SC Braga v Gent prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Total cards yellow under 5.5 the free pick for SC Braga v Gent, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Total cards yellow under 5.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match preview, in numbers

The match

SC Braga host Gent in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Total cards yellow under 5.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Gent have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of SC Braga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of SC Braga’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, SC Braga have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.71.

Six of Gent’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Gent’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Gent have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.00.

SC Braga are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Gent are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. SC Braga (35th) and Gent (13th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gent the stronger side, 74 rating points above SC Braga (Gent 1691, SC Braga 1618, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted SC Braga XI (4-3-3): B. Fontes, G. Lagerbielke, A. Bajrami, V. Carvalho, B. Arrey-Mbi, J. Moutinho, V. Gómez, D. Tıknaz, P. Victor, D. Huseinbašić, F. Navarro — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Demir Ege Tıknaz (3.9 per match over nine appearances, two assists) and Pau Victor (3.4 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been SC Braga’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Braga (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Demir Ege Tıknaz averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 725 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Pau Victor averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 728 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Gent XI (4-3-3): D. Roef, C. Burgess, S. Van der Heyden, M. Paskotši, M. Ngom, T. Araújo, T. De Vlieger, M. Delorge-Knieper, M. Sonko, I. Cisse, J. Y. Vergara Ortega — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Araújo (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Tibe De Vlieger (4.2 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Gent’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Gent (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Araújo averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 899 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Tibe De Vlieger averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 591 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: SC Braga 1W 1D 3L · Gent 3W 2D 0L

SC Braga v Gent (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.71
Corners
against 2.88 / 4.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.88 / 4.86
Shots on target
against 2.63 / 2.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.63 / 2.14
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSC Braga for / againstLineGent for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.71 for · 4.14 against n 7
Shots
11.5 for · 8.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 10.43 against n 7
Shots on target
3.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.86 for · 2.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 10.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.14 for · 1.71 against n 7
SC Braga
SC Braga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tomás Marqués n 715.1
5.94/2
1.72/0
—
Adrian Bajrami n 857.9
2.75/4
0.42/0
—
Sergio Barcia n 863.3
24/4
1.14/2
—
Fran Navarro n 855.1
25/3
2.96/4
—
Pau Victor n 874.8
1.75/4
1.86/4
—
SC Braga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Wind n 837.8
2.16/1
1.55/0
J. Milošević n 839.9
25/1
0.83/0
Diogo Travassos n 852.4
1.96/2
1.15/0
Gabri Martínez n 842.1
1.94/2
1.13/1
Ricardo Horta n 867.3
1.56/3
0.21/0
SC Braga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Diego Rodrigues n 831.1
0.72/0
0.41/0
J. Wind n 837.8
0.62/0
00/0
Pau Victor n 874.8
0.31/1
0.21/0
Gabri Martínez n 842.1
0.52/0
00/0
M. Dorgeles n 843
00/0
0.31/0
SC Braga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tomás Marqués n 715.1
3.42/2
D. Huseinbašić n 852
2.86/4
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 854.1
2.56/4
Jean-Baptiste Gorby n 855.4
2.47/4
Adrian Bajrami n 857.9
2.14/3
SC Braga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Bernardo Fontes n 890.5
1.53/1
Gent
Gent — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ibrahima Cisse n 833.5
2.75/2
0.72/0
—
T. De Vlieger n 865
2.15/4
2.68/3
—
M. Paskotši n 875.5
1.96/3
0.11/0
—
M. Ngom n 882.1
1.85/5
0.53/1
—
Leonardo Lopes n 844
1.84/3
1.34/1
—
Gent — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ibrahima Cisse n 833.5
2.75/1
1.34/0
J. Y. Vergara Ortega n 877.6
2.57/5
1.45/4
B. Goore n 833.5
2.45/1
1.73/1
M. Dean n 854.3
2.35/4
1.24/2
L. Bénes n 857.5
2.24/3
1.43/2
Gent — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ibrahima Cisse n 833.5
13/0
00/0
L. Bénes n 857.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
Tiago Araújo n 889.9
0.11/0
0.54/0
J. Y. Vergara Ortega n 877.6
0.64/0
00/0
B. Goore n 833.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Gent — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Balikwisha n 860.5
3.76/6
Kyrell Wilson n 840.4
2.86/2
T. De Vlieger n 865
2.65/3
A. Kadri n 843.5
2.34/4
A. Omgba n 824.5
2.34/1
Gent — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Roef n 890
2.45/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind SC Braga v Gent — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC BragaLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
GentDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
SC Braga#35 pos0 pts1 pl-3 GD
Gent#13 pos3 pts1 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
SC Braga scored0
Gent scored1
SC Braga conceded3
Gent conceded0

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win SC Braga v Gent?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Braga v Gent is Total cards yellow under 5.5.
What is the recent form of SC Braga and Gent?
Recent form — SC Braga 1W 1D 3L; Gent 3W 2D 0L.

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