Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus prediction
Team pages: Marseille · Olympiakos Piraeus
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Marseille host Olympiakos Piraeus in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Three of Olympiakos Piraeus’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (20%).
Form and the table
Nine of Marseille’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Marseille’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Marseille have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.43.
Olympiakos Piraeus have won their last three matches. Both teams scored in six of Olympiakos Piraeus’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Olympiakos Piraeus have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.00.
Marseille (32nd) and Olympiakos Piraeus (13th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Olympiakos Piraeus the stronger side, 129 rating points above Marseille (Olympiakos Piraeus 1804, Marseille 1675, after at least 46 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 1 December 2020, finished Marseille 2–1 Olympiakos Piraeus.
Team news
Marseille have two names on the availability list: D. Cornelius (out, Hip Injury) and P. Hojbjerg (out, Muscle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. By TACTIX Impact, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (4.3 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Amine Gouiri (4.1 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Marseille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Marseille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 882 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Amine Gouiri averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 929 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances.
Olympiakos Piraeus have seven names on the availability list: A. El Kaabi (out, Broken Leg), B. Popovic (out, Off the roster), Clayton (out, Off the roster), J. Roca (out, Off the roster), L. Scipioni (out, Off the roster), M. Mouandilmadji (out, Off the roster) and one more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. By TACTIX Impact, Remo Freuler (3.8 per match over six appearances, three assists) and Rodinei (3.5 per match over three appearances) have been Olympiakos Piraeus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Olympiakos Piraeus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Remo Freuler averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1569 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Rodinei averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 932 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Stade Orange Vélodrome
- Referee: Michael Oliver
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Marseille 1 · draws 0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 1 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Marseille 1W 0D 4L · Olympiakos Piraeus 3W 1D 1L
Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus (UEFA Europa League): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Marseille for / against | Line | Olympiakos Piraeus for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 8.13 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14 for · 18.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.88 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.75 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 15.38 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Marseille
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Nnadi n 8 | 57.3 | 2.4 | 1.4 | — |
| Igor Paixão n 8 | 70.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | — |
| T. Weah n 8 | 76.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | — |
| F. Medina n 8 | 67.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | — |
| D. Cornelius n 8 | 52.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Abdallah n 8 | 30.9 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| M. Greenwood n 8 | 83.6 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| P. Aubameyang n 8 | 81.3 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| Igor Paixão n 8 | 70.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| A. Gouiri n 8 | 70.8 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Aubameyang n 8 | 81.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| M. Greenwood n 8 | 83.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| A. Gouiri n 8 | 70.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| K. Abdallah n 8 | 30.9 | 0.7 | 0 |
| A. Gomes n 8 | 72.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Nouhoum Kamissoko n 4 | 26 | 3.5 |
| G. Kondogbia n 8 | 65.3 | 3.3 |
| T. Weah n 8 | 76.5 | 2.1 |
| L. Balerdi n 8 | 49.3 | 2.1 |
| T. Nnadi n 8 | 57.3 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. de Lange n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jota Silva n 8 | 65.8 | 2.6 | 3.1 | — |
| G. Puerta n 8 | 68.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | — |
| Dani García n 8 | 78.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | — |
| A. Gonzalez n 8 | 45.8 | 2.2 | 0 | — |
| S. Onyemaechi n 8 | 74.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. El Kaabi n 8 | 70 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Jota Silva n 8 | 65.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| A. Gonzalez n 8 | 45.8 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Gustavo Sá n 8 | 55.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| Joel Roca n 8 | 50 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Yaremchuk n 8 | 39.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
| R. Freuler n 8 | 87.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| M. Saliakas n 8 | 68.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| A. El Kaabi n 8 | 70 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Jota Silva n 8 | 65.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Scipioni n 8 | 47.6 | 4.5 |
| P. Retsos n 8 | 80.6 | 2.5 |
| Dani García n 8 | 78.8 | 2.4 |
| S. Onyemaechi n 8 | 74.9 | 2.4 |
| Gustavo Sá n 8 | 55.6 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Ortega n 8 | 90.4 | 2.9 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2020-12-01 Marseille 2–1 Olympiakos Piraeus
- 2020-10-21 Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Marseille
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus?
- In their last 2 meetings, Marseille won 1, Olympiakos Piraeus won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus?
- Recent form — Marseille 1W 0D 4L; Olympiakos Piraeus 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.