Chelsea W v Arsenal W result

Full-time · Chelsea W 1–0 Arsenal W

UEFA Champions League Women ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Chelsea W 1–0 Arsenal W — Chelsea W won this UEFA Champions League Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 0 of 1 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Chelsea W beat Arsenal W 1–0 in UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 1 April. Chelsea W have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Chelsea W: S. Nusken (90’, assisted by S. Kerr).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Nusken’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Chelsea W 0.00, Arsenal W 0.00, from 16 shots to 22 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Chelsea W: E. Carpenter (48’) and L. James (62’); Arsenal W: Taylor Hinds (65’).

What it changes

It is Chelsea W’s first win over Arsenal W since 26 January 2025, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, S. Nusken (Chelsea W) 9.2, Mariona Caldentey (Arsenal W) 8.1 and L. Bronze (Chelsea W) 7.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 0 of 1 landed in the last 90 days.

Next up

Chelsea W next travel to Crystal Palace W on 25 October 2026.

Arsenal W next travel to Tottenham Hotspur W on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chelsea W: Crystal Palace W v Chelsea W, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Arsenal W: Tottenham Hotspur W v Arsenal W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Chelsea W 1–0 Arsenal W · UEFA Champions League Women
  • Referee: F. Klarlund
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chelsea W 3 · draws 1 · Arsenal W 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chelsea W 3W 1D 1L · Arsenal W 5W 0D 0L

Chelsea W 1–0 Arsenal W (UEFA Champions League Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Chelsea WArsenal W
59%Possession41%
16Shots22
5Shots on target4
8Shots off target8
3Blocked shots10
12Shots inside the box12
6Corners3
2Offsides3
9Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves4
453Passes327
81%Pass accuracy80%

Chelsea W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Hampton9800000007.3
E. Carpenter98000011Y7.2
L. Bronze9800102509.2
Veerle Buurman9800100407.5
L. James98002132Y7.6
S. Nusken9810422407.9
A. Thompson9800200206.9
S. Kerr9801223007
K. Walsh8400000006.6
K. Buchanan6000000106.9
E. Cuthbert6000001106.5
N. Charles sub3800000107
S. Baltimore sub3800001006.5
W. Kaptein sub1400100006.5

Arsenal W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daphne van Domselaar9800000007.3
Lotte Wubben-Moy9800200006.3
Katie McCabe9800103006.7
Kim Little9800002006.3
Alessia Russo9800422306.7
Caitlin Foord9800112106.3
Mariona Caldentey8400005607.5
Stina Blackstenius8400200306.2
Emily Fox6900110107
Olivia Smith6900002507
S. Catley4600000107.2
Taylor Hinds sub52000012Y6.7
B. Mead sub2900102006.9
Smilla Holmberg sub2900000006.5
Laia Codina sub1400000006.2
Frida Maanum sub1400001206.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Chelsea W v Arsenal W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Chelsea WWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Arsenal WWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chelsea W 3 · 1 draw · Arsenal W 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-24 Arsenal W 3–1 Chelsea W
  • 2026-01-24 Chelsea W 0–2 Arsenal W
  • 2025-11-08 Arsenal W 1–1 Chelsea W
  • 2025-01-26 Chelsea W 1–0 Arsenal W
  • 2024-10-12 Arsenal W 1–2 Chelsea W
  • 2024-03-15 Chelsea W 3–1 Arsenal W
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Chelsea W#3 pos14 pts6 pl+17 GD
Arsenal W#5 pos12 pts6 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Chelsea W scored3.33
Arsenal W scored1.83
Chelsea W conceded0.5
Arsenal W conceded1

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Chelsea W v Arsenal W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea W v Arsenal W was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea W and Arsenal W?
In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea W won 3, Arsenal W won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea W and Arsenal W?
Recent form — Chelsea W 3W 1D 1L; Arsenal W 5W 0D 0L.

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