1899 Hoffenheim v Lyon prediction

UEFA Europa League · · SNP Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v Lyon, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.50 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

1899 Hoffenheim host Lyon in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

13 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Lyon have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, 1899 Hoffenheim have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 2.00.

11 of Lyon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Lyon’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Lyon have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14.

1899 Hoffenheim (30th) and Lyon (eighth) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lyon the stronger side, 396 rating points above 1899 Hoffenheim (Lyon 1933, 1899 Hoffenheim 1537, after at least 24 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

1899 Hoffenheim are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Lyon, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 7 November 2024, finished 1899 Hoffenheim 2–2 Lyon.

Team news

Predicted 1899 Hoffenheim XI (4-4-2): O. Baumann, V. Coufal, O. Kabak, K. Machida, Bernardo, L. Avdullahu, W. Burger, F. Asllani, N. De Cat, T. Lemperle, A. Hložek — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Bambasé Conté (4.8 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) and Patrick Wimmer (4.3 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) have been 1899 Hoffenheim’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for 1899 Hoffenheim (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bambasé Conté averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 595 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Patrick Wimmer averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 786 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lyon XI (4-4-2): R. Descamps, R. Kluivert, F. Bacher, C. Mata, Abner, T. Morton, N. Nartey, C. Tolisso, T. Tessmann, K. Nakamura, K. Boudache — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Zachary Athekame (4.9 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) and Corentin Tolisso (4.6 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Lyon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lyon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Zachary Athekame averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 1035 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Corentin Tolisso averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 963 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · SNP Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): 1899 Hoffenheim 0 · draws 3 · Lyon 0 · 4.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 4L · Lyon 4W 0D 1L

1899 Hoffenheim v Lyon (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 2
Goals
against 2.38 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.88 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.63 / 5.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.5
Cards
against 1 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1899 Hoffenheim for / againstLineLyon for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.25our book
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
17.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.13 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Machida n 868
3.17/7
0.21/0
—
P. Wimmer n 863.9
36/5
1.65/3
—
A. Hajdari n 875.3
2.58/5
0.42/1
—
O. Kabak n 879.6
2.47/4
13/3
—
T. Lemperle n 864.6
2.47/3
00/0
—
1899 Hoffenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Max Moerstedt n 821.9
4.13/2
3.13/2
B. Conté n 850.5
2.97/5
1.36/0
F. Asllani n 844.6
2.86/3
14/0
V. Gendrey n 811
22/0
11/0
T. Lemperle n 864.6
1.95/3
15/1
1899 Hoffenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Max Moerstedt n 821.9
0.51/0
0.51/0
V. Gendrey n 811
11/0
00/0
A. Prass n 835.9
0.62/0
0.31/0
F. Asllani n 844.6
0.52/0
0.31/0
A. Hložek n 864.4
00/0
0.53/0
1899 Hoffenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bernardo n 870.3
2.77/4
A. Daghim n 850.8
2.45/2
B. Conté n 850.5
2.26/3
P. Wimmer n 863.9
2.17/3
V. Gendrey n 811
22/0
1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Baumann n 890
2.16/2
Lyon
Lyon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Kluivert n 868.4
25/3
0.32/0
—
N. Tagliafico n 863.8
1.96/2
2.15/3
—
M. Ouédraogo n 855.4
1.65/3
1.44/3
—
M. Fofana n 841
1.64/2
1.43/1
—
M. Niakhaté n 884.4
1.56/2
0.43/0
—
Lyon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Loïs Openda n 858.8
2.94/4
1.74/3
Ernest Nuamah n 873.1
2.36/4
1.14/1
Keito Nakamura n 843.3
1.84/3
0.82/1
M. Fofana n 841
1.64/1
1.12/1
C. Tolisso n 873
1.55/3
1.15/2
Lyon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Keito Nakamura n 843.3
0.31/0
0.82/1
Ernest Nuamah n 873.1
0.63/1
0.21/0
P. Šulc n 858.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
Zachary Athekame n 880.9
0.11/0
0.43/0
C. Tolisso n 873
0.32/0
0.21/0
Lyon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Merah n 843.6
4.96/5
M. Bidstrup n 853
47/5
R. Kluivert n 868.4
2.56/5
Keito Nakamura n 843.3
2.35/2
Zachary Athekame n 880.9
2.15/4
Lyon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Greif n 890
3.57/5
R. Descamps n 890
2.97/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind 1899 Hoffenheim v Lyon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1899 HoffenheimLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
LyonWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
1899 Hoffenheim 0 · 3 draws · Lyon 0 · 4.67 goals/game
  • 2024-11-07 1899 Hoffenheim 2–2 Lyon
  • 2018-11-07 Lyon 2–2 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2018-10-23 1899 Hoffenheim 3–3 Lyon
League standing · 2026/27
1899 Hoffenheim#30 pos0 pts2 pl-3 GD
Lyon#8 pos6 pts2 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
1899 Hoffenheim scored1
Lyon scored2.5
1899 Hoffenheim conceded2.5
Lyon conceded1.5

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win 1899 Hoffenheim v Lyon?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v Lyon is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between 1899 Hoffenheim and Lyon?
In their last 3 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 0, Lyon won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 4.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1899 Hoffenheim and Lyon?
Recent form — 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 4L; Lyon 4W 0D 1L.

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