Shelbourne v Linfield result

Full-time · Shelbourne 3–1 Linfield

UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Shelbourne 3–1 Linfield — Shelbourne won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 54.3% of 151 landed (95% range 46.4–62%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Shelbourne beat Linfield 3–1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 21 August. Shelbourne have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Shelbourne led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Shelbourne: Harry Wood (45’ pen), M. Odubeko (46’, assisted by Evan Caffrey) and Evan Caffrey (78’); Linfield: K. Offord (53’, assisted by S. Roscoe-Byrne). M. Fitzpatrick (18’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harry Wood’s goal on 45 minutes.

Discipline

Vassilis Fotias, Greece showed two yellow cards and one red — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Shelbourne: Paddy Barrett (62’); Linfield: K. McClean (90+5’).

What it changes

Shelbourne have scored no goals, the fewest of the 36 clubs (2025/26 so far). Shelbourne have conceded seven goals, the 16th-fewest (shared) of the 36 clubs.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Shelbourne 3–1 Linfield · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Referee: Vassilis Fotias, Greece
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Shelbourne 1 · draws 1 · Linfield 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Shelbourne 2W 1D 2L · Linfield 2W 2D 1L

Shelbourne 3–1 Linfield (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Shelbourne v Linfield — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ShelbourneLWWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
LinfieldDDWLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Shelbourne 1 · 1 draw · Linfield 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-07-16 Linfield 1–1 Shelbourne
  • 2025-07-09 Shelbourne 1–0 Linfield
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Shelbourne#34 pos2 pts6 pl-7 GD
LinfieldNot in this league table
Goals per game
Shelbourne scored0
Linfield scored1.2
Shelbourne conceded1.17
Linfield conceded0.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Shelbourne v Linfield?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Shelbourne v Linfield was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Shelbourne and Linfield?
In their last 2 meetings, Shelbourne won 1, Linfield won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shelbourne and Linfield?
Recent form — Shelbourne 2W 1D 2L; Linfield 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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