Kocaelispor v Samsunspor result

Full-time · Kocaelispor 1–0 Samsunspor

Süper Lig · Sun, 06 Sep 2026 18:00 BST · Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu

Updated 20 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Kocaelispor 1–0 Samsunspor — Kocaelispor won this Süper Lig match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.73 at Betfair

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Kocaelispor beat Samsunspor 1–0 at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu in the Süper Lig on Sunday 6 September.

The goals

Kocaelispor led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Kocaelispor: F. Ayé (26’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Ayé’s goal on 26 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Kocaelispor 1.59, Samsunspor 1.74, from 9 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Coskunses showed one yellow card — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kocaelispor: M. Haïdara (28’).

What it changes

Kocaelispor move down from second to third (four league matches played). Kocaelispor have scored 11 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Kocaelispor have conceded nine goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Samsunspor move down from ninth to 13th (four league matches played). Samsunspor have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Samsunspor have conceded 26 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Kocaelispor have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Ayé (Kocaelispor) 7.5, C. Yüksel (Samsunspor) 5.6 and S. Oztasdelen (Kocaelispor) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Kocaelispor next travel to Eyüpspor on 7 November 2026.

Samsunspor next host Konyaspor on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kocaelispor: Eyüpspor v Kocaelispor, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Samsunspor: Samsunspor v Konyaspor, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Kocaelispor 1–0 Samsunspor · Süper Lig
Venue: Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu · Izmit
Referee: R. Coskunses
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Kocaelispor 0 · draws 1 · Samsunspor 1 · 0.5 goals/game
Recent form: Kocaelispor 2W 0D 3L · Samsunspor 2W 1D 2L

Kocaelispor 1–0 Samsunspor (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.88

Goals

against 1 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4 / 2.71

Corners

against 3.5 / 6.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

2.5 / 4.43

Shots on target

against 2.63 / 5.86 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.63 / 1.86

Cards

against 2.5 / 2.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.3 yellows

Referee · R. Coskunses

27.7 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Kocaelispor for / against	Line	Samsunspor for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	2.71 for · 6.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	10.25 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.57 for · 19.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	2.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.43 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.63 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.57 for · 14.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: R. Coskunses — 3.3 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 27.7 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor Goalkeeper

Kocaelispor — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Oztasdelen	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90

Kocaelispor — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Oztasdelen n 8	90	2.3 5/4

Kocaelispor Defensive

Kocaelispor — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Dijksteel	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	144.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
M. Haïdara	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	206.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
T. Zoukrou	3	80240 min	51.9 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	114.1 /90	51.9 /90	10.4 /90
U. Yıldız	3	55165 min	21.1 /90	42.2 /90	00 /90	63.3 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
M. Maglica	2	55110 min	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	32.5 /90	43.3 /90	10.8 /90
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Kocaelispor — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Show n 8	88.1	1.9 7/5	1.1 8/1	E. Kılınç
M. Haïdara n 8	90	0.6 4/1	2.3 8/7	J. Mendes
A. Dijksteel n 8	90	0.3 2/0	1.5 7/4	L. Tómasson
S. Oztasdelen n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
D. Agyei n 8	84.3	0.8 4/2	1.5 7/4	—
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Kocaelispor — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Haïdara n 8	90	1.6 7/5
A. Dijksteel n 8	90	1.5 7/3
Show n 8	88.1	1.4 6/2
D. Agyei n 8	84.3	0.4 2/1
B. Kutlu n 3	80.7	0.7 2/0
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Kocaelispor Attacking

Kocaelispor — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Agyei	3	86259 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.4 /90	41.4 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90
M. Altunbaş	2	2447 min	11.9 /90	00 /90	23.8 /90	11.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Show	3	90270 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	31 /90
B. Kutlu	3	81242 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	83 /90	00 /90
M. Baku	3	80241 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	31.1 /90
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Kocaelispor — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Haïdara n 8	90	1 5/3	0.3 2/0
Show n 8	88.1	0.8 4/2	0 0/0
A. Dijksteel n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
S. Oztasdelen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Agyei n 8	84.3	1.7 6/4	0.9 5/2
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Kocaelispor — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kocaelispor before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Haïdara n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Dijksteel n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Show n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
S. Oztasdelen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Agyei n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Samsunspor

Samsunspor Goalkeeper

Samsunspor — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Okan Kocuk	3	90270 min	175.7 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90

Samsunspor — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Okan Kocuk n 8	90	3.6 7/5

