Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Olympic Stadium of Athens

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 05:18 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 254 landed (95% range 73.7–83.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Panathinaikos host CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Panathinaikos to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Panathinaikos have won their last four matches in all competitions. CSKA Sofia are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Panathinaikos’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Panathinaikos’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Panathinaikos have five wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 1.13.

Eight of CSKA Sofia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of CSKA Sofia’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, CSKA Sofia have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.50.

Panathinaikos (first) and CSKA Sofia (23rd) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Panathinaikos the stronger side, 412 rating points above CSKA Sofia (Panathinaikos 1810, CSKA Sofia 1398, after at least 22 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Panathinaikos XI (4-2-3-1): I. Peña, S. de Vrij, D. Calabria, R. van Drongelen, G. Kiriakopoulos, S. Andino, E. Camara, K. Kangwa, I. Louza, V. Taborda, C. Dessers — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kings Kangwa (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Cyriel Dessers (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, nine goals) have been Panathinaikos’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Panathinaikos (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kings Kangwa averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 633 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Cyriel Dessers averages 5.6 shots per 90 over 544 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted CSKA Sofia XI (4-3-3): F. Lapoukhov, Á. Martino, F. Rodríguez, Pastor, D. Almeida, B. Jordão, S. Sensi, M. Ebong, S. Godoy, I. Pittas, P. Panayotov — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · UEFA Europa Conference League · Olympic Stadium of Athens
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Panathinaikos 4W 0D 1L · CSKA Sofia 0W 1D 4L

Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 0.88

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

8.38 / 4.5

Corners

against 1.88 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

6.75 / 5.17

Shots on target

against 2.13 / 4.17 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.63 / 3.33

Cards

against 2.88 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Panathinaikos for / against	Line	CSKA Sofia for / against
Goals scored	2.5 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	8.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 2.5 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	20.13 for · 7.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9.67 for · 6.5 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	6.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.17 for · 4.17 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.63 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.67 for · 10.83 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.33 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5

Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos Goalkeeper

Panathinaikos — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Iñaki Peña	13	901174 min	191.5 /90	70.5 /90	00 /90

Panathinaikos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Panathinaikos before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Iñaki Peña n 8	90	1.5 3/2

Panathinaikos Defensive

Panathinaikos — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. de Vrij	13	891159 min	161.2 /90	241.9 /90	70.5 /90	524 /90	100.8 /90	10.1 /90
G. Kiriakopoulos	11	86948 min	141.3 /90	100.9 /90	60.6 /90	353.3 /90	141.3 /90	10.1 /90
R. van Drongelen	11	85933 min	111.1 /90	80.8 /90	60.6 /90	494.7 /90	151.4 /90	00 /90
D. Calabria	9	90810 min	192.1 /90	80.9 /90	30.3 /90	293.2 /90	80.9 /90	00 /90
T. Tsapras	4	90359 min	41 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90	102.5 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90
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Panathinaikos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Panathinaikos before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Iñaki Peña n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
S. de Vrij n 8	88.1	1 5/2	0.8 3/2	—
Santino Andino n 8	79.6	3.2 8/7	1.8 6/4	—
Etienne Camara n 8	79.9	2.1 6/5	0.8 3/1	—
Andreas Tetteh n 8	63.8	1.1 4/2	3.2 6/5	—
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Panathinaikos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Panathinaikos before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. de Vrij n 8	88.1	1.5 7/4
Santino Andino n 8	79.6	2.3 7/4
Etienne Camara n 8	79.9	3.5 8/6
Andreas Tetteh n 8	63.8	1.2 2/1
G. Kiriakopoulos n 8	84.3	1.2 5/2
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Panathinaikos Attacking

Panathinaikos — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Andreas Tetteh	12	67803 min	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	252.8 /90	101.1 /90	121.3 /90	131.5 /90
C. Dessers	8	53421 min	61.3 /90	00 /90	265.6 /90	112.4 /90	51.1 /90	40.9 /90
E. Rastoder	6	37222 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	72.8 /90	72.8 /90	52 /90	52 /90
A. Zaroury	3	51153 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	00 /90
Santino Andino	13	77999 min	10.1 /90	40.4 /90	201.8 /90	90.8 /90	191.7 /90	343.1 /90
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Panathinaikos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Panathinaikos before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Iñaki Peña n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. de Vrij n 8	88.1	0.6 3/1	0.4 2/1
Santino Andino n 8	79.6	1.7 6/3	0.7 3/1
Etienne Camara n 8	79.9	0.8 4/2	0 0/0
Andreas Tetteh n 8	63.8	2.8 5/4	1.1 5/1
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Panathinaikos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Panathinaikos before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Iñaki Peña n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. de Vrij n 8	88.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Santino Andino n 8	79.6	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
Etienne Camara n 8	79.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Andreas Tetteh n 8	63.8	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
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CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia Goalkeeper

CSKA Sofia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Fedor Lapoukhov	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90

CSKA Sofia Defensive

CSKA Sofia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Á. Martino	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	105 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90
Facundo Santiago Rodríguez	2	90180 min	21 /90	31.5 /90	31.5 /90	73.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90
Pastor	2	87174 min	10.5 /90	42.1 /90	00 /90	52.6 /90	21 /90	00 /90
Dinis Almeida	2	81162 min	00 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
Bruno Jordão	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	21 /90	21 /90	94.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
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CSKA Sofia Attacking

CSKA Sofia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Pittas	2	88175 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.1 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
S. Godoy	2	82163 min	21.1 /90	00 /90	73.9 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	21.1 /90
P. Panayotov	1	6565 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Zwarts	1	1717 min	15.3 /90	00 /90	15.3 /90	15.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Bruno Jordão	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	10.5 /90
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PanathinaikosLWWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

CSKA SofiaLLLLD

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Panathinaikos#1 pos6 pts2 pl+5 GD

CSKA Sofia#23 pos1 pts2 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Panathinaikos scored3.5

CSKA Sofia scored1.5

Panathinaikos conceded1

CSKA Sofia conceded2

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia is Home win.
What is the recent form of Panathinaikos and CSKA Sofia?: Recent form — Panathinaikos 4W 0D 1L; CSKA Sofia 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 05:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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