Lincoln Red Imps FC v HNK Hajduk Split prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Europa Point Stadium

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Lincoln Red Imps FC v HNK Hajduk Split, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 1441 landed (95% range 66–70.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lincoln Red Imps FC host HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or HNK Hajduk Split, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

HNK Hajduk Split are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. HNK Hajduk Split have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Lincoln Red Imps FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Lincoln Red Imps FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Lincoln Red Imps FC have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.38.

11 of HNK Hajduk Split’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of HNK Hajduk Split’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, HNK Hajduk Split have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.33.

Lincoln Red Imps FC (33rd) and HNK Hajduk Split (eighth) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have HNK Hajduk Split the stronger side, 466 rating points above Lincoln Red Imps FC (HNK Hajduk Split 1850, Lincoln Red Imps FC 1384, after at least 22 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Lincoln Red Imps FC XI (3-5-2): J. Hankins, Nano, C. Rutjens, J. Eersteling, G. Torrilla, Mandi, Y. Idrissi, Á. Mula, T. García, A. Romero, K. Gómez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted HNK Hajduk Split XI (4-2-3-1): T. Silić, M. Acapandié, D. Marešić, Š. Hrgović, D. Hadžikadunić, Dali, K. Fayad, M. Šotiček, A. del Moral, A. Sanyang, M. Šego — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Rokas Pukštas (7.9 per match over four appearances, three goals and one assist) and Khalil Fayad (5.8 per match over eight appearances, two goals and one assist) have been HNK Hajduk Split’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for HNK Hajduk Split (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Rokas Pukštas averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 412 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Khalil Fayad averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 579 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Europa Point Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1W 0D 4L · HNK Hajduk Split 4W 1D 0L

Lincoln Red Imps FC v HNK Hajduk Split (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4
Corners
against 8.5 / 3 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 4 matches
2.5 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 7.5 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 4 matches
2.75 / 2
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 4 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLincoln Red Imps FC for / againstLineHNK Hajduk Split for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 8.5 against n 4
9.5standard
4 for · 3 against n 8
Shots
3 for · 11.25 against n 4
19.5standard
13.5 for · 9.88 against n 8
Shots on target
2.5 for · 7.5 against n 4
8.5standard
5.13 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 14.75 against n 4
21.5standard
14 for · 15.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.75 against n 4
3.5standard
2 for · 2.38 against n 8

Lincoln Red Imps FC

Lincoln Red Imps FC Goalkeeper

Lincoln Red Imps FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jaylan Hankins290180 min115.5 /9063 /9000 /90
Lincoln Red Imps FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln Red Imps FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jaylan Hankins n 790
4.97/6

Lincoln Red Imps FC Defensive

Lincoln Red Imps FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Christian Rutjens290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9063 /9073.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Julliani Eersteling290180 min31.5 /9052.5 /9010.5 /90147 /9063 /9000 /90
Nano290180 min63 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9094.5 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Lopes19090 min00 /9022 /9011 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
Joe19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
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Lincoln Red Imps FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln Red Imps FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Torrilla n 878.5
1.76/4
27/6
—
Christian Rutjens n 685.2
0.52/1
0.93/1
—
Nano n 790
0.42/1
0.74/1
—
Jaylan Hankins n 790
0.11/0
00/0
—
Mandi n 788
1.66/3
3.47/6
—
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Lincoln Red Imps FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln Red Imps FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Torrilla n 878.5
4.68/8
Nano n 790
2.46/6
Christian Rutjens n 685.2
0.72/1
Mandi n 788
2.37/5
K. Gómez n 857.8
0.63/0
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Lincoln Red Imps FC Attacking