Samsunspor Defensive

Samsunspor — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Mendes	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	93 /90	31 /90	00 /90
L. Tómasson	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	62 /90	00 /90	103.3 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90
T. Borevković	3	75225 min	31.2 /90	20.8 /90	31.2 /90	124.8 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90
Badra Diabbate Ali	2	90180 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	115.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
G. Guarino	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	11 /90	33 /90	11 /90	00 /90
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Samsunspor — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Tómasson n 8	90	1.8 7/4	0.4 3/0	A. Dijksteel
J. Mendes n 8	79.1	1.4 6/4	0.7 3/2	M. Haïdara
E. Kılınç n 8	72.4	1.4 5/1	0.3 2/0	Show
Okan Kocuk n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
C. Yüksel n 8	89.3	1.3 5/3	1.8 7/6	—
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Samsunspor — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Tómasson n 8	90	1.5 6/4
J. Mendes n 8	79.1	1.3 6/3
E. Kılınç n 8	72.4	0.8 3/1
C. Yüksel n 8	89.3	3.5 8/6
Saikuba Jarju n 3	83	0.7 2/0
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Samsunspor Attacking

Samsunspor — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Kılınç	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90
Saikuba Jarju	3	83249 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.4 /90	31.1 /90
Fatih Kaya	3	42125 min	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	42.9 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
Marius	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	33 /90	11 /90	11 /90	11 /90
C. Yüksel	3	89266 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
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Samsunspor — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Kılınç n 8	72.4	0.8 2/2	0.2 1/0
L. Tómasson n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Mendes n 8	79.1	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Okan Kocuk n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Yüksel n 8	89.3	0.9 4/3	0.4 3/0
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Samsunspor — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Kılınç n 8	72.4	0.2 1/0	0.5 3/0
J. Mendes n 8	79.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
L. Tómasson n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Okan Kocuk n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Yüksel n 8	89.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Kocaelispor		Samsunspor
44%	Possession	56%
1.59	Expected goals (xG)	1.74
9	Shots	20
4	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	14
1	Blocked shots	2
4	Shots inside the box	14
4	Corners	4
13	Fouls	14
1	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	3
425	Passes	550
80%	Pass accuracy	85%

Kocaelispor Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Zoukrou	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
A. Dijksteel	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
M. Haïdara	90	0	1	0	1	3	Y	7.7
M. Maglica	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Show	90	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
S. Oztasdelen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.6
Gonçalo Sousa	89	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.9
F. Ayé	82	1	1	1	2	1	0	8
B. Kutlu	68	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.7
D. Agyei	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
U. Yıldız	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho sub	45	0	1	0	1	1	0	7
M. Baku sub	45	0	3	2	0	0	0	6.9
T. Gulliksen sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Altunbaş sub	8	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.7
E. Ortakaya sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Samsunspor Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
C. Yüksel	90	2	1	3	2	6.9
L. Tómasson	90	2	0	2	2	6.3
J. Mendes	90	1	0	2	2	6.9
E. Kılınç	90	2	1	4	1	6.6
Saikuba Jarju	90	4	1	1	0	6.7
G. Guarino	90	1	0	1	2	7
Y. Çift	90	0	0	0	1	6.9
Okan Kocuk	90	0	0	0	0	7
Y. Sekongo	88	3	0	3	0	6
Y. Kayan	77	1	0	1	3	6
S. Onur	69	1	1	0	1	6.6
Enes Albak sub	21	1	0	0	1	6.3
I. Drapiński sub	13	0	0	1	0	6.9
S. Eraković sub	2	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kocaelispor v Samsunspor — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

KocaelisporLLLWW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

SamsunsporLWDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Kocaelispor 0 · 1 draw · Samsunspor 1 · 0.5 goals/game

2026-01-24 Samsunspor 0–0 Kocaelispor
2025-08-16 Kocaelispor 0–1 Samsunspor

League standing · 2026/27

Kocaelispor#8 pos16 pts10 pl+2 GD

Samsunspor#17 pos4 pts10 pl-16 GD

Goals per game

Kocaelispor scored1.1

Samsunspor scored1

Kocaelispor conceded0.9

Samsunspor conceded2.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Kocaelispor v Samsunspor?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Kocaelispor v Samsunspor was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.73 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Kocaelispor and Samsunspor?: In their last 2 meetings, Kocaelispor won 0, Samsunspor won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kocaelispor and Samsunspor?: Recent form — Kocaelispor 2W 0D 3L; Samsunspor 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 20 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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