Larne v Tre Fiori result

Full-time · Larne 2–1 Tre Fiori

UEFA Champions League · · Inver Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Larne 2–1 Tre Fiori — Larne won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.4% of 1690 landed (95% range 73.3–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Larne beat Tre Fiori 2–1 at Inver Park in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 14 July.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Tre Fiori: Pietro Mengucci (11’, assisted by Matteo Prandelli); Larne: Matthew Ridley (25’, assisted by R. Doherty) and Daniel Bent (69’ pen). Simone Rea (63’) and Tommaso Bernardi (90’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Bent’s goal on 69 minutes.

Discipline

S. Kringstad showed five yellow cards and two reds — against 5.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Larne are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Tre Fiori have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daniel Bent (Larne) 4.5, Matthew Ridley (Larne) 3.5 and Rohan Ferguson (Larne) 3.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Larne or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1274 of 1690).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Larne 2–1 Tre Fiori · UEFA Champions League
  • Venue: Inver Park · Larne
  • Referee: S. Kringstad
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Larne 1 · draws 0 · Tre Fiori 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Larne 1W 3D 1L · Tre Fiori 1W 1D 3L

Larne 2–1 Tre Fiori (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LarneTre Fiori
68%Possession32%
12Shots7
4Shots on target3
8Shots off target4
0Blocked shots0
5Corners1
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards2

Larne Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Bent9010000000
M. Ridley9010000000
R. Ferguson9000000000
T. Cosgrove9000000000
C. Gallagher9000000000
S. Graham8000000000
M. Lusty8000000000
R. Doherty7601000000
C. McKendry58000000Y0
J. McEneff3200000000
J. Simpson1000000000
P. O'Neill1000000000

Tre Fiori Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Mattia Sancisi9000000000
Brando Sami9000000000
F. Benedettini9000000000
M. Nardi9000000000
Simone Rea63000000R0
Alessandro D'Addario59000000Y0
Luca Terenzi700000000
L. Censoni700000000

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Larne v Tre Fiori — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LarneDDLDW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Tre FioriLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Larne 1 · 0 draws · Tre Fiori 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2026-07-07 Tre Fiori 0–1 Larne
Goals per game
Larne scored0.4
Tre Fiori scored0.2
Larne conceded0.8
Tre Fiori conceded1.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Larne v Tre Fiori?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Larne v Tre Fiori was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Tre Fiori?
In their last 1 meetings, Larne won 1, Tre Fiori won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Larne and Tre Fiori?
Recent form — Larne 1W 3D 1L; Tre Fiori 1W 1D 3L.

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