3	2.7 6/4	—
B. Özcan n 8	70	1 4/1	1.1 5/2	D. Agyei
T. Çukur n 8	48.9	3.9 7/4	0.7 2/1	—
Ricardo Esgaio n 8	90	2.5 8/7	0.6 3/2	A. Oğuz
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Fatih Karagümrük — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Serginho n 8	67.4	1.2 5/2
B. Özcan n 8	70	1.3 4/3
T. Çukur n 8	48.9	0.9 1/1
Ricardo Esgaio n 8	90	4.1 8/8
M. Kranevitter n 8	66.9	1.3 6/2
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Fatih Karagümrük Attacking

Fatih Karagümrük — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Çukur	25	571437 min	20.1 /90	30.2 /90	211.3 /90	100.6 /90	231.4 /90	50.3 /90
S. Larsson	21	701478 min	10.1 /90	30.2 /90	161 /90	100.6 /90	362.2 /90	251.5 /90
D. Fofana	13	76983 min	60.5 /90	00 /90	141.3 /90	80.7 /90	90.8 /90	232.1 /90
A. Gray	9	57512 min	00 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	20.4 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90
Tarık Buğra Kalpaklı	7	38267 min	00 /90	00 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90
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Fatih Karagümrük — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Grbić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Serginho n 8	67.4	2.2 7/5	1.2 5/2
B. Özcan n 8	70	1 4/2	0.5 3/0
T. Çukur n 8	48.9	0.9 4/0	0.7 3/0
Ricardo Esgaio n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Fatih Karagümrük — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Grbić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Serginho n 8	67.4	0.7 4/0	0 0/0
B. Özcan n 8	70	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Çukur n 8	48.9	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/0
Ricardo Esgaio n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Kocaelispor		Fatih Karagümrük
65%	Possession	35%
0.34	Expected goals (xG)	0.31
8	Shots	6
0	Shots on target	1
8	Shots off target	4
0	Blocked shots	1
4	Shots inside the box	1
3	Corners	3
3	Offsides	0
13	Fouls	13
2	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
568	Passes	303
88%	Pass accuracy	75%

Kocaelispor Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Serhat Oztasdelen	90	0	0	0	0	6.2
A. Dijksteel	90	0	0	1	0	6.9
H. Smolčić	90	0	1	1	0	7.5
M. Haïdara	90	0	0	1	0	6.3
D. Agyei	90	0	0	0	0	6.7
S. Dursun	90	0	0	0	0	6.3
S. Oztasdelen	90	0	0	0	0	6.2
Show	88	2	0	1	Y	6.9
Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho	73	1	0	1	0	6.6
C. Keles	61	2	0	1	0	6.9
A. Oğuz	45	0	1	1	0	6.9
J. Nonge Boende	45	0	2	0	0	6.6
H. Keïta sub	45	1	0	2	0	6.3
R. Rivas sub	45	0	1	0	0	6
T. Bingöl sub	29	1	1	0	Y	6.3
D. Churlinov sub	17	0	0	0	0	6.5
Esat Narin sub	2	1	0	0	0	–

Fatih Karagümrük Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
F. Bekleviç	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Ricardo Esgaio	90	0	0	0	0	0	7	7.5
D. Biraschi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
I. Lichnovsky	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Ç. Kurukalıp	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	6.9
B. Elmaz	90	0	0	2	0	1	0	6.9
B. Özcan	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	6.7
T. Çukur	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	6.6
S. Babicka	89	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Serginho	69	0	0	0	0	1	1	6.3
M. Kranevitter	59	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
D. Verde sub	31	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
A. Çınar sub	21	1	0	1	1	0	0	7.6
Baris Kalayci sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kocaelispor v Fatih Karagümrük — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

KocaelisporDDDLD

Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Fatih KaragümrükWLLDW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Kocaelispor 0 · 1 draw · Fatih Karagümrük 0 · 2 goals/game

2025-12-14 Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Kocaelispor

League standing · 2025/26

Kocaelispor#10 pos37 pts34 pl-12 GD

Fatih Karagümrük#18 pos30 pts34 pl-23 GD

Goals per game

Kocaelispor scored0.76

Fatih Karagümrük scored0.91

Kocaelispor conceded1.12

Fatih Karagümrük conceded1.59

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Kocaelispor v Fatih Karagümrük?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Kocaelispor v Fatih Karagümrük was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Kocaelispor and Fatih Karagümrük?: In their last 1 meetings, Kocaelispor won 0, Fatih Karagümrük won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kocaelispor and Fatih Karagümrük?: Recent form — Kocaelispor 0W 4D 1L; Fatih Karagümrük 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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