CF Os Belenenses v Arouca prediction

The match

CF Os Belenenses host Arouca in the Taça de Portugal on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is CF Os Belenenses or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

CF Os Belenenses have scored in five consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Eight of CF Os Belenenses’s last 13 results went over 2.5 goals (62%). Both teams scored in six of CF Os Belenenses’s last 13 results (46%). At home, CF Os Belenenses have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.38.

Nine of Arouca’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Arouca’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Arouca have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.14.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arouca the stronger side, 2 rating points above CF Os Belenenses (Arouca 1857, CF Os Belenenses 1855, after at least 13 rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, José Fontán (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) and Näis Djouahra (4.1 per match over eight appearances, five assists) have been Arouca’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arouca (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), José Fontán averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. Näis Djouahra averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 670 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.