Slavia Praha v Arsenal prediction

UEFA Champions League · · Fortuna Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Slavia Praha v Arsenal, UEFA Champions League on Wed, 04 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Slavia Praha host Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 4 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Slavia Praha are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Arsenal have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Slavia Praha’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Slavia Praha’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Slavia Praha have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 2.25.

Eight of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Arsenal have five wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 1.00.

Slavia Praha (32nd) and Arsenal (seventh) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arsenal the stronger side, 828 rating points above Slavia Praha (Arsenal 2252, Slavia Praha 1425, after at least 33 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Arsenal are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Slavia Praha, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 4 November 2025, finished Slavia Praha 0–3 Arsenal.

Team news

Predicted Slavia Praha XI (3-4-2-1): J. Markovič, D. Zima, T. Vlček, Š. Chaloupek, M. Sadílek, D. Moses, E. Ayaosi, D. Šturm, W. Nowak, O. Kubiak, L. Provod — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Danijel Šturm (5.3 per match over three appearances, two goals) and Emmanuel Ayaosi (4.5 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Slavia Praha’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Slavia Praha (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Danijel Šturm averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 774 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Emmanuel Ayaosi averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 270 minutes.

Predicted Arsenal XI (4-2-3-1): D. Raya, E. Konsa, G. Magalhães, B. White, J. Timber, M. Ødegaard, D. Rice, E. Eze, B. Guimarães, N. Madueke, V. Gyökeres — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bukayo Saka (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and one assist) and Declan Rice (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and four assists) have been Arsenal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arsenal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bukayo Saka averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1364 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Declan Rice averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1623 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League · Fortuna Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Slavia Praha 0 · draws 1 · Arsenal 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Slavia Praha 0W 1D 4L · Arsenal 3W 2D 0L

Slavia Praha v Arsenal (UEFA Champions League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.63 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.71
Corners
against 5.88 / 3.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.88 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 7.5 / 3.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.88 / 1.14
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSlavia Praha for / againstLineArsenal for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.25our book
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.71 for · 3.71 against n 7
Shots
13 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
13.57 for · 10.71 against n 7
Shots on target
3.88 for · 7.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.57 for · 3.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.88 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.57 for · 13.57 against n 7
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.14 for · 2.14 against n 7

Slavia Praha

Slavia Praha Goalkeeper

Slavia Praha — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Markovič390270 min103.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Slavia Praha — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slavia Praha before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Markovič n 590
45/4

Slavia Praha Defensive

Slavia Praha — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Zima375225 min10.4 /9000 /9000 /90114.4 /9010.4 /9000 /90
T. Vlček375225 min41.6 /9041.6 /9000 /90145.6 /9010.4 /9000 /90
S. Isife343129 min42.8 /9053.5 /9010.7 /9053.5 /9000 /9000 /90
A. N'Guessan283165 min42.2 /9052.7 /9000 /9073.8 /9073.8 /9000 /90
Š. Chaloupek19090 min22 /9055 /9011 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
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Slavia Praha — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slavia Praha before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ayaosi n 390
2.33/3
23/2
—
J. Markovič n 590
00/0
0.42/0
—
D. Šturm n 380.7
1.92/2
0.41/0
—
D. Zima n 880.6
1.15/2
15/2
—
T. Vlček n 868.5
14/2
0.21/0
—
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Slavia Praha — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slavia Praha before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Ayaosi n 390
1.73/2
D. Šturm n 380.7
0.71/1
T. Vlček n 868.5
27/3
D. Zima n 880.6
0.85/1
Wiktor Nowak n 366.7
1.33/0
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Slavia Praha Attacking

Slavia Praha — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Chytil340121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.5 /9000 /90
L. Provod288175 min10.5 /9000 /9094.6 /9052.6 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
T. Chorý17373 min00 /9000 /9022.5 /9022.5 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Ayaosi390270 min00 /9010.3 /9082.7 /9020.7 /9072.3 /9020.7 /90
D. Šturm381242 min20.7 /9000 /9083 /9020.7 /9093.3 /9031.1 /90
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Slavia Praha — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slavia Praha before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Ayaosi n 390
2.73/2
0.72/0
J. Markovič n 590
00/0
00/0
D. Šturm n 380.7
32/2
0.71/1
D. Zima n 880.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
T. Vlček n 868.5
00/0
00/0
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Slavia Praha — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slavia Praha before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Ayaosi n 390
00/0
0.31/0
J. Markovič n 590
00/0
00/0
D. Šturm n 380.7
0.71/1
00/0
D. Zima n 880.6
00/0
00/0
T. Vlček n 868.5
00/0
00/0
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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David Raya12901080 min282.3 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Raya n 890
2.47/4
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 889.6
1.85/2

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães13871125 min141.1 /90171.4 /9090.7 /90493.9 /90141.1 /9020.2 /90
E. Konsa1086855 min111.2 /90101.1 /9020.2 /90454.7 /9090.9 /9010.1 /90
Riccardo Calafiori1076762 min121.4 /9050.6 /9020.2 /90313.7 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
Ben White978706 min172.2 /9050.6 /9020.3 /90384.8 /9040.5 /9000 /90
J. Timber654324 min71.9 /9030.8 /9000 /90164.4 /9041.1 /9000 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
1.16/1
0.95/2
—
David Raya n 890
00/0
0.84/2
—
Declan Rice n 887.6
0.64/1
0.53/1
—
Martin Ødegaard n 878.4
0.42/1
15/2
—
K. Havertz n 855.1
1.66/2
1.24/2
—
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
1.56/3
Declan Rice n 887.6
2.27/5
Martin Ødegaard n 878.4
0.43/0
K. Havertz n 855.1
0.21/0
Bruno Guimarães n 855.4
3.56/4
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Havertz1265774 min30.3 /9010.1 /90151.7 /9080.9 /90101.2 /9020.2 /90
Viktor Gyökeres945401 min00 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90122.7 /9000 /90
Declan Rice1282989 min10.1 /9040.4 /9070.6 /9010.1 /90181.6 /9040.4 /90
Martin Ødegaard1278935 min40.4 /9010.1 /90141.3 /9080.8 /90272.6 /90111.1 /90
Bruno Guimarães1148532 min20.3 /9000 /90122 /9050.8 /9030.5 /9071.2 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
0.53/1
0.31/1
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 887.6
0.64/1
0.11/0
Martin Ødegaard n 878.4
1.34/3
0.63/1
K. Havertz n 855.1
25/4
0.63/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 887.6
0.11/0
0.43/0
Martin Ødegaard n 878.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Havertz n 855.1
00/0
0.21/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Slavia Praha v Arsenal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Slavia PrahaLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.4 scored / 3 conceded per game
ArsenalWWDWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Slavia Praha 0 · 1 draw · Arsenal 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-11-04 Slavia Praha 0–3 Arsenal
  • 2021-04-15 Slavia Praha 0–4 Arsenal
  • 2021-04-08 Arsenal 1–1 Slavia Praha
League standing · 2026/27
Slavia Praha#32 pos1 pts3 pl-3 GD
Arsenal#7 pos7 pts3 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Slavia Praha scored1.33
Arsenal scored2
Slavia Praha conceded2.33
Arsenal conceded0.67

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Slavia Praha v Arsenal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Slavia Praha v Arsenal is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Slavia Praha and Arsenal?
In their last 3 meetings, Slavia Praha won 0, Arsenal won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Slavia Praha and Arsenal?
Recent form — Slavia Praha 0W 1D 4L; Arsenal 3W 2D 0L.

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