Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis prediction

UEFA Champions League · · Signal Iduna Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis, UEFA Champions League on Wed, 04 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.9% of 577 landed (95% range 63–70.6%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Borussia Dortmund host Real Betis in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 4 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Real Betis are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Borussia Dortmund have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.14.

Eight of Real Betis’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Real Betis’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Real Betis have three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.83 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.50.

Borussia Dortmund (13th) and Real Betis (fifth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Predicted Borussia Dortmund XI (3-4-2-1): G. Kobel, W. Anton, N. Schlotterbeck, K. Gadou, F. Nmecha, J. Veerman, D. Svensson, J. Bellingham, J. Ryerson, M. Beier, S. Guirassy — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nico Schlotterbeck (5.3 per match over eight appearances, one goal) and Serhou Guirassy (4.6 per match over 13 appearances, eight goals and two assists) have been Borussia Dortmund’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Borussia Dortmund (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nico Schlotterbeck averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 1292 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Serhou Guirassy averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 1058 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Real Betis XI (4-2-3-1): Á. Vallés, Natan, F. García, H. Bellerín, M. Bartra, A. Ezzalzouli, M. Roca, Isco, P. Fornals, D. Ceballos, T. Parrott — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Abdessamad Ezzalzouli (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, four goals) and Marc Bartra (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, four goals) have been Real Betis’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Betis (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Abdessamad Ezzalzouli averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 962 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Marc Bartra averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 715 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League · Signal Iduna Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Borussia Dortmund 3W 2D 0L · Real Betis 3W 1D 1L

Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis (UEFA Champions League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.88
Goals
against 1 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.75 / 5.25
Corners
against 3.88 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 6.13
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.88
Cards
against 2 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBorussia Dortmund for / againstLineReal Betis for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
3.25our book
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.75 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
14.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
17 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
6.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.88 against n 8

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund Goalkeeper

Borussia Dortmund — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Kobel13891161 min382.9 /9080.6 /9000 /90
A. Meyer19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Borussia Dortmund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Kobel n 890
2.87/5
A. Meyer n 890
2.64/4

Borussia Dortmund Defensive

Borussia Dortmund — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Anton14881228 min332.4 /90382.8 /9060.4 /90836.1 /90181.3 /9020.1 /90
Kouakou Joane Gadou1281969 min242.2 /9080.7 /9020.2 /90474.4 /9090.8 /9020.2 /90
N. Schlotterbeck888707 min222.8 /90141.8 /9050.6 /90526.6 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90
R. Bensebaïni483333 min92.4 /9071.9 /9020.5 /90205.4 /9030.8 /9000 /90
F. Mané346138 min32 /9032 /9000 /9053.3 /9021.3 /9000 /90
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Borussia Dortmund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Anton n 890
1.56/4
1.15/3
—
D. Svensson n 876.8
0.62/1
0.74/1
—
F. Nmecha n 877
1.26/2
2.27/4
—
G. Kobel n 890
00/0
00/0
—
S. Guirassy n 879.8
1.15/3
1.16/2
—
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Borussia Dortmund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Anton n 890
38/5
D. Svensson n 876.8
14/2
F. Nmecha n 877
1.56/2
S. Guirassy n 879.8
00/0
Joey Veerman n 868.3
1.65/3
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Borussia Dortmund Attacking

Borussia Dortmund — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Guirassy13811058 min80.7 /9020.2 /90353 /90191.6 /90181.5 /9030.3 /90
Fábio Silva1146504 min40.7 /9020.4 /90183.2 /90101.8 /9081.4 /9091.6 /90
S. Inacio361182 min21 /9000 /9052.5 /9021 /9042 /9010.5 /90
M. Albert255110 min00 /9000 /9032.5 /9032.5 /9032.5 /9032.5 /90
G. Konstantelias24590 min00 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9033 /9011 /90
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Borussia Dortmund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Anton n 890
0.43/0
00/0
D. Svensson n 876.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
F. Nmecha n 877
1.85/5
0.95/1
G. Kobel n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Guirassy n 879.8
3.18/5
1.35/2
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Borussia Dortmund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Anton n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Svensson n 876.8
0.11/0
00/0
F. Nmecha n 877
00/0
00/0
G. Kobel n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Guirassy n 879.8
0.63/1
00/0
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Real Betis

Real Betis Goalkeeper

Real Betis — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Álvaro Vallés14901260 min513.6 /90161.1 /9010.1 /90
Real Betis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álvaro Vallés n 890
3.58/6

Real Betis Defensive

Real Betis — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Natan12881051 min181.5 /9080.7 /9080.7 /90504.3 /9030.3 /9030.3 /90
Héctor Bellerín1277929 min151.5 /90101 /9020.2 /90242.3 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90
Fran García1185931 min373.6 /90181.7 /9030.3 /90565.4 /9060.6 /9010.1 /90
Marc Bartra978703 min162 /9081 /9060.8 /90516.5 /9010.1 /9000 /90
V. Gómez678467 min71.3 /9071.3 /9071.3 /90203.9 /9051 /9010.2 /90
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Real Betis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Álvaro Vallés n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Antony n 854.4
1.25/1
1.45/2
—
Isco n 864.8
1.45/3
2.16/3
—
Natan n 890
0.11/0
0.63/2
—
Héctor Bellerín n 880
0.74/1
0.32/0
—
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Real Betis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Antony n 854.4
1.44/3
Isco n 864.8
0.73/1
Natan n 890
1.55/3
Héctor Bellerín n 880
16/1
Pablo Fornals n 872.6
0.63/1
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Real Betis Attacking

Real Betis — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Hernández1062617 min30.4 /9020.3 /90121.8 /9081.2 /9081.2 /9081.2 /90
T. Parrott1053532 min20.3 /9010.2 /90122 /9040.7 /90101.7 /9040.7 /90
Pablo García22040 min00 /9000 /9012.3 /9000 /9036.8 /9000 /90
Aitor Ruibal11515 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9016 /90
Antony1367872 min00 /9010.1 /90313.2 /90161.7 /90202.1 /90141.4 /90
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Real Betis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Álvaro Vallés n 890
00/0
00/0
Antony n 854.4
3.56/4
1.94/2
Isco n 864.8
2.45/5
1.75/3
Natan n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
Héctor Bellerín n 880
0.74/1
0.42/1
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Real Betis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álvaro Vallés n 890
00/0
00/0
Antony n 854.4
00/0
0.21/0
Isco n 864.8
0.73/1
0.21/0
Natan n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Héctor Bellerín n 880
00/0
0.11/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Borussia DortmundDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Real BetisWLWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Borussia Dortmund#13 pos6 pts3 pl+1 GD
Real Betis#5 pos9 pts3 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Borussia Dortmund scored1.67
Real Betis scored2.33
Borussia Dortmund conceded1.33
Real Betis conceded1.33

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Borussia Dortmund and Real Betis?
Recent form — Borussia Dortmund 3W 2D 0L; Real Betis 3W 1D 1L.

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