Viking v Sabah FA prediction

UEFA Champions League · · Lyse Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Viking v Sabah FA, UEFA Champions League on Wed, 04 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Viking host Sabah FA in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 4 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

13 of Viking’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 13 of Viking’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).

Viking have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

At home, Viking have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.75 points per game, scoring 3.38 and conceding 1.25.

Eight of Sabah FA’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Sabah FA’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Sabah FA have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.43.

Viking (33rd) and Sabah FA (25th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Viking the stronger side, 9 rating points above Sabah FA (Viking 1628, Sabah FA 1619, after at least five rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Viking XI (4-3-3): A. Østbø, H. Heggheim, G. Stensness, H. Falchener, K. Haugen, H. Bjørdal, J. Bell, K. Askildsen, P. Christiansen, E. Botheim, Z. Tripić — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Zlatko Tripić (5.9 per match over 29 appearances, nine goals and 22 assists) and Peter Christiansen (4.9 per match over 29 appearances, 18 goals and seven assists) have been Viking’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Viking (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Zlatko Tripić averages 4.3 key passes per 90 over 2366 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Peter Christiansen averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 2500 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sabah FA XI (4-2-3-1): S. Pokatilov, T. Puchacz, A. Zedadka, S. Solvet, A. McCarthy, I. Lepinjica, V. Simić, U. Rahmonaliyev, K. Parris, A. Isaev, J. Mickels — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Joy-Lance Mickels (4.8 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) and Tymoteusz Puchacz (4.3 per match over eight appearances, four assists) have been Sabah FA’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sabah FA (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Joy-Lance Mickels averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 723 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances. Tymoteusz Puchacz averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 790 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League · Lyse Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Viking 2W 1D 2L · Sabah FA 2W 0D 3L

Viking v Sabah FA (UEFA Champions League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.13 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.14
Corners
against 7.25 / 6.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6 / 4.71
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 6.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.88 / 1.57
Cards
against 1.63 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameViking for / againstLineSabah FA for / against
Goals scored
3.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 7.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.14 for · 6.14 against n 7
Shots
14.5 for · 17.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.86 for · 15.71 against n 7
Shots on target
6 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.71 for · 6.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 9.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.67 for · 12.17 against n 6
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.57 for · 2 against n 7

Viking

Viking Goalkeeper

Viking — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Østbø19901710 min603.2 /90160.8 /9000 /90
Ľubomír Belko1190990 min232.1 /90121.1 /9010.1 /90
Viking — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Viking before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Østbø n 890
3.95/5
Ľubomír Belko n 890
24/2

Viking Defensive

Viking — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gianni Stensness28872430 min261 /90301.1 /90261 /901244.6 /90341.3 /9050.2 /90
Henrik Heggheim28792220 min582.4 /90341.4 /90200.8 /901476 /90441.8 /9060.2 /90
Kristoffer Haugen22831817 min331.6 /90221.1 /9030.1 /90693.4 /90150.7 /9020.1 /90
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener22781723 min261.4 /90281.5 /90180.9 /901226.4 /90180.9 /9020.1 /90
H. J. Haugen1935662 min81.1 /9091.2 /9010.1 /90446 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90
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Viking — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Viking before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Peter Christiansen n 883.8
1.27/2
0.94/2
—
Zlatko Tripić n 874.8
0.84/1
1.86/4
—
Gianni Stensness n 884.4
1.56/3
0.54/0
—
Henrik Heggheim n 886.3
1.26/2
0.75/0
—
Kristoffer Askildsen n 876.6
1.34/2
2.17/3
—
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Viking — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Viking before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Peter Christiansen n 883.8
1.76/3
Zlatko Tripić n 874.8
0.84/1
Gianni Stensness n 884.4
1.26/3
Henrik Heggheim n 886.3
1.77/4
Kristoffer Askildsen n 876.6
2.67/4
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Viking Attacking

