Getafe v Brighton prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Coliseum

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Getafe v Brighton, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Getafe host Brighton in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Seven of Getafe’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Getafe’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Getafe have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.29.

Nine of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in four of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Brighton have four wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.78 and conceding 1.11.

Getafe (30th) and Brighton (ninth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Predicted Getafe XI (4-2-3-1): D. Soria, J. Valou, J. Mojica, A. García, D. Dakonam, F. Serrano, M. Satriano, R. Terrats, M. Martín, N. Gudelj, I. Azón — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Satriano (3.9 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and three assists) and Ramón Terrats (3.2 per match over 13 appearances, one goal) have been Getafe’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Getafe (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Satriano averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 1064 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ramón Terrats averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1015 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Brighton XI (4-2-3-1): B. Verbruggen, Costinha, O. Boscagli, L. Vušković, L. Dunk, P. Groß, Y. Ayari, D. Gómez, M. De Cuyper, M. Yalcouyé, C. Kostoulas — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pascal Groß (4.5 per match over 15 appearances, four goals and four assists) and Charalampos Kostoulas (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Brighton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brighton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pascal Groß averages 3.6 key passes per 90 over 1364 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Charalampos Kostoulas averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 943 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Coliseum
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Getafe 1W 2D 2L · Brighton 2W 2D 1L

Getafe v Brighton (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2.13
Goals
against 2.13 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.86 / 6
Corners
against 5.43 / 4.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.71 / 5
Shots on target
against 5.71 / 2.86 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.86 / 2
Cards
against 2.57 / 1 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGetafe for / againstLineBrighton for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5our book
2.13 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.86 for · 5.43 against n 7
9.5standard
6 for · 4.43 against n 7
Shots
12.86 for · 15.71 against n 7
19.5standard
18.86 for · 10.57 against n 7
Shots on target
3.71 for · 5.71 against n 7
8.5standard
5 for · 2.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.86 for · 13.57 against n 7
21.5standard
12 for · 9.43 against n 7
Cards shown
3.86 for · 2.57 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 7

Getafe

Getafe Goalkeeper

Getafe — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David Soria14901260 min392.8 /90201.4 /9010.1 /90
Getafe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Getafe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Soria n 890
3.27/5

Getafe Defensive

Getafe — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Dakonam13831074 min90.8 /90161.3 /9040.3 /90292.4 /90121 /9030.3 /90
J. Mojica1374968 min131.2 /9070.7 /9030.3 /90444.1 /9080.7 /9060.6 /90
Andrés García1364832 min171.8 /9060.6 /9000 /90444.8 /9050.5 /9000 /90
Z. Romero982734 min101.2 /90162 /9030.4 /90384.7 /9070.9 /9030.4 /90
Kiko Femenía964577 min60.9 /9060.9 /9010.2 /90142.2 /9091.4 /9030.5 /90
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Getafe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Getafe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David Soria n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Satriano n 870.4
1.86/2
2.47/4
—
D. Dakonam n 879.1
0.63/1
0.32/0
—
Ramón Terrats n 872.9
1.15/1
3.77/6
—
J. Mojica n 865.9
0.53/0
1.45/3
—
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Getafe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Getafe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Satriano n 870.4
1.34/2
D. Dakonam n 879.1
0.63/1
Ramón Terrats n 872.9
0.96/0
J. Mojica n 865.9
1.25/2
Andrés García n 866.4
1.46/2
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Getafe Attacking

Getafe — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Satriano14761064 min20.2 /9030.3 /90262.2 /90100.8 /90141.2 /90181.5 /90
E. Ünal1270839 min30.3 /9000 /90161.7 /9070.8 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
Ivan Azón768474 min20.4 /9010.2 /90132.5 /9071.3 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
Borja Mayoral366199 min10.5 /9000 /9020.9 /9010.5 /9031.4 /9010.5 /90
Ramón Terrats13781015 min10.1 /9000 /90242.1 /9070.6 /90181.6 /90161.4 /90
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Getafe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Getafe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David Soria n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Satriano n 870.4
2.97/4
1.14/2
D. Dakonam n 879.1
00/0
00/0
Ramón Terrats n 872.9
1.97/4
0.83/2
J. Mojica n 865.9
0.93/1
00/0
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Getafe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Getafe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David Soria n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Satriano n 870.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Dakonam n 879.1
00/0
00/0
Ramón Terrats n 872.9
0.21/0
00/0
J. Mojica n 865.9
00/0
00/0
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Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Verbruggen13901170 min312.4 /9070.5 /9000 /90
Jason Steele19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 890
3.26/5
Jason Steele n 890
3.66/4

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Vušković14811135 min161.3 /90171.3 /9080.6 /90826.5 /90141.1 /9010.1 /90
O. Boscagli14761062 min80.7 /90151.3 /9020.2 /90342.9 /90141.2 /9030.3 /90
L. Dunk1075749 min70.8 /9070.8 /9050.6 /90374.4 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
F. Kadıoğlu877617 min40.6 /9050.7 /9020.3 /90142 /9030.4 /9020.3 /90
Costinha867537 min91.5 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90366 /9071.2 /9020.3 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Groß n 880.8
14/1
0.42/1
—
L. Vušković n 875.9
1.34/2
15/1
—
O. Boscagli n 866.9
0.53/0
0.53/0
—
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Y. Ayari n 861.9
0.53/0
1.65/3
—
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Groß n 880.8
1.44/2
L. Vušković n 875.9
1.36/3
O. Boscagli n 866.9
0.83/2
Y. Ayari n 861.9
1.55/3
D. Gómez n 879.5
2.46/4
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Kostoulas1270843 min50.5 /9030.3 /90293.1 /90111.2 /90111.2 /90131.4 /90
G. Rutter664382 min20.5 /9020.5 /90112.6 /9071.6 /9071.6 /9071.6 /90
I. Osman555274 min00 /9020.7 /9093 /9010.3 /9072.3 /9041.3 /90
P. David22855 min00 /9000 /9034.9 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /90
Z. Yohanna12424 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.8 /9000 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Groß n 880.8
1.16/1
0.43/0
L. Vušković n 875.9
1.66/4
0.11/0
O. Boscagli n 866.9
0.73/1
0.21/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
Y. Ayari n 861.9
2.27/4
0.52/1
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Groß n 880.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
L. Vušković n 875.9
00/0
0.11/0
O. Boscagli n 866.9
00/0
0.21/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
Y. Ayari n 861.9
0.42/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Getafe v Brighton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GetafeDDLLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
BrightonWDLDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Getafe#30 pos1 pts2 pl-3 GD
Brighton#9 pos4 pts2 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Getafe scored1.5
Brighton scored2
Getafe conceded3
Brighton conceded0

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Getafe v Brighton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Getafe v Brighton is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Getafe and Brighton?
Recent form — Getafe 1W 2D 2L; Brighton 2W 2D 1L.

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