FSV Mainz 05 v Rosenborg result

Full-time · FSV Mainz 05 4–1 Rosenborg

UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FSV Mainz 05 · Rosenborg

The model’s pre-match pick

FSV Mainz 05 4–1 Rosenborg — FSV Mainz 05 won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

FSV Mainz 05 beat Rosenborg 4–1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 28 August.

The goals

FSV Mainz 05 led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — FSV Mainz 05: Stefan Bell (28’), Lee Jae-Sung (43’, assisted by Anthony Caci), Nelson Weiper (44’, assisted by Lee Jae-Sung) and Nadiem Amiri (58’); Rosenborg: Dino Islamović (34’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lee Jae-Sung’s goal on 43 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: FSV Mainz 05 0.00, Rosenborg 0.00, from 22 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands showed two yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — FSV Mainz 05: P. Nebel (72’); Rosenborg: Santeri Väänänen (53’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nadiem Amiri (FSV Mainz 05) 11.5, Stefan Bell (FSV Mainz 05) 9.1 and Lee Jae-Sung (FSV Mainz 05) 7.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, FSV Mainz 05 or Rosenborg (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

FSV Mainz 05 next host Werder Bremen on 24 October 2026.

Rosenborg next travel to Ham-Kam on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FSV Mainz 05: FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Rosenborg: Ham-Kam v Rosenborg, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: FSV Mainz 05 4–1 Rosenborg · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Referee: Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): FSV Mainz 05 0 · draws 0 · Rosenborg 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: FSV Mainz 05 2W 1D 2L · Rosenborg 3W 1D 1L

FSV Mainz 05 4–1 Rosenborg (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.5 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 3.25
Corners
against 3.75 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 4 matches
4.88 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 4 matches
1.5 / 2
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.67 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFSV Mainz 05 for / againstLineRosenborg for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 4.75 against n 4
Shots
15.5 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.25 for · 12.25 against n 4
Shots on target
4.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 4.5 against n 4
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 15 against n 4
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.67 against n 6
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Maloney n 815.8
2.93/1
1.42/0
—
N. Veratschnig n 836.9
2.46/1
1.83/3
—
B. Hollerbach n 872.1
2.27/4
1.14/2
—
M. Jenz n 890
28/6
0.11/0
—
N. Weiper n 836.3
1.93/2
00/0
Dino Islamović
FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Burkardt n 884.3
3.28/7
1.15/2
A. Sieb n 822.8
34/2
12/0
N. Weiper n 836.3
2.55/1
1.65/0
N. Amiri n 885.3
2.18/6
0.97/0
B. Hollerbach n 872.1
1.76/2
0.94/1
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Weiper n 836.3
0.31/0
0.62/0
P. Nebel n 884
0.32/0
0.32/0
N. Amiri n 885.3
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Burkardt n 884.3
0.43/0
00/0
Lee Jae-Sung n 874.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Hong Hyun-Seok n 814
44/1
L. Maloney n 815.8
2.93/1
D. Kohr n 868
2.85/5
N. Amiri n 885.3
2.46/6
A. Nordin n 823.1
2.43/1
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Zentner n 890
3.57/5
Rosenborg
Rosenborg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Sletsjoe n 742.3
36/3
2.45/2
—
Dino Islamović n 889.9
1.98/5
1.34/4
N. Weiper
Noah Jean Holm n 841.8
1.63/2
2.26/2
—
Tomáš Nemčík n 884.8
1.27/1
0.74/1
—
Santeri Väänänen n 878.9
1.16/2
0.75/0
—
Rosenborg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dino Islamović n 889.9
2.68/6
2.18/6
O. Sæter n 827.5
2.54/2
0.82/0
Noah Jean Holm n 841.8
1.64/2
0.52/0
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 885.8
0.94/2
0.73/1
Simen Nordli n 879.8
0.85/1
0.42/1
Rosenborg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dino Islamović n 889.9
1.16/1
00/0
O. Sæter n 827.5
0.82/0
00/0
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 885.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
Ole Selnaes n 890
00/0
0.43/0
Simen Nordli n 879.8
0.11/0
0.31/1
Rosenborg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Santeri Väänänen n 878.9
37/7
H. Sletsjoe n 742.3
35/4
Ole Selnaes n 890
2.67/6
Aslak Witry n 879.6
2.58/5
Iver Fossum n 872
1.75/2
Rosenborg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Tangvik n 890
2.65/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FSV Mainz 05Rosenborg
52%Possession48%
22Shots5
8Shots on target2
12Shots off target1
2Blocked shots2
16Shots inside the box3
9Corners2
6Offsides2
12Fouls7
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves4
365Passes359
79%Pass accuracy71%

FSV Mainz 05 player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Zentner9000000006.5
D. da Costa9000001307.2
S. Bell9010210207.7
D. Kohr9000101107.2
K. Sano9000001006.3
P. Nebel90001142Y6.9
N. Amiri8911311509.2
Lee Jae-Sung8910322207.9
A. Caci8001103307.7
P. Mwene7200312107
N. Weiper7210621007.5
S. Widmer sub1800000006.6
A. Sieb sub1800000006.3
N. Veratschnig sub1000000006.3
L. Maloney sub10000000–
S. Kawasaki sub10000000–

Rosenborg player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Tangvik9000000006.3
Aslak Witry9000110205.7
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide9000000206.3
Tomáš Nemčík9000000105.7
Adrian Nilsen Pereira9000001306
Santeri Väänänen90000000Y6.2
Ole Selnaes9000000106.9
Simen Nordli9000000106.5
Dino Islamović9010111006.9
O. Sæter6100100106.3
Iver Fossum4500000006.5
J. Reitan-Sunde sub4500000006.5
Emil Konradsen Ceide sub2900001006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FSV Mainz 05 v Rosenborg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FSV Mainz 05WDWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
RosenborgWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
FSV Mainz 05 0 · 0 draws · Rosenborg 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-08-21 Rosenborg 2–1 FSV Mainz 05
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
FSV Mainz 05#7 pos13 pts6 pl+4 GD
RosenborgNot in this league table
Goals per game
FSV Mainz 05 scored1.17
Rosenborg scored1.2
FSV Mainz 05 conceded0.5
Rosenborg conceded1

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for FSV Mainz 05 v Rosenborg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FSV Mainz 05 v Rosenborg was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and Rosenborg?
In their last 1 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 0, Rosenborg won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FSV Mainz 05 and Rosenborg?
Recent form — FSV Mainz 05 2W 1D 2L; Rosenborg 3W 1D 1L.

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