Viking — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Peter Christiansen29862500 min180.6 /9070.3 /90632.3 /90341.2 /90220.8 /90130.5 /90
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad1647744 min30.4 /9020.2 /90161.9 /9091.1 /90131.6 /9091.1 /90
Edvin Austbø1365846 min30.3 /9010.1 /90161.7 /9070.7 /90111.2 /90131.4 /90
Erik Botheim1067669 min40.5 /9020.3 /90243.2 /90111.5 /9040.5 /9020.3 /90
Amin Cosic429115 min00 /9000 /9053.9 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9032.3 /90
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Viking — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Viking before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Peter Christiansen n 883.8
2.48/7
1.57/4
Zlatko Tripić n 874.8
1.15/2
0.21/0
Gianni Stensness n 884.4
0.74/1
0.32/0
Henrik Heggheim n 886.3
1.36/3
16/2
Kristoffer Askildsen n 876.6
1.24/3
0.32/0
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Viking — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Viking before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Peter Christiansen n 883.8
1.17/1
0.32/0
Zlatko Tripić n 874.8
00/0
0.94/2
Gianni Stensness n 884.4
0.32/0
00/0
Henrik Heggheim n 886.3
0.43/0
0.11/0
Kristoffer Askildsen n 876.6
00/0
0.11/0
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Sabah FA

Sabah FA Goalkeeper

Sabah FA — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Stas Pokatilov791635 min273.8 /9040.6 /9000 /90
Sabah FA — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sabah FA before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Stas Pokatilov n 790.7
3.85/5

Sabah FA Defensive

Sabah FA — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Tymoteusz Puchacz791635 min121.7 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90253.5 /9030.4 /9000 /90
A. Zedadka788619 min81.2 /9060.9 /9050.7 /90436.3 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90
S. Solvet587436 min40.8 /9040.8 /9091.9 /90132.7 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90
R. Daşdəmirov577383 min51.2 /9040.9 /9020.5 /90102.3 /9000 /9000 /90
A. McCarthy390270 min31 /9041.3 /9010.3 /9072.3 /9031 /9010.3 /90
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Sabah FA — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sabah FA before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tymoteusz Puchacz n 790.7
0.42/1
14/3
—
Stas Pokatilov n 790.7
00/0
00/0
—
A. Zedadka n 788.4
0.93/2
3.26/6
—
I. Lepinjica n 787.6
1.35/3
0.94/1
—
U. Rahmonaliyev n 786.7
0.94/2
0.93/2
—
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Sabah FA — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sabah FA before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tymoteusz Puchacz n 790.7
1.75/3
A. Zedadka n 788.4
1.24/3
I. Lepinjica n 787.6
2.55/4
U. Rahmonaliyev n 786.7
1.34/2
J. Mickels n 786.1
0.32/0
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Sabah FA Attacking

Sabah FA — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Mickels786603 min30.4 /9010.1 /90172.5 /9081.2 /9071 /9060.9 /90
P. Mbina732224 min00 /9010.4 /9083.2 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9031.2 /90
C. Nwachukwu32678 min00 /9000 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /90
I. Lepinjica788613 min00 /9010.1 /9030.4 /9000 /9071 /9020.3 /90
U. Rahmonaliyev787607 min00 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9040.6 /9091.3 /9030.4 /90
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Sabah FA — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sabah FA before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tymoteusz Puchacz n 790.7
0.73/2
00/0
Stas Pokatilov n 790.7
00/0
00/0
A. Zedadka n 788.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
I. Lepinjica n 787.6
0.43/0
00/0
U. Rahmonaliyev n 786.7
1.36/2
0.63/1
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Sabah FA — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sabah FA before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tymoteusz Puchacz n 790.7
00/0
0.43/0
Stas Pokatilov n 790.7
00/0
00/0
A. Zedadka n 788.4
00/0
0.11/0
I. Lepinjica n 787.6
00/0
0.11/0
U. Rahmonaliyev n 786.7
00/0
0.11/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Viking v Sabah FA — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VikingDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Sabah FALWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Viking#33 pos1 pts3 pl-4 GD
Sabah FA#25 pos3 pts3 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Viking scored1.67
Sabah FA scored1
Viking conceded3
Sabah FA conceded2

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Viking v Sabah FA?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Viking v Sabah FA is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Viking and Sabah FA?
Recent form — Viking 2W 1D 2L; Sabah FA 2W 0D 3L.

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