Lillestrom v Egnatia Rrogozhinë result

Full-time · Lillestrom 2–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

UEFA Europa League · · Åråsen

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Lillestrom 2–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Lillestrom won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.83 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Lillestrom beat Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2–1 at Åråsen in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 27 August.

The goals

Lillestrom came from behind: Egnatia Rrogozhinë led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Egnatia Rrogozhinë: E. Sota (32’, assisted by Fernando Medeiros); Lillestrom: Sander Moen Foss (82’, assisted by Ylldren Ibrahimaj) and Thomas Lehne Olsen (94’, assisted by Seun Akanji).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Thomas Lehne Olsen’s goal on 94 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Lillestrom 0.00, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal showed five yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Lillestrom: Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (24’), Fredrik Gulbrandsen (45’) and Henrik Melland (120’); Egnatia Rrogozhinë: E. Ndreca (46’) and E. Sota (80’).

What it changes

Lillestrom are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.9% of the time in the last 90 days (418 of 634).

Next up

Lillestrom next host Real Sociedad on 22 October 2026.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë next travel to Aarhus on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lillestrom: Lillestrom v Real Sociedad, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Lillestrom 2–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Europa League
  • Venue: Åråsen · Lillestrøm
  • Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Lillestrom 0 · draws 1 · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 · 0 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lillestrom 0W 2D 3L · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1W 3D 1L

Lillestrom 2–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LillestromEgnatia Rrogozhinë
57%Possession43%
3Shots on target3
7Shots off target5
4Blocked shots10
9Corners8
1Offsides3
11Fouls8
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lillestrom v Egnatia Rrogozhinë — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LillestromLLLDD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Egnatia RrogozhinëDDLWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Lillestrom 0 · 1 draw · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 · 0 goals/game
  • 2026-08-20 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–0 Lillestrom
League standing · 2026/27
Lillestrom#23 pos1 pts2 pl-1 GD
Egnatia RrogozhinëNot in this league table
Goals per game
Lillestrom scored1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë scored2
Lillestrom conceded1.5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë conceded1.6

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Lillestrom v Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lillestrom v Egnatia Rrogozhinë was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.83 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
In their last 1 meetings, Lillestrom won 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Recent form — Lillestrom 0W 2D 3L; Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1W 3D 1L.

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