Fenerbahçe v Liverpool prediction

UEFA Champions League · Wed, 04 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT · Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 02:18 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Fenerbahçe v Liverpool, UEFA Champions League on Wed, 04 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.9% of 577 landed (95% range 63–70.6%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Fenerbahçe host Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 4 November (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Liverpool have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Fenerbahçe’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Fenerbahçe’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Fenerbahçe have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 1.25.

Nine of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Liverpool have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.67.

Fenerbahçe are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Fenerbahçe (31st) and Liverpool (third) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Liverpool the stronger side, 313 rating points above Fenerbahçe (Liverpool 1994, Fenerbahçe 1681, after at least 21 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Fenerbahçe XI (4-2-3-1): Ederson, M. Škriniar, N. Semedo, A. Brown, L. Mercan, M. Guendouzi, N. Kanté, İ. Kahveci, O. Aydın, M. Greenwood, R. Lukaku — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Talisca (5.3 per match over seven appearances, five goals) and Mason Greenwood (3.9 per match over 18 appearances, seven goals and four assists) have been Fenerbahçe’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Fenerbahçe (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Talisca averages 4.5 shots per 90 over 564 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances. Mason Greenwood averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1252 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Liverpool XI (4-2-3-1): A. Becker, V. van Dijk, R. Araújo, J. Jacquet, K. Tsimikas, R. Gravenberch, A. Mac Allister, T. Nyoni, F. Wirtz, B. Barcola, A. Isak — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cody Gakpo (6.6 per match over nine appearances, three goals and five assists) and Dominik Szoboszlai (4.5 per match over eight appearances, three goals) have been Liverpool’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Liverpool (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cody Gakpo averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 1507 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Dominik Szoboszlai averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 1300 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 04 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT · UEFA Champions League · Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Fenerbahçe 1W 1D 3L · Liverpool 4W 1D 0L

Fenerbahçe v Liverpool (UEFA Champions League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 2.38

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.13 / 6.29

Corners

against 6 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.63 / 5.57

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 3.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.38 / 1.86

Cards

against 1.5 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Fenerbahçe for / against	Line	Liverpool for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.29 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	15.63 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17 for · 13.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.63 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.57 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.71 for · 9.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5

Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe Goalkeeper

Fenerbahçe — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Ederson	14	901259 min	533.8 /90	100.7 /90
M. Günok	4	91363 min	92.2 /90	10.2 /90
T. Çetin	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90

Fenerbahçe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fenerbahçe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ederson n 8	89.9	4 7/6
M. Günok n 8	82.3	2.3 5/3

Fenerbahçe Defensive

Fenerbahçe — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Škriniar	19	891691 min	472.5 /90	251.3 /90	40.2 /90	945 /90	201.1 /90	50.3 /90
N. Aké	17	831419 min	171.1 /90	161 /90	140.9 /90	452.9 /90	80.5 /90	00 /90
Nélson Semedo	16	861380 min	261.7 /90	110.7 /90	60.4 /90	664.3 /90	241.6 /90	40.3 /90
A. Brown	14	861201 min	261.9 /90	251.9 /90	60.4 /90	685.1 /90	191.4 /90	30.2 /90
L. Mercan	7	59412 min	102.2 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90	194.2 /90	61.3 /90	00 /90
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Fenerbahçe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fenerbahçe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Škriniar n 8	87.3	1 4/3	0.9 4/2	—
M. Guendouzi n 8	86.4	0.9 5/1	0.8 4/1	—
N. Aké n 8	81.4	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0	—
M. Greenwood n 8	77.9	0.3 2/0	1.6 5/3	—
Nélson Semedo n 8	86.9	1.7 6/6	0.8 5/1	—
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Fenerbahçe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fenerbahçe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Škriniar n 8	87.3	1.5 6/4
M. Guendouzi n 8	86.4	1.3 5/1
N. Aké n 8	81.4	1.2 6/2
M. Greenwood n 8	77.9	1 5/1
Nélson Semedo n 8	86.9	1.6 6/3
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Fenerbahçe Attacking

Fenerbahçe — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
V. Muriqi	13	61787 min	70.8 /90	10.1 /90	252.9 /90	182.1 /90	60.7 /90	60.7 /90
R. Lukaku	11	44481 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	101.9 /90	40.7 /90	101.9 /90	00 /90
Talisca	7	81564 min	50.8 /90	00 /90	284.5 /90	172.7 /90	61 /90	40.6 /90
N. Dorgeles	5	25123 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.9 /90	10.7 /90	21.5 /90	21.5 /90
A. Musaba	1	2020 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	29 /90
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Fenerbahçe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fenerbahçe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Škriniar n 8	87.3	0.6 5/0	0.4 3/0
M. Guendouzi n 8	86.4	0.8 6/0	0.4 3/0
N. Aké n 8	81.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
M. Greenwood n 8	77.9	3 7/6	1.3 5/2
Nélson Semedo n 8	86.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
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Fenerbahçe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fenerbahçe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Škriniar n 8	87.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Guendouzi n 8	86.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
N. Aké n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Greenwood n 8	77.9	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
Nélson Semedo n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alisson Becker	11	90990 min	232.1 /90	90.8 /90	00 /90
G. Mamardashvili	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 8	90	1.8 4/2
G. Mamardashvili n 8	86	3.7 8/6

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Jérémy Jacquet	12	80956 min	252.4 /90	191.8 /90	100.9 /90	565.3 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
V. van Dijk	11	84928 min	90.9 /90	111.1 /90	10.1 /90	454.4 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90
R. Araújo	11	70769 min	91.1 /90	60.7 /90	50.6 /90	424.9 /90	40.5 /90	20.2 /90
M. Kerkez	10	83832 min	202.2 /90	80.9 /90	40.4 /90	454.9 /90	161.7 /90	30.3 /90
Jeremie Frimpong	7	58404 min	92 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90	163.6 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	78.6	0.7 5/0	0.4 2/1	—
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0.8 4/2	0.5 2/2	—
F. Wirtz n 8	75.9	1.6 6/2	1.2 4/3	—
A. Mac Allister n 8	79.9	1.3 4/3	1 4/3	—
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	78.6	2.4 7/5
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0.5 3/1
F. Wirtz n 8	75.9	2.2 7/5
A. Mac Allister n 8	79.9	1.4 7/3
R. Araújo n 8	71.1	1.1 4/2
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Isak	9	76683 min	60.8 /90	10.1 /90	192.5 /90	91.2 /90	81.1 /90	60.8 /90
L. Koumas	4	79317 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	72 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90
F. Wirtz	11	77849 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	171.8 /90	70.7 /90	303.2 /90	121.3 /90
A. Mac Allister	11	75827 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	192.1 /90	70.8 /90	161.7 /90	70.8 /90
B. Barcola	10	59592 min	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	152.3 /90	71.1 /90	81.2 /90	142.1 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	78.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
F. Wirtz n 8	75.9	2.1 5/3	0.6 2/2
A. Mac Allister n 8	79.9	2.4 6/4	0.8 5/1
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	78.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Wirtz n 8	75.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Mac Allister n 8	79.9	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fenerbahçe v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FenerbahçeLWDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

LiverpoolWWWWD

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Fenerbahçe#31 pos2 pts3 pl-6 GD

Liverpool#3 pos9 pts3 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Fenerbahçe scored1

Liverpool scored4

Fenerbahçe conceded3

Liverpool conceded2.33

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Fenerbahçe v Liverpool?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Fenerbahçe v Liverpool is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Fenerbahçe and Liverpool?: Recent form — Fenerbahçe 1W 1D 3L; Liverpool 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 02:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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