Aarhus v FC Fredericia result

Full-time · Aarhus 4–1 FC Fredericia

Superliga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aarhus · FC Fredericia

The model’s pre-match pick

Aarhus 4–1 FC Fredericia — Aarhus won this Superliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Aarhus beat FC Fredericia 4–1 in the Superliga (Denmark) on Sunday 31 August. Aarhus are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Aarhus led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Aarhus: T. Bech (37’, assisted by Rasmus Carstensen), P. Mortensen (41’), Rasmus Carstensen (75’) and Felix Beijmo (86’ pen); FC Fredericia: A. Muçolli (79’, assisted by A. Dahl).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Bech’s goal on 37 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Aarhus 3.56, FC Fredericia 0.51, from 29 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — FC Fredericia: F. Winther (17’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rasmus Carstensen (Aarhus) 11.6, A. Muçolli (FC Fredericia) 7.8 and Felix Beijmo (Aarhus) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Aarhus next host Egnatia Rrogozhinë on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aarhus: Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Aarhus 4–1 FC Fredericia · Superliga
  • Referee: Aydin Uslu, Denmark
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Aarhus 0 · draws 0 · FC Fredericia 1 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aarhus 3W 1D 1L · FC Fredericia 3W 1D 1L

Aarhus 4–1 FC Fredericia (Superliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 2
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.67 / 5
Corners
against 3.67 / 7.6 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
4.67 / 4.6
Shots on target
against 5.17 / 5.2 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.17 / 0.6
Cards
against 2.67 / 1.4 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAarhus for / againstLineFC Fredericia for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.67 for · 3.67 against n 6
9.5standard
5 for · 7.6 against n 5
Shots
15.17 for · 13.83 against n 6
19.5standard
13 for · 17.2 against n 5
Shots on target
4.67 for · 5.17 against n 6
8.5standard
4.6 for · 5.2 against n 5
Fouls committed
10.83 for · 10.67 against n 6
21.5standard
9.2 for · 8.8 against n 5
Cards shown
1.17 for · 2.67 against n 6
3.5standard
0.6 for · 1.4 against n 5

Referee: Aydin Uslu, Denmark.

Aarhus
Aarhus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luka Callø n 426
2.62/1
0.91/0
—
M. Anderson n 882.8
1.88/3
1.86/4
—
Kristian Arnstad n 881
1.86/4
2.26/5
—
Nicolai Poulsen n 863.6
1.86/3
0.94/1
F. Winther
R. Carstensen n 854.1
1.75/2
0.63/0
F. Winther
Aarhus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Frederik Emmery n 815.8
2.93/1
0.71/0
P. Mortensen n 882.5
2.37/6
1.46/3
Kevin Yakob n 865.8
2.16/5
1.45/3
M. Anderson n 882.8
27/5
0.84/2
J. Serra n 834
25/1
0.31/0
Aarhus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kevin Yakob n 865.8
0.53/0
0.31/1
T. Bech n 869.8
0.63/1
00/0
S. Jorgensen n 840.4
0.61/1
00/0
G. Links n 884
0.32/0
0.11/0
P. Mortensen n 882.5
0.43/0
00/0
Aarhus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Frederik Emmery n 815.8
3.64/1
Luka Callø n 426
3.51/1
R. Carstensen n 854.1
3.36/6
G. Links n 884
2.97/7
Mads Emil Madsen n 890
2.57/6
Aarhus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Leopold Wahlstedt n 890
3.56/6
J. Hansen n 890
3.16/4
FC Fredericia
FC Fredericia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Huldahl n 37.7
3.91/0
00/0
—
J. Kudsk n 855.1
1.84/3
0.21/0
—
W. Madsen n 523.6
1.52/0
3.13/1
—
E. Simonsen n 385.3
1.43/1
1.12/1
—
F. Winther n 856.6
1.43/2
0.63/0
R. Carstensen
FC Fredericia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Muçolli n 831.1
2.93/2
1.82/2
W. Madsen n 523.6
2.32/1
0.81/0
E. Simonsen n 385.3
1.42/2
0.72/0
P. Egelund n 450.3
1.32/1
0.41/0
A. Dahl n 611.8
1.31/0
1.31/0
FC Fredericia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Dahl n 611.8
1.31/0
00/0
Oscar Buch n 374
0.82/0
0.41/0
E. Simonsen n 385.3
0.41/0
0.71/1
A. Muçolli n 831.1
0.71/1
00/0
Gustav Marcussen n 578.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
FC Fredericia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Dahl n 611.8
6.33/1
F. Winther n 856.6
3.45/4
W. Madsen n 523.6
3.13/1
A. Pyndt n 867.3
2.86/4
J. Jessen n 584.8
2.34/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AarhusFC Fredericia
64%Possession36%
3.56Expected goals (xG)0.51
29Shots9
10Shots on target5
9Shots off target2
10Blocked shots2
22Shots inside the box5
7Corners1
0Offsides3
12Fouls11
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves5
613Passes352
90%Pass accuracy84%

Aarhus player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Hansen9000000006.7
F. Tingager9000000307.7
E. Kahl9000000206.9
Nicolai Poulsen9000312207.3
G. Links9000003408
P. Mortensen9010222107.6
R. Carstensen8011212508.2
Kristian Arnstad8000316006.9
Mads Emil Madsen6800101206.6
T. Bech6810411307.9
H. Dalsgaard5800000006.9
F. Beijmo sub3210222207.7
Kevin Yakob sub2200110106.7
S. Jorgensen sub2200001106.6
Luka Callø sub1000000006.7
S. Tchamche sub1000110007.2

FC Fredericia player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Green9000000007.7
J. Kudsk9000000006.9
F. Rieper9000000106.9
J. Jessen9000001406.2
A. Muçolli9010432007.9
E. Dall9000000006.2
A. Pyndt7600001206.3
Gustav Marcussen7600212006.6
S. Crone6700001005.6
F. Winther67000002Y6.3
Oscar Buch5600000206.2
P. Egelund sub3400111106.6
A. Dahl sub2301001006
W. Madsen sub2300000006.3
D. Haarbo sub1400000106.3
M. Huldahl sub1400000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Aarhus v FC Fredericia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AarhusLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
FC FredericiaWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Aarhus 0 · 0 draws · FC Fredericia 1 · 1 goals/game
  • 2017-09-21 FC Fredericia 1–0 Aarhus
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Aarhus#1 pos67 pts32 pl+30 GD
FC Fredericia#10 pos24 pts22 pl-19 GD
Goals per game
Aarhus scored1.94
FC Fredericia scored1.36
Aarhus conceded1
FC Fredericia conceded2.23

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Aarhus v FC Fredericia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aarhus v FC Fredericia was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Aarhus and FC Fredericia?
In their last 1 meetings, Aarhus won 0, FC Fredericia won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aarhus and FC Fredericia?
Recent form — Aarhus 3W 1D 1L; FC Fredericia 3W 1D 1L.

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