Feyenoord v Como prediction

UEFA Champions League · · Stadion Feijenoord

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Feyenoord vs Como, UEFA Champions League on Wed, 14 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.42 at Betvictor
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.5% of 646 landed (95% range 61.7–69%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Feyenoord host Como in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 14 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Feyenoord have scored in 14 consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Feyenoord have won their last three matches. Feyenoord have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches. Nine of Feyenoord’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Feyenoord’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Feyenoord have three wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.00.

Eight of Como’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Como’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Como have five wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 9 away matches — 1.78 points per game, scoring 1.89 and conceding 1.22.

Feyenoord (33rd) and Como (fifth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Feyenoord have eight names on the availability list: B. Nieuwkoop (out, Knee Injury), G. Smal (out, Ankle Injury), J. Bos (out, Knee Injury), S. van Persie (out, Inactive), T. Beelen (out, Broken Leg), G. Borges (doubtful, Knock) and two more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-12. By TACTIX Impact, Anis Hadj-Moussa (7.0 per match over eight appearances, five goals and one assist) and Gjivai Zechiël (6.2 per match over nine appearances, five goals and four assists) have been Feyenoord’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Feyenoord (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Anis Hadj-Moussa averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 834 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Gjivai Zechiël averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 807 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Como have six names on the availability list: A. Lahdo (out, Off the roster), E. Goldaniga (out, Off the roster), M. Caqueret (out, Off the roster), M. Kean (out, Leg Injury), M. Vigorito (out, Off the roster) and W. Kambwala (out, Off the roster) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-12. By TACTIX Impact, N. Paz (7.1 per match over seven appearances, one goal and three assists) and Assane Diao (5.9 per match over seven appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Como’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Como (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Paz averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 875 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Assane Diao averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 579 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League · Stadion Feijenoord
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Feyenoord 4W 0D 1L · Como 3W 1D 1L

TACTIX runs Feyenoord v Como (UEFA Champions League) through its calibrated model across 242 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 12 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3.38 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.5 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.13 / 6.38
Corners
against 3.88 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.5 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFeyenoord for / againstLineComo for / against
Goals scored
3.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.25our book
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
19.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
20.63 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
7.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
6.5 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
8.63 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
Feyenoord
Feyenoord — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gonçalo Borges n 835.9
2.24/2
00/0
—
T. van den Elshout n 838.9
23/2
1.44/1
—
Javi López n 853
1.95/3
0.63/0
—
A. Ueda n 856.9
1.84/2
13/2
—
M. Deijl n 856.4
1.64/2
1.44/3
—
Feyenoord — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Steijn n 822.1
5.65/2
4.65/2
A. Ueda n 856.9
3.87/6
2.87/4
G. Diarra n 844.3
3.86/5
1.54/2
Nacho Ferri n 848.5
3.55/3
2.14/2
J. Zinhagel n 319
3.22/0
1.61/0
Feyenoord — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Zinhagel n 319
1.61/0
00/0
A. Ueda n 856.9
1.46/1
0.21/0
Nacho Ferri n 848.5
0.93/1
0.21/0
S. Steijn n 822.1
0.51/0
0.51/0
G. Zechiël n 867.1
0.32/0
0.52/1
Feyenoord — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Vanhoutte n 868.3
37/5
Gonçalo Borges n 835.9
2.85/3
G. Read n 882.6
2.77/6
J. Lotomba n 834.9
2.64/2
G. Diarra n 844.3
2.55/2
Feyenoord — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Ernst n 890
2.35/3
Como
Como — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Caqueret n 835.3
2.64/2
13/0
—
S. Ricci n 828.5
2.45/1
23/1
—
M. Liberali n 851.6
25/3
3.36/4
—
Luis Milla n 856.9
1.44/2
1.43/3
—
N. Paz n 876.5
1.37/2
0.63/1
—
Como — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Paz n 876.5
3.88/7
1.65/4
M. Kean n 856.9
37/5
26/4
T. Douvikas n 851.4
2.87/4
1.55/2
M. Baturina n 845.8
2.76/2
1.24/1
Jesús Rodríguez n 845.8
2.27/2
14/0
Como — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Baturina n 845.8
0.73/0
0.52/0
N. Paz n 876.5
0.43/0
0.63/1
Assane Diao n 865.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
T. Douvikas n 851.4
0.73/0
00/0
Jesús Rodríguez n 845.8
0.21/0
0.52/0
Como — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Van der Brempt n 845.5
46/3
Kaiki n 867.8
3.27/5
N. Paz n 876.5
3.17/7
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 890
2.58/6
Alberto Moreno n 856.1
2.26/3
Como — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Robert Sánchez n 887
3.47/6
Jean Butez n 890
1.95/2

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Feyenoord v Como — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FeyenoordWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
ComoWWWLD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Feyenoord#33 pos0 pts1 pl-4 GD
Como#5 pos3 pts1 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Feyenoord scored1
Como scored4
Feyenoord conceded5
Como conceded1

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Feyenoord vs Como?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Feyenoord v Como is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.42 at Betvictor).
What is the recent form of Feyenoord and Como?
Recent form — Feyenoord 4W 0D 1L; Como 3W 1D 1L.

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