Lincoln Red Imps FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Alvaro Romero270140 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9031.9 /90
K. Gómez265130 min10.7 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /9010.7 /90
Toni García24794 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9021.9 /90
Manuel Toledano22550 min00 /9000 /9023.6 /9011.8 /9000 /9011.8 /90
G. Torrilla290180 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9021 /9000 /90
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Lincoln Red Imps FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln Red Imps FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nano n 790
1.35/3
0.43/0
Christian Rutjens n 685.2
0.52/1
0.42/0
G. Torrilla n 878.5
0.11/0
00/0
Jaylan Hankins n 790
00/0
00/0
Mandi n 788
0.63/1
0.11/0
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Lincoln Red Imps FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln Red Imps FC before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Christian Rutjens n 685.2
0.21/0
00/0
Nano n 790
0.11/0
00/0
Jaylan Hankins n 790
00/0
00/0
G. Torrilla n 878.5
00/0
00/0
Mandi n 788
00/0
00/0
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HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split Goalkeeper

HNK Hajduk Split — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Silić13901170 min221.7 /9090.7 /9000 /90
HNK Hajduk Split — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Hajduk Split before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Silić n 890
1.84/2

HNK Hajduk Split Defensive

HNK Hajduk Split — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Š. Hrgović13791024 min151.3 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90322.8 /9070.6 /9000 /90
D. Marešić12841006 min201.8 /90111 /9050.4 /90413.7 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90
M. Acapandié1182897 min333.3 /90101 /9000 /90464.6 /90121.2 /9010.1 /90
D. Hadžikadunić666394 min51.1 /9071.6 /9040.9 /90276.2 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
R. Raci590449 min61.2 /9020.4 /9030.6 /90132.6 /9010.2 /9020.4 /90
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HNK Hajduk Split — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Hajduk Split before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Silić n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Š. Hrgović n 880.8
0.84/2
0.43/0
—
M. Šego n 877.1
1.35/2
0.94/1
—
M. Šotiček n 875.6
1.35/4
2.58/5
—
D. Marešić n 886.4
0.85/1
0.95/1
—
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HNK Hajduk Split — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Hajduk Split before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Š. Hrgović n 880.8
1.47/3
M. Šego n 877.1
0.73/1
M. Šotiček n 875.6
0.95/1
D. Marešić n 886.4
2.18/4
Dali n 890.9
1.15/2
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HNK Hajduk Split Attacking

HNK Hajduk Split — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Šego1370904 min50.5 /9020.2 /90181.8 /90111.1 /9090.9 /9060.6 /90
M. Livaja464254 min20.7 /9000 /9082.8 /9041.4 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
Carlos Martín32472 min00 /9000 /9022.5 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /90
M. Šotiček1369903 min30.3 /9020.2 /90202 /9090.9 /90202 /90212.1 /90
Dali1275905 min20.2 /9030.3 /90242.4 /90131.3 /90232.3 /9080.8 /90
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HNK Hajduk Split — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Hajduk Split before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Silić n 890
00/0
00/0
Š. Hrgović n 880.8
0.43/0
00/0
M. Šego n 877.1
2.26/4
1.34/4
M. Šotiček n 875.6
1.67/4
0.94/2
D. Marešić n 886.4
0.42/1
0.42/1
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HNK Hajduk Split — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Hajduk Split before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Silić n 890
00/0
00/0
Š. Hrgović n 880.8
00/0
00/0
M. Šego n 877.1
0.42/1
0.32/0
M. Šotiček n 875.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
D. Marešić n 886.4
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lincoln Red Imps FC v HNK Hajduk Split — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Lincoln Red Imps FCLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
HNK Hajduk SplitWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Lincoln Red Imps FC#33 pos0 pts2 pl-4 GD
HNK Hajduk Split#8 pos6 pts2 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Lincoln Red Imps FC scored1
HNK Hajduk Split scored1.5
Lincoln Red Imps FC conceded3
HNK Hajduk Split conceded0.5

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Lincoln Red Imps FC v HNK Hajduk Split?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lincoln Red Imps FC v HNK Hajduk Split is Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Lincoln Red Imps FC and HNK Hajduk Split?
Recent form — Lincoln Red Imps FC 1W 0D 4L; HNK Hajduk Split 4W 1D 0L.

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