FC Lugano v Pafos result

Full-time · FC Lugano 2–2 Pafos

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Stockhorn Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Lugano · Pafos

FC Lugano 2–2 Pafos — this UEFA Europa Conference League match was drawn.

Match report, in numbers

The result

FC Lugano and Pafos drew 2–2 at Stockhorn Arena in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 19 December. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: FC Lugano, from fewer shots (12 to 15), created the better chances, 2.42 xG to 0.77 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

FC Lugano led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — FC Lugano: an own goal by A. Saipi (4’), Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud (7’, assisted by Mattia Zanotti) and Mattia Bottani (33’, assisted by Mattia Zanotti); Pafos: David Goldar (90’, assisted by Muamer Tankovic).

Discipline

The bookings — FC Lugano: Mattia Bottani (45+1’), Uran Bislimi (70’), Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud (90+1’), Anto Grgic (90+4’) and K. Przybyłko (90+6’); Pafos: Muamer Tankovic (26’), João Correia (29’), Derrick Luckassen (74’) and Domingos Quina (90+6’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mattia Zanotti (FC Lugano) 9.2, Mattia Bottani (FC Lugano) 7.2 and Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud (FC Lugano) 5.4 led the match.

Next up

FC Lugano next host FK Crvena Zvezda on 15 October 2026.

Pafos next travel to Atalanta on 15 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Lugano: FC Lugano v FK Crvena Zvezda, Thursday 15 October — the preview. Next for Pafos: Atalanta v Pafos, Thursday 15 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: FC Lugano 2–2 Pafos · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Venue: Stockhorn Arena · Thun
  • Referee: N. Minaković
  • Recent form: FC Lugano 3W 0D 2L · Pafos 3W 0D 2L

FC Lugano 2–2 Pafos (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 2
Goals
against 2 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.29 / 5.25
Corners
against 4.43 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 4 matches
5.71 / 7.5
Shots on target
against 6.43 / 1.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 4 matches
3.29 / 2.5
Cards
against 3.86 / 1.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 4 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 December 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 December 2024. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFC Lugano for / againstLinePafos for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.29 for · 4.43 against n 7
9.5standard
5.25 for · 2.75 against n 4
Shots
12.14 for · 15 against n 7
19.5standard
16.75 for · 6.75 against n 4
Shots on target
5.71 for · 6.43 against n 7
8.5standard
7.5 for · 1.5 against n 4
Fouls committed
14.14 for · 14.71 against n 7
21.5standard
14 for · 10.75 against n 4
Cards shown
3.29 for · 3.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 4
FC Lugano
FC Lugano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud n 855.8
2.66/2
0.83/1
—
A. Hajdari n 890
1.98/3
16/2
—
S. Vladi n 843.3
1.85/2
1.34/1
—
M. Zanotti n 880
1.76/4
38/5
—
Daniel Dos Santos n 843.3
1.66/0
0.83/0
—
FC Lugano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Vladi n 843.3
2.16/2
1.35/0
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud n 855.8
1.84/4
13/2
R. Steffen n 879.8
1.67/3
1.15/3
Mattia Bottani n 842.5
1.64/2
1.14/0
K. Przybyłko n 850.1
1.34/2
0.94/0
FC Lugano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Vladi n 843.3
0.52/0
0.31/0
A. Grgic n 881.3
0.32/0
0.43/0
Mattia Bottani n 842.5
0.52/0
00/0
R. Steffen n 879.8
0.42/1
00/0
O. Doumbia n 866.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
FC Lugano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Martim Marques n 873
4.58/6
L. Mai n 828.8
3.92/2
Milton Valenzuela n 846.3
3.46/5
Roman Macek n 826.8
2.93/2
M. Zanotti n 880
2.57/6
FC Lugano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Saipi n 890
4.87/7
Pafos
Pafos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Ilia n 36.7
4.51/0
00/0
—
I. Sunjic n 887.6
2.38/6
13/3
—
Domingos Quina n 841.5
2.25/1
35/2
—
V. Dragomir n 674.8
26/3
1.44/2
—
Jairo n 876.4
1.86/4
1.37/2
—
Pafos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Anderson Silva n 816.9
3.33/1
1.31/1
Jaja n 831.3
2.53/2
1.43/1
M. Tankovic n 875.9
2.47/4
1.35/3
Jairo n 876.4
1.97/4
15/2
V. Dragomir n 674.8
1.65/1
1.24/1
Pafos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jaja n 831.3
0.72/0
0.41/0
Anderson Silva n 816.9
0.71/0
00/0
Pepe n 878.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
Jairo n 876.4
0.32/0
0.31/1
João Correia n 866.9
0.52/1
00/0
Pafos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Name n 849.9
3.24/3
Jaja n 831.3
3.27/2
J. Silva n 874.5
2.77/6
Domingos Quina n 841.5
2.76/2
V. Dragomir n 674.8
2.65/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC LuganoPafos
48%Possession52%
2.42Expected goals (xG)0.77
12Shots15
5Shots on target3
4Shots off target11
3Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box10
2Corners4
0Offsides2
15Fouls7
5Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves3
410Passes427
81%Pass accuracy86%

FC Lugano player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Saipi9000000005.9
M. Zanotti9002002207.3
A. Papadopoulos9000000306.5
A. Hajdari9000000006.3
A. Grgic90000000Y6.2
U. Bislimi90000024Y7.3
Milton Valenzuela8900002207
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud89103103Y7.2
R. Steffen8900100006.7
Mattia Bottani73103331Y8
H. Mahou5900100006.5
O. Doumbia sub3100000106.3
K. Przybyłko sub17000020Y6.6
Martim Marques sub10011000–
A. El Wafi sub10000000–
Daniel Dos Santos sub10000000–

Pafos player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Michail9000000006.6
D. Luckassen90000002Y7.2
David Goldar9010210007.3
João Correia90000010Y7
V. Dragomir9000300206.2
M. Tankovic90014120Y7.9
Bruno Felipe7900100206.3
Pepe7900101007.5
Rafael Silva6700101106.5
I. Sunjic6700001106.9
Anderson Silva6700114007.2
K. Pileas sub2300000006.7
Domingos Quina sub23000000Y6.5
Jairo sub2300101006.9
Léo Natel sub1100001006.9
Jaja sub1100000206.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FC Lugano v Pafos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC LuganoWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
PafosWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2024/25
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
FC Lugano#6 pos13 pts6 pl+4 GD
Pafos#12 pos10 pts6 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
FC Lugano scored1.83
Pafos scored1.83
FC Lugano conceded1.17
Pafos conceded1.17

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →