Chelsea WParis Saint Germain W

Chelsea W v Paris Saint-Germain W prediction

UEFA Champions League Women · · Stamford Bridge

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Chelsea W v Paris Saint-Germain W, UEFA Champions League Women on Wed, 18 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 80.1% of 292 landed (95% range 75.2–84.3%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chelsea W host Paris Saint-Germain W in UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 18 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Chelsea W to win.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Paris Saint-Germain W’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Chelsea W are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain W have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Chelsea W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Chelsea W’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Chelsea W have six wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 0.75.

10 of Paris Saint-Germain W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Away from home, Paris Saint-Germain W have no wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.86.

Chelsea W (third) and Paris Saint-Germain W (ninth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chelsea W the stronger side, 271 rating points above Paris Saint-Germain W (Chelsea W 2257, Paris Saint-Germain W 1987, after at least 59 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 22 December 2022, finished Chelsea W 3–0 Paris Saint-Germain W.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, L. Bronze (6.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) and L. James (6.5 per match over five appearances, four goals) have been Chelsea W’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chelsea W (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Bronze averages 3.7 tackles per 90 over 698 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances. L. James averages 7.3 shots per 90 over 335 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League Women · Stamford Bridge
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Chelsea W 2 · draws 0 · Paris Saint-Germain W 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chelsea W 3W 2D 0L · Paris Saint-Germain W 2W 2D 1L

Chelsea W v Paris Saint-Germain W (UEFA Champions League Women): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.5 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
8.63 / 3.71
Corners
against 1.88 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
7 / 3.29
Shots on target
against 2.13 / 2.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
0.88 / 1.14
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameChelsea W for / againstLineParis Saint-Germain W for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
8.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.71 for · 4 against n 7
Shots
22.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13.86 for · 8.57 against n 7
Shots on target
7 for · 2.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.29 for · 2.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
8.63 for · 8.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.71 for · 7.43 against n 7
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.14 for · 1.29 against n 7

Chelsea W

Chelsea W Goalkeeper

Chelsea W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
H. Hampton990810 min151.7 /90–00 /90
Chelsea W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
H. Hampton n 890
1.53/2

Chelsea W Defensive

Chelsea W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Bronze887698 min293.7 /90172.2 /9000 /90648.3 /9081 /9020.3 /90
K. Buchanan788614 min81.2 /9040.6 /9000 /90314.5 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
Katie McCabe787610 min60.9 /9081.2 /9010.1 /90152.2 /9020.3 /9020.3 /90
Veerle Buurman575375 min81.9 /9081.9 /9000 /90143.4 /9051.2 /9000 /90
N. Björn24284 min22.1 /9011.1 /9000 /9044.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Chelsea W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Hampton n 890
00/0
00/0
—
E. Carpenter n 889.3
0.42/1
0.32/0
—
S. Nusken n 861
0.42/0
1.36/1
—
A. Thompson n 858.8
14/1
0.41/1
—
L. Bronze n 887.3
16/2
0.95/1
—
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Chelsea W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Carpenter n 889.3
1.96/5
S. Nusken n 861
1.87/2
A. Thompson n 858.8
1.35/2
L. Bronze n 887.3
3.77/6
K. Walsh n 886.4
1.26/1
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Chelsea W Attacking

Chelsea W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Thompson962560 min10.2 /9030.5 /90172.7 /9061 /90162.6 /90101.6 /90
M. Malard764451 min61.2 /9000 /90275.4 /90132.6 /9061.2 /9071.4 /90
M. Hamano638230 min20.8 /9000 /9072.7 /9041.6 /9020.8 /9020.8 /90
Aggie Beever-Jones636215 min10.4 /9000 /90145.9 /9041.7 /9031.3 /9020.8 /90
L. James567335 min41.1 /9000 /90277.3 /90102.7 /9071.9 /9092.4 /90
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Chelsea W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Hampton n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Carpenter n 889.3
2.17/5
0.94/3
S. Nusken n 861
3.97/5
1.36/1
A. Thompson n 858.8
2.57/4
13/2
L. Bronze n 887.3
1.36/3
0.53/1
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Chelsea W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Hampton n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Carpenter n 889.3
0.53/1
00/0
S. Nusken n 861
0.42/0
0.21/0
A. Thompson n 858.8
0.21/0
0.62/1
L. Bronze n 887.3
0.11/0
0.43/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea W v Paris Saint-Germain W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Chelsea WWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Paris Saint-Germain WWDWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Chelsea W 2 · 0 draws · Paris Saint-Germain W 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2022-12-22 Chelsea W 3–0 Paris Saint-Germain W
  • 2022-10-20 Paris Saint-Germain W 0–1 Chelsea W
League standing · 2026/27
Chelsea W#3 pos8 pts4 pl+3 GD
Paris Saint-Germain W#9 pos5 pts4 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Chelsea W scored0.75
Paris Saint-Germain W scored2
Chelsea W conceded0
Paris Saint-Germain W conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Chelsea W v Paris Saint-Germain W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea W v Paris Saint-Germain W is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea W and Paris Saint-Germain W?
In their last 2 meetings, Chelsea W won 2, Paris Saint-Germain W won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea W and Paris Saint-Germain W?
Recent form — Chelsea W 3W 2D 0L; Paris Saint-Germain W 2W 2D 1L.